HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » 'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nat...
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:09 PM

'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong'



Dean Chambers, the man who garnered praise from the right and notoriety on the left for his "Unskewed Polling" site, admitted today that his method was flawed.

"Nate Silver was right, and I was wrong," Chambers said in a phone interview.

Chambers' method of "unskewing" polls involved re-weighting the sample to match what he believed the electorate would look like, in terms of party identification. He thought the electorate would lean more Republican when mainstream pollsters routinely found samples that leaned Democratic.

But as it turned out, the pollsters were right self-identified Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 6% in election exit polls.

"I think it was much more in the Democratic direction than most people predicted," Chambers said. "But those assumptions my assumptions were wrong."

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/unskewed-pollster-dean-chambers-nate-silver-election-dick-morris-michael-barone-2012-11

8 replies, 1141 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 8 replies Author Time Post
Reply 'Unskewed' Pollster: 'Nate Silver Was Right, And I Was Wrong' (Original post)
Cali_Democrat Nov 2012 OP
bluestateguy Nov 2012 #1
phleshdef Nov 2012 #2
Jennicut Nov 2012 #3
powergirl Nov 2012 #4
dawg Nov 2012 #5
Maeve Nov 2012 #6
20895DEM Nov 2012 #7
Blue Idaho Nov 2012 #8

Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:10 PM

1. Let the professionals do the polling Dean

back to the buffet for you.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:12 PM

2. Well, at least he isn't bullshitting around about it.

I'll give him an inkling of credit there.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:12 PM

3. At least he admitted it.

No more polling for you, sir.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:13 PM

4. I am surprised he actually admitted this

But, I will bet that the wingnuts will still use him two/four years from now for his poll - which had NO BASIS in fact.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:21 PM

5. "I was wrong."

Three of the most admirable words a person will ever say. My hat's off to you, Mr. Chambers. I did not think you had it in you.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:22 PM

6. Doesn't he owe someone a couple thousand dollars about now?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:25 PM

7. Captain Obvious

I think that the only person that thought that this lard ass was right was the lard ass himself.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:26 PM

8. Bullshit!

It wasn't "flawed" it was propaganda.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread