Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:09 PM
Cali_Democrat (22,801 posts)
'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong'
Dean Chambers, the man who garnered praise from the right and notoriety on the left for his "Unskewed Polling" site, admitted today that his method was flawed.
"Nate Silver was right, and I was wrong," Chambers said in a phone interview.
Chambers' method of "unskewing" polls involved re-weighting the sample to match what he believed the electorate would look like, in terms of party identification. He thought the electorate would lean more Republican when mainstream pollsters routinely found samples that leaned Democratic.
But as it turned out, the pollsters were right — self-identified Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 6% in election exit polls.
"I think it was much more in the Democratic direction than most people predicted," Chambers said. "But those assumptions — my assumptions — were wrong."
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/unskewed-pollster-dean-chambers-nate-silver-election-dick-morris-michael-barone-2012-11
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'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong' (Original post)
|Blue Idaho||Nov 2012||#8|
Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:13 PM
powergirl (2,387 posts)
4. I am surprised he actually admitted this
But, I will bet that the wingnuts will still use him two/four years from now for his poll - which had NO BASIS in fact.