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Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:33 AM

"a demographic time bomb...that blew up in GOP faces"



http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/07/obamas_demographic_edge.html

Obama's Demographic Edge

First Read: "Yes, the auto bailout mattered in Ohio. Sure, Hurricane Sandy helped the president. And, yes, the economy was the No. 1 issue. But make no mistake: What happened last night was a demographic time bomb that had been ticking and that blew up in GOP faces. As the Obama campaign had assumed more than a year ago, the white portion of the electorate dropped to 72%, and the president won just 39% of that vote. But he carried a whopping 93% of black voters (representing 13% of the electorate), 71% of Latinos (representing 10%), and also 73% of Asians (3%). What's more, despite all the predictions that youth turnout would be down, voters 18-29 made up 19% of last night's voting population -- up from 18% four years ago -- and President Obama took 60% from that group."

"On Monday, we wrote that demography could determine destiny. And that's exactly what happened. While the campaign's turnout operation deserves all the credit for getting these voters to the polls, the most significant event of this presidential contest might very well have been the 2010 census."

25 replies, 3068 views

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Reply "a demographic time bomb...that blew up in GOP faces" (Original post)
babylonsister Nov 2012 OP
formercia Nov 2012 #1
Doctor Jack Nov 2012 #2
bucolic_frolic Nov 2012 #6
hifiguy Nov 2012 #10
Atypical Liberal Nov 2012 #12
XtopherXtopher Nov 2012 #19
toby jo Nov 2012 #17
XtopherXtopher Nov 2012 #20
adieu Nov 2012 #24
JDPriestly Nov 2012 #3
AllyCat Nov 2012 #4
Always Randy Nov 2012 #5
4 more years Nov 2012 #7
lexx21 Nov 2012 #8
kmlisle Nov 2012 #9
sellitman Nov 2012 #11
babylonsister Nov 2012 #15
sellitman Nov 2012 #21
Coyotl Nov 2012 #13
CBHagman Nov 2012 #14
fasttense Nov 2012 #16
former9thward Nov 2012 #22
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #18
CrispyQ Nov 2012 #23
Canuckistanian Nov 2012 #25

Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:40 AM

1. I'm proud of the young voters who looked into the Future and chose wisely.

It was their Future at stake and they stepped Forward.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:40 AM

2. I was watching CBS last night

Right before Obama's speech and they were going over this issue and they said the GOP needs to take a long, hard look at their party membership. They were going over the trends of racial and gender diversity and said unless the republicans change, they are going to keep losing power.

Of course they were panning over the crowd and the demographics were all over the place. This is what the U.S. is like now and if the republicans keep denying that fact, they are going to keep losing elections.

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Response to Doctor Jack (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:26 AM

6. THE GOP NEEDS TO LOOK AT THEIR IDEOLOGY

At its core, the GOP is TOTALLY about property rights.

Sounds innocuous, but what they really mean is:

REPUBLICANS BELIEVE THAT ALL BENEFITS OF SOCIETY
SHOULD BE DISTRIBUTED ON THE BASIS OF ONE'S
ABILITY TO PAY.

If you don't have the money, you're out of luck.

You're on your own.

No cash, no stash.

The Rich determine all policies.

You can say it many different ways, but to the GOP
it's all about money. They sailed into this election
with their money blazing, and they got blown out
of the water.

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Response to bucolic_frolic (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:02 AM

10. This deserves an OP of its own.

You are absolutely correct. For the Repukes property rights trump human rights every time.

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Response to bucolic_frolic (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:26 AM

12. But it's more than this. It's also about sexuality.

 

I agree with what you have said.

But the conservative movement might have a chance with a fiscally conservative (or draconian) policy, especially depending on what the economy does.

But where they have no chance at all is on their social policies, which are mostly driven by religious nuts.

So long as they want to make sexuality a political issue, they will continue to lose ground to younger, modern people. For younger, modern people, sexuality is something natural and normal and to be embraced and enjoyed. This means absolute access to contraception for certain and abortion when necessary - when a pregnant woman thinks it's necessary. And younger, modern people just don't care about homosexuality. For years, "Family Values" has been a dog whistle for anti-sexuality, and that is not going to play anymore.

In order for the Republican party to have any chance at all, they are going to have to embrace modern sexuality. And that means dumping the religious nuts, and I'm not sure they can do that, because that is who they are.

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Response to Atypical Liberal (Reply #12)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 12:30 PM

19. They live in Victorian times.

I've been saying this for years. Every time a republican sounds like they are RIGHT ON THE VERGE of making sense, they fuck it up by talking about sex or religion, and they go right back to sounding like the reality-challenged fools that they are.

It makes me feel sorry for them. Then I remember they make a living spreading hatred of me, my friends, and my family, and I don't feel so sorry anymore.

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Response to bucolic_frolic (Reply #6)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:59 AM

17. Just told the same thing to repubs at work

They whine about entitlements and about how the democrat party 'looks' and about people who 'want' things & I finally told this guy to shut up and listen to himself. "You whine and whine about what 'they' are taking from you but do you ever think about what you took from them? Do you ever think about what you have and how you came by it so simply? You've got 'whiteboyism'," yeah I called it that.

I told him that the republicans have to examine that identity of entitlement and elitism and until they do they are going to continue to lose elections. No self-awareness at all on their parts.

And if they keep listening to Rush and Beck et al they are just not coming out of it. They're gonna shrink like a right-wing brain cell in a science class.

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Response to toby jo (Reply #17)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 12:35 PM

20. Shrink like a right-wing brain cell in a science class?

Absolutely Brilliant!!!

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Response to Doctor Jack (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:48 PM

24. They deny this like they deny everything else

Global warming, the failure of trickle down, the failure of tax cuts to the rich, denial of the benefits of regulation in finance, pollution, agri-business. They deny things that are clearly in front of their faces. They deny reality. And reality is not a nice person. It smacks you hard when you don't accept it.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:01 AM

3. This is the end of Nixon's Southern Strategy.

Let's see what happens at Fox News now.

Do you think that racist Rush Limbaugh will be taken off the air or at least less widely broadcast?

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:04 AM

4. He got this white vote, but I am a woman so guess that doesn't count

in Republican land.

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Response to AllyCat (Reply #4)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:25 AM

5. The women are key to 2014

Women can do more to unite this country than men. Women do not wake up in the morning hating someone else(maybe an ex here and there)----but if there is a united front on issues that are really important to women---the men NOW have to either listen -----or be voted out of office--------you won't have to bang that brick wall anymore-------YES YOU CAN!

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:48 AM

7. Old white guy who can't stand the anti science,climate,party anymore.

I left this STUPID party in 2004 and will never go back.Rommy was a really bad candidate and scared the hell out of me. Living in GA is not easy @ election time.These people are like turkey's looking forward to Thanksgiving dinner, they just don't get it. They are still setting up deck chairs on the Titantic.

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Response to 4 more years (Reply #7)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:52 AM

8. Welcome to DU, 4 more years!



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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:53 AM

9. GOP also needs a remedial math course

Clinton is free now. Maybe he could tutor them. It would be a major challenge!

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:18 AM

11. 5 votes from this household

My youngest voted in his first Presidential election.

Proud Dad here.

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Response to sellitman (Reply #11)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:33 AM

15. So it was Your Family who put Obama

over the top. Good job!

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Response to babylonsister (Reply #15)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 12:41 PM

21. Takes bow

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:27 AM

13. Voters do not change

but the old ones do die

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Response to Coyotl (Reply #13)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:32 AM

14. It's more complicated than that.

As Gloria Steinem observed years back, some women grow more liberal as they age. It's just a stereotype that everyone shifts to the right with the passage of time. I've also seen my fair share of young conservatives.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:55 AM

16. They alienated every minority and they lost.

They were against women's, gays', hispanics', blacks', young people's and poor people' rights (though not a minority the poor are usually made up of minorities). Who does that leave? Rich, old, white people, that's not many people remaining to vote Republicon.

RepubliCONS had 100s of millions of dollars and outspent every winning Democratic leader yet could barely cheat their way into retaining control of the House.

I wonder if some very rich white men are hunting for KKKarl's scalp.

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Response to fasttense (Reply #16)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 12:45 PM

22. Where was cheating in the House races?

I have read no allegations of that.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 12:00 PM

18. View profile "a demographic time bomb...that blew up in GOP faces"

Great title..

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:26 PM

23. I took the bus into town today - a later bus than I usually take.

This time of day had a lot of college students. It was full - standing room only. I was seated near the front. They all have backpacks & I saw 3 Obama/Biden buttons on those packs.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:23 PM

25. Sen. Lindsey Graham: "We’re not generating enough angry white guys"

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/09/02/1125989/--We-re-not-generating-enough-angry-white-guys

From Jonathan Chait:
A Republican strategist said something interesting and revealing on Friday, though it largely escaped attention in the howling gusts of punditry over Mitt Romney’s birth certificate crack and a potential convention-altering hurricane. The subject was a Ron Brownstein story outlining the demographic hit rates each party requires to win in November. To squeak out a majority, Mitt Romney probably needs to win at least 61 percent of the white vote — a figure exceeding what George H.W. Bush commanded over Michael Dukakis in 1988. The Republican strategist told Brownstein, “This is the last time anyone will try to do this” — “this” being a near total reliance on white votes to win a presidential election.


http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/08/2012-or-never-for-gops-white-base.html

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