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Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:56 PM

No need to watch the returns Tuesday, this is how it'll go down.

I did this four years ago. I want to stick with tradition. Here's how election night is going to go down.

*times might not be exact

7:00 ET:

Polls close in Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. Romney will be declared the winner in Kentucky, Obama in Vermont, while Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina and Virginia will be labeled either too close to call or too early to call.

Romney will lead in the electoral college 8-3.

7:30 ET:

Polls in Ohio, North Carolina and West Virginia close. Both Ohio and North Carolina will be too close to call, while Romney will be declared the winner in West Virginia.

He now leads 13-3.

8:00 ET:

At this point, a great deal of states will close and Obama will be declared the winner in:

Connecticut
Delaware
Illinois
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Washington, DC

Romney will be declared the winner in:

Alabama
Mississippi
Oklahoma
Tennessee

Pennsylvania, Missouri, New Hampshire and Florida will be too close/early to call.

Now Obama seizes the lead in the electoral college 79-46.

8:25 ET:

South Carolina is called for Romney. He now trails 79-55.

8:30 ET:

Polls close in Arkansas and Romney is called the winner. He now has 61 electoral votes.

8:50 ET:

Indiana is called for Romney. He now stands at 72 electoral votes.

9:00 ET:

Here comes another big swing of polls closing. Obama is declared the winner in:

New York
New Mexico

Romney declared the winner in:

Kansas
Louisiana
Nebraska
South Dakota
Wyoming

Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Texas and Wisconsin are too close/early to call.

Obama now leads 113-97.

9:30 ET:

Pennsylvania is called for Obama. Georgia for Romney. Obama now has 133 electoral votes to Romney's 110.

9:40 ET:

Minnesota and Michigan are called for Obama. Texas for Romney.

Obama now has 159 electoral votes to Romney's 151.

9:50 ET:

WE HAVE AN IMPORTANT CALL TO MAKE. THIS IS A BIG ONE. WE ARE PROJECTING THAT PRESIDENT OBAMA WILL CARRY THE STATE OF OHIO.

Obama now sits at 177 electoral votes, Romney 151. The mood shifts to Romney finding another path to victory ... one that doesn't appear viable with Michigan and Pennsylvania being called for Obama.

10:00 ET:

Polls close in Iowa, Montana, Nevada and Utah. Romney wins Utah - but the other three states are too early or too close to call.

Obama leads Romney 177-157 in the electoral college.

10:30 ET:

New Hampshire is called for Obama.

He now has 181 electoral votes. There is word from Boston that the mood is dower at Romney head quarters.

10:45 ET:

Wisconsin is called for Obama, Missouri for Romney. Obama leads 191 to 167.

10:50 ET:

Nevada is called for Obama. Early voting is what won him the state. Montana for Romney.

Obama now sits at 197, Romney at 170.

11:00 ET:

Polls close in California, Washington, Oregon, Hawaii, Idaho and North Dakota.

Obama is declared the winner in California, Washington, Oregon and Hawaii. Romney in Idaho and North Dakota.

With California's 55 electoral votes, the networks announce Obama has been reelected.

He leads Romney 275-177. Crowds are celebrating in Chicago.

11:40 ET:

Romney takes the stage to concede. Obama is expected to speak at midnight.

11:45 ET:

Obama is declared the winner in Colorado.

11:50 ET:

Arizona is called for Romney.

12:00 ET:

Obama speaks to supporters in Chicago.

12:10 ET:

Obama wins Virginia and Iowa - now sitting at 303-188.

12:30 ET:

Florida is called for Obama.

1:00 ET:

Polls close in Alaska, where Romney is declared the winner.

Sometime Wednesday:

North Carolina goes...

Does it matter?

Obama wins 332 (347) to 206 (191).

Bring on the inauguration.

208 replies, 26466 views

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Arrow 208 replies Author Time Post
Reply No need to watch the returns Tuesday, this is how it'll go down. (Original post)
Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 OP
Dawson Leery Nov 2012 #1
Lex Nov 2012 #2
freshwest Nov 2012 #34
trayfoot Nov 2012 #75
NoOtherMedicineNovel Nov 2012 #79
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #92
Obamamama44 Nov 2012 #118
OKNancy Nov 2012 #3
blazeKing Nov 2012 #4
Liberal_Stalwart71 Nov 2012 #5
PsychProfessor Nov 2012 #6
sheshe2 Nov 2012 #7
Lisa D Nov 2012 #8
RedSpartan Nov 2012 #9
meti57b Nov 2012 #10
JNelson6563 Nov 2012 #11
JoyBugaloo Nov 2012 #58
Evil Wolf Nov 2012 #12
hlthe2b Nov 2012 #13
liberalmuse Nov 2012 #14
barbtries Nov 2012 #15
Hyper_Eye Nov 2012 #16
Tarheel_Dem Nov 2012 #17
damnedifIknow Nov 2012 #18
calimary Nov 2012 #38
Timbuk3 Nov 2012 #85
tavalon Nov 2012 #112
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #93
NightWatcher Nov 2012 #19
BootinUp Nov 2012 #20
TheAmbivalante Nov 2012 #21
Journeyman Nov 2012 #22
trebleclef Nov 2012 #23
Blaukraut Nov 2012 #24
GOTV Nov 2012 #25
tavalon Nov 2012 #113
SoapBox Nov 2012 #26
mnhtnbb Nov 2012 #27
SaveAmerica Nov 2012 #49
AlbertCat Nov 2012 #108
RedCloud Nov 2012 #135
KarenS Nov 2012 #28
fiorello Nov 2012 #29
tavalon Nov 2012 #114
lyingsackofmitt Nov 2012 #30
BlueDemKev Nov 2012 #32
BlueDemKev Nov 2012 #31
ncav53 Nov 2012 #33
Wait Wut Nov 2012 #35
Stewland Nov 2012 #36
LawnKorn Nov 2012 #37
Stryder Nov 2012 #39
AaronMayorga Nov 2012 #40
flamingdem Nov 2012 #41
Lugnut Nov 2012 #42
Laura PourMeADrink Nov 2012 #43
genna Nov 2012 #44
flamingdem Nov 2012 #61
SaveAmerica Nov 2012 #45
Lucky Luciano Nov 2012 #46
Andy Stanton Nov 2012 #47
davidpdx Nov 2012 #48
Kber Nov 2012 #157
slutticus Nov 2012 #50
tomm2thumbs Nov 2012 #51
Canuckistanian Nov 2012 #52
Faith9326 Nov 2012 #53
iandhr Nov 2012 #54
ProudToBeBlueInRhody Nov 2012 #55
Victor_c3 Nov 2012 #56
graywarrior Nov 2012 #57
Doremus Nov 2012 #59
dorkzilla Nov 2012 #60
regnaD kciN Nov 2012 #62
Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #65
courseofhistory Nov 2012 #63
Cheviteau Nov 2012 #64
TroyD Nov 2012 #66
mac56 Nov 2012 #67
Skinner Nov 2012 #68
SoapBox Nov 2012 #81
gottavote Nov 2012 #125
Myrina Nov 2012 #69
defacto7 Nov 2012 #70
zwyziec Nov 2012 #71
Jim__ Nov 2012 #72
bushisanidiot Nov 2012 #73
lib87 Nov 2012 #103
ThomThom Nov 2012 #74
Lifelong Protester Nov 2012 #76
jimlup Nov 2012 #77
thelordofhell Nov 2012 #78
DCBob Nov 2012 #80
Mira Nov 2012 #82
NMDemDist2 Nov 2012 #83
cheezmaka Nov 2012 #84
hrmjustin Nov 2012 #86
KurtNYC Nov 2012 #87
wicket Nov 2012 #88
rufus dog Nov 2012 #89
grantcart Nov 2012 #90
Liberal_Stalwart71 Nov 2012 #94
grantcart Nov 2012 #104
dchill Nov 2012 #91
Rowdyboy Nov 2012 #95
pinto Nov 2012 #96
BouzoukiKing Nov 2012 #97
ChaoticTrilby Nov 2012 #98
blkmusclmachine Nov 2012 #99
Iggo Nov 2012 #100
world wide wally Nov 2012 #101
zenandpeace Nov 2012 #102
lovemydog Nov 2012 #105
jbjr49 Nov 2012 #106
donqpublic Nov 2012 #107
AllyCat Nov 2012 #109
Beaverhausen Nov 2012 #110
tavalon Nov 2012 #111
Trajan Nov 2012 #115
Kennah Nov 2012 #116
outsideworld Nov 2012 #117
fasttense Nov 2012 #119
PotatoChip Nov 2012 #120
LeftofObama Nov 2012 #121
Granny M Nov 2012 #122
INdemo Nov 2012 #123
Old and In the Way Nov 2012 #126
INdemo Nov 2012 #153
malexand Nov 2012 #124
Eyes of the World Nov 2012 #127
pidrufile Nov 2012 #128
Hokie Nov 2012 #129
onethatcares Nov 2012 #130
AsahinaKimi Nov 2012 #131
krispos42 Nov 2012 #132
hootinholler Nov 2012 #133
yellowcanine Nov 2012 #137
beyurslf Nov 2012 #134
gblady Nov 2012 #136
CoboWowbo Nov 2012 #163
gblady Nov 2012 #181
Carolina Nov 2012 #138
SCantiGOP Nov 2012 #139
2pooped2pop Nov 2012 #140
1gobluedem Nov 2012 #141
Kali Nov 2012 #142
kairos12 Nov 2012 #143
samsingh Nov 2012 #144
yardwork Nov 2012 #145
redwitch Nov 2012 #146
Mad-in-Mo Nov 2012 #147
madmax Nov 2012 #148
Smickey Nov 2012 #149
Smuckies Nov 2012 #150
wryter2000 Nov 2012 #151
stevenleser Nov 2012 #152
emsimon33 Nov 2012 #154
Staph Nov 2012 #155
Wednesdays Nov 2012 #156
IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ Nov 2012 #158
ocd liberal Nov 2012 #159
Pachamama Nov 2012 #160
arikara Nov 2012 #161
libdem4life Nov 2012 #162
toby jo Nov 2012 #164
Doc Holliday Nov 2012 #165
robertpaulsen Nov 2012 #166
Beaverhausen Nov 2012 #167
JoyBugaloo Nov 2012 #168
relayerbob Nov 2012 #169
JoyBugaloo Nov 2012 #173
JoyBugaloo Nov 2012 #170
michigandem58 Nov 2012 #171
robertpaulsen Nov 2012 #172
paparush Nov 2012 #174
hillary2016forthewin Nov 2012 #175
JoyBugaloo Nov 2012 #176
paparush Nov 2012 #177
montanto Nov 2012 #178
coalition_unwilling Nov 2012 #179
randr Nov 2012 #180
Rowdyboy Nov 2012 #182
NYC_SKP Nov 2012 #183
Kennah Nov 2012 #184
Drunken Irishman Nov 2012 #185
bleever Nov 2012 #186
chadk Nov 2012 #187
kath Nov 2012 #193
are_you_serious_1234 Nov 2012 #198
Carolina Nov 2012 #188
randr Nov 2012 #189
NYC_SKP Nov 2012 #190
CADEMOCRAT7 Nov 2012 #191
Blue_Tires Nov 2012 #192
chadk Nov 2012 #194
are_you_serious_1234 Nov 2012 #199
ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #195
Onlooker Nov 2012 #196
outsideworld Nov 2012 #197
lebkuchen Nov 2012 #200
MuttLikeMe Nov 2012 #201
PATRICK Nov 2012 #202
UCmeNdc Nov 2012 #203
Rosa Luxemburg Nov 2012 #204
dsharp88 Nov 2012 #205
Denzil_DC Nov 2012 #206
TexasTowelie Nov 2012 #207
progree Dec 2012 #208

Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:58 PM

1. k/r

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 03:59 PM

2. I bookmarked this

just to see how close you'll be.


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Response to Lex (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:26 PM

34. +1

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Response to Lex (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:08 PM

75. ditto!

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Response to Lex (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:21 PM

79. Me, too...and will follow it closely. Thank you, Drunken Irishman.Can't wait to see Scott's face at

12:50 ET when Florida turns vivid BLUE.
Yessss!

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Response to Lex (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:18 PM

92. Great idea. nt

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Response to Lex (Reply #2)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 05:11 AM

118. So did I!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)


Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:00 PM

4. Once Ohio and Wisconsin and Iowa or NV are called for Obama

 

He'll be projected to retain the Presidency. Won't even have to wait for Cali

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:00 PM

5. I LOVE THIS!! LOVE IT!!!!! Thank you so much. Bookmarking thread because I will be THRILLED

If O wins Ohio and Florida ***TOMORROW NIGHT*** rather than both states being too close to call for days, even weeks!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:01 PM

6. Awesome! I just hope I have a big case of deja vu come tomorrow night! nt

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:01 PM

7. Make it SO!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:01 PM

8. I'm going to print this out and use it

as a guide on election night. Thanks!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:01 PM

9. From your keyboard...

Bottom line, if Obama has 192 votes when the polls close in the West, he's got 270, so that's what to watch for.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:02 PM

10. Extremely cool!!! I like it!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:03 PM

11. That sounds about right.

I can't wait to see how the Senate/House races shake out!

Julie

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Response to JNelson6563 (Reply #11)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:12 PM

58. I'm waiting for those races too

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:04 PM

12. Love it.

I can be a happy camper in bed by 9pm. Nah, I'll be having a celebratory cocktail! Then bed.

Portland, OR here

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:05 PM

13. I'm just back in town, have very early call tomorrow: Maybe we need a volunteer phone tree

to just call those of us unable to follow our normal obsessive path on these nights--without risk of very adverse consequences.

I know your scenario is on the mark, but I honestly don't know how well I will sleep without knowing. I won't even be able to stay up for my own state's results (CO)--which are very very important to me.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:08 PM

14. You were pretty damn close last time...

and even underestimated Obama's EV's and overestimated McCain's. I'll take it!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:10 PM

15. it matters to me

though i know he doesn't need NC to win, i am here. in NC, and you just don't know how much it matters to me that we go blue again.

i shall do just as i did 4 years ago: get home from work, collapse in front of my computer and go unconscious until 11 pm, at which time i will wake up to learn that Obama has been elected!

watching is so stressful.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:11 PM

16. Bookmarked. n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:14 PM

17. Love it! You had me on the edge of my seat. I love the build up, and of course, the result.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:14 PM

18. I just want to laugh in his smirking face.

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Response to damnedifIknow (Reply #18)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:35 PM

38. Me TOO!!!!! If for NO other reason, this asshole is reason enough to vote for Obama.

If for no other reason than to see that fucker SORE LOSERMAN mcconnell cry in his beer and be WRONG.

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Response to damnedifIknow (Reply #18)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:29 PM

85. One thing to remember

(If) When Obama wins is that turtle-head is defeated in his quest to make Obama a "one-term President".

Another is that Ginsberg can retire, and Scalia and Thomas will be afraid to.

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Response to Timbuk3 (Reply #85)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:54 AM

112. We have all done everything asked of us and more

I'm done with the "if". I tend to be superstitious, but just this once, I'm not going to give in to it.

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Response to damnedifIknow (Reply #18)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:23 PM

93. That man is........

going to pay a huge political price for his strategies...

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:17 PM

19. kicked, rec'ed, and bookmarked

I'd bet on it too

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:18 PM

20. I will follow along with your predictions

very helpful.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:19 PM

21. Sorry, trees

I'm actually printing this out.
Awesome work!
Leave it to a Drunken Irishman

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:19 PM

22. I like this 'cause California gets to put him over the top. . .

I'm interested to see how close to the timing your prognostication proves.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:19 PM

23. Hope so

Would love for Obama to win Florida. But I doubt that happens. Hopefully he won't need Florida to win.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:22 PM

24. Looks good to me! n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:26 PM

25. This is awesome. I'm printing this out and keeping it with me ...

... while I watch the returns.

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Response to GOTV (Reply #25)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:56 AM

113. I thought for a second, you were asking us to get out the vote,

which we did, in spades. But then, I realized it's your username. And then I smiled.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:28 PM

26. Soooooo....

as an "expert" at being a Drunken Irishman (.. ..)

do we drink when we hear Obama or Mittens?

Looks to me that if we drink when we hear Called for Mittens, we won't be getting much of a buzz.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:31 PM

27. Well, pretty good EXCEPT North Carolina will be called before 11 PM for Obama!

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Response to mnhtnbb (Reply #27)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:59 PM

49. agree!

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Response to mnhtnbb (Reply #27)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:41 AM

108. North Carolina goes... Does it matter?

Yes it does.... to us in NC it does.

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Response to AlbertCat (Reply #108)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:17 AM

135. Your pal in Va. agrees with you!

Let's work on S.C. amd Georgia and keep both coasts blue in 2016!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:35 PM

28. I really hope you're right at least with the final outcome.

I've been very worried about this election.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 04:50 PM

29. Very accurate! I would add the following:

8:30 - Romney takes a 'commanding' lead in Virginia with 7% of the vote counted. Network talking heads play this heavily. Don't panic.

9:50 - With Ohio in the bag, Obama can clinch the victory with just two of the following three states: New Hampshire, Iowa or Nevada.

The talking heads don't report that - instead they go on and on about Romney's persistent (but slowly shrinking) lead in Virginia, and express confidence that thanks to his brilliant and brainy VP pick, Romney will win Wisconsin. Ignore 'em.

10:30. New Hampshire for Obama. Almost there!

10:45: Iowa and Nevada race each other to be the state that clinches it... I think Iowa might come through early

10:50: Iowa AND Wisconsin called for Obama!!! Nevada called for Obama!!!!!
Nate Silver announces that it's over.

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Response to fiorello (Reply #29)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:58 AM

114. Woot! It ain't over 'til Nate Silver sings

LOL

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:12 PM

30. At 11:50 after RobMe's

concession speech, CNN will say...it's too close to call!

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Response to lyingsackofmitt (Reply #30)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:18 PM

32. 12:00am...

Sean Hannity's whiney voice will fill Fox News' airwaves...

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:17 PM

31. Oh man, you mean we have to wait until 10pm before Ohio is called for Obama?

Agony!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:20 PM

33. Another epic night, can't wait

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:28 PM

35. Cool. I can relax tomorrow and...

...watch reruns of American Horror Story. Thanks!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:28 PM

36. I predict that Obama wins Minnesota by at least 7 percent.

 

Obama will win Minnesota and this will be clear shortly after the polls close.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:30 PM

37. You did not factor in the Republicans cheating

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:39 PM

39. I best get some sleep tonight.

Tomorrow's gonna be a long one.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:42 PM

40. In '08, you were pretty damn close to the outcome.

Besides, Missouri going for McCain and Omaha, Nebraska for BO. Plus, I agree with the 332 projection. Good work!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:44 PM

41. Bookmarking, I want to be located properly when Ohio gets called

and now I can plan on a bedtime!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:47 PM

42. K&R n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:48 PM

43. WOW DI, this must have taken forever. Excellent and thanks !

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:50 PM

44. Bookmarked. I think OHIO will be called at 130 am

when the last voter casts their ballots in some of the black precincts.

All the other counties' tallies will be in and we'll be waiting.

It may happen in Florida too after the mishaps over the weekend.

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Response to genna (Reply #44)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:33 PM

61. True, nobody is going to sleep until then nt

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:52 PM

45. NC goes to OBAMA!!! and tell me Powerball #s please!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:57 PM

46. pretty good! nt

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:57 PM

47. Great Post!

And exciting too.

I hope the real thing goes down the same way.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 05:59 PM

48. I think MA, NJ, PA will take longer to tabulate

Ohio will be closer to 10:30-11pm EST

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Response to davidpdx (Reply #48)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:20 PM

157. NJ is going to be doing a fair amount of hand counting this cycle.

it may indeed take longer for that reason alone, not because the vote will be especially close.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:01 PM

50. "With California's 55 electoral votes"

Fuck yeah baby. Fuck yeah.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:03 PM

51. did you forget **** SPOILER ALERT **** ??? (grin)


can't wait to compare - but bookmarking!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:04 PM

52. Oh, thanks

Now I know the ending.

Thanks for ruining it for me.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:04 PM

53. Ohio being called

"WE HAVE AN IMPORTANT CALL TO MAKE. THIS IS A BIG ONE. WE ARE PROJECTING THAT PRESIDENT OBAMA WILL CARRY THE STATE OF OHIO."


Haha. I swear Wolf Blitzer will say these exact words.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:08 PM

54. I agree mostly but Georgia, Indiana, South Carolina will go to Mitt immediately

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:08 PM

55. You forgot one thing.....

January 20, 2013:

Noon, Eastern.


Obama inaugurated for a second term, CNN declares presidential race still a tie.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:08 PM

56. I actually did something similar

I printed out a map with the supposed swing states and wrote in the times that the polls close. By 8 pm EST, so long as Obama has NH, PA, VA, and OH, it will be very hard for him to lose the election. If he wins only those swing states, he'll be on the path for 269 votes. All he has to do after that is secure one more - which shouldn't be a problem with WI, IA, CO, and NV left to go.

All of the worry will evaporate after 8 pm if he gets what I mentioned above (NH, PA, VA, OH) plus NC or FL.If he gets either of those, he can lose WI, IA, CO, and NV and still hit at least 284 electoral votes.

The more I look at it, the better I feel. I can keep talking different scenarios in my head, but none of them look like it will take a long-shot for Obama to win.

The North East looks very good for Obama.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:12 PM

57. Well done!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:30 PM

59. Oh yay! I was wondering if you were going to make your predictions again.

Last time they were spot-on as I recall.

Will be watching and celebrating with everybody tomorrow!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:31 PM

60. Replying to bookmark!

Thanks Drunken Irishman!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:33 PM

62. While I like your scenario, something tells me it will take until much later...

Last time, we had about 4-5 points more of a lead, so the margins were larger, and the race could be called as soon as the west coast states' polling was over. This time, although we have more paths to 270 than Rmoney, those paths involve states with much smaller margins, thus taking longer in the "too soon to call" zone. While I'd love a repeat of 2008, with the race being called for Obama at 8pm here in the PST, I personally expect the polls to close here, and the whole wave of CA-OR-WA electoral votes to be placed in Obama's column, with us still needing a TSTC state or two to put us over the top. Unless we pull off an upset win in FL or an unrealistically-early call of VA in our favor, it's probably going to come down to Ohio yet again -- in which case, I could see it taking until 10 or 11 here (i.e. well after midnight in the east) before we get a final call.

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Response to regnaD kciN (Reply #62)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:40 PM

65. Not really...

The margins in Ohio are almost identical to the polls in '08 and that state was called before 10.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:36 PM

63. Great! Thanks! n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:38 PM

64. But...but....but...

He's a Kenyan socialist and pals around with Bill Ayers....how can this be?

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:40 PM

66. I think it's a very close prediction of how the states will be called

2 comments about OHIO:

1. Your scenario assumes that Democrats will overcome Republican electoral theft in OHIO

2. You also assume that the networks will be willing to call OHIO earlier than they may

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:40 PM

67. God bless your typing fingers.

Let it be so.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:46 PM

68. That was fun.

It's like I'm getting a preview of tomorrow night. Feels good.

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Response to Skinner (Reply #68)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:26 PM

81. What? Who? Huh?

...you mean THE Skinner was even reading this post?

*Score* for the Drunken Irishman!

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Response to SoapBox (Reply #81)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:13 AM

125. best quote of the campaign go vote gotv call your friends

d is for drive forward. Loving it. This is my favorite day of the year. E Day. Vote every election. No more 2010s.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:53 PM

69. I mostly agree, but if anything's called on Weds it will be Ohio ...

Just my gut feeling.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:53 PM

70. Looks mighty good to me!


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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:54 PM

71. From a "Drinking Polack"!

Thank's for all the work that you put into this. Wife and I are having a party tomorrow night with about 20 like minded Progressives, Liberals, Democrats, Free Thinkers, but all good caring people, in this haven of Republican wing nuts.

We're going to use your outline to follow the news and check them off as it goes. You did a great job

We had a similar party four years ago and many of our friends are coming back. But I have to say that after that first debate and the following weeks, watching Romney rise in the polls, we weren't sure we'd be doing this again. Except it might have turned into a mass wrist slicing ceremony!

For those of you who are having a party here's what we plan to do as well. I've attached a list of names that I printed out on labels and will stick them to the backs of our group as they enter (or their foreheads). They become the name and have to ask questions of others about them in order to guess who they are. It's a good ice breaker.

Here's the list;

RAHM EMANUEL
SARAH PALIN
BILL CLINTON
RUSH LIMBAUGH
PAUL RYAN
HILLARY CLINTON
MICHELLE OBAMA
JOE BIDEN
KARL ROVE
MITT ROMNEY
NEWT GINGRICH
RON PAUL
GLENN BECK
ROBERT GATES
LILY LEDBETTER
HARRY REID
BARACK OBAMA
NANCY PALOSI

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:55 PM

72. From your lips to god's ears! - n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 06:59 PM

73. Loved reading this!

how awesome if FL went for Obama. VA and NC would be delicious icing on our victory cake.

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Response to bushisanidiot (Reply #73)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:22 AM

103. Very Delicious Icing!

I could completely relax early in the night if it happened this way.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:04 PM

74. I hope you are correct

What if Ohio, New York and Penn take longer to call? We might have to wait until the next day?

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:09 PM

76. Posting and bookmarking

Thanks!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:10 PM

77. I'm thinking Ohio may be held out longer than that...

Especially if the Repukes are able to build in some "irregularities" tomorrow.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:14 PM

78. Replying to bookmark for tomorrow

That is if the site doesn't go batshit during the celebrations

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:23 PM

80. this sounds about right to me.

well done!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:43 PM

82. Excellent, I also looked at last year's. I printed out quite a few for

my party guests tomorrow night.
Thanks!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 07:45 PM

83. so i can find later n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:17 PM

84. Can't wait for this scenario to play out!

A friend of mine at work told me that a prophet in April 2008 prophesied that "an African-American president will be elected and will serve two terms...

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 08:47 PM

86. Love it!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 09:52 PM

87. love it

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:00 PM

88. Hope you are right

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:05 PM

89. I think you are wildly off!

When the polls close in the western states the Networks will be off on the top of the hour break, so the "official" call won't be made until 11:05 Eastern time. And NC is in the win column BABY!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 10:16 PM

90. here are the final details

Obama 72,929,742 52.9%

Romney 63,530,903 46.7%

Electoral Vote

Obama 343

Romney 193

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Response to grantcart (Reply #90)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:24 PM

94. Jesus, I want you to be right. I SO want you to be right. I'd like Robme to win 47%.

It would be poetic justice. Asshole!

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Response to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #94)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:25 AM

104. I honestly believe that he will end up with between 46 and 47 percent.


He started with about 43 percent and went almost no where.

Most of the undecideds normally break for the incumbent. Romney just made it easy.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:11 PM

91. Bookmarked - +1

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:24 PM

95. And I'll hold you to that!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:47 PM

96. Good stuff. Thanks.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Mon Nov 5, 2012, 11:49 PM

97. Nice. But I have my quibbles.

I don't think Michigan, Minnesota, Texas and Wisconsin will be too close/early for the networks to call at 9:00 ET.

And I don't believe for a minute that Romney will concede on Tuesday night or early Wednesday morning. Under any circumstances. It may take weeks. I believe we're going to see lawyers to make the selection of 2000 look like a high school dance.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:04 AM

98. Oh, dear. I probably shouldn't have read this.

Now, when I check things off during the vote-counting, I'll probably start panicking if a single thing doesn't go according to "plan." This isn't going to be good for my nerves.
Nevertheless, I'm still going to keep track of this time-line! And people say that politics are boring!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:08 AM

99. If that holds, Richie Rich's last hope is Faithless Electors.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:08 AM

100. Bookmarking right NOW!!!

Love it.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:12 AM

101. Gee, thanks... Now what do I do with all that food we bought for our guests that night?

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:21 AM

102. Hope it really does go down like this

Bring it on.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:05 AM

105. Thank you Drunken Irishman

This is a great overview.

I've already voted. Fingers crossed!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:21 AM

106. frigging awesome.

Fantastic post. Gonna use it as a guide.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:23 AM

107. Here is my official reply to your predictions

If you are even 75 to 89% accurate, I DEMAND you release your predictions for this coming weekend's slate of football games. College and NFL. Also, should I place a bet on the Vikings to win the Super Bowl?

Forget the Super Bowl pick. I know how that one will go.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:44 AM

109. Love your message. Hope you are right :)

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:45 AM

110. Bookmarking. I don't think Ohio will be called that early

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:51 AM

111. Bookmarked

I am working from 7pm to 7am Pacific time tomorrow. The last time I worked on an election day/night was 2004. I know we're going to win tomorrow and yet, I'm having a little PTSD right now. I'm glad I know what it's from. That night was sheer hell. I actually cried in the arms of one my charge nurses, a fellow democrat.

I will focus on my work tomorrow and if no one tells me how it went, I will find out by how much Obama won when I get home Wednesday morning. And I will not let what happened 8 years ago mess me up. Despite the PTSD, I know you are right and it will be just fine.

And it isn't just Obama, we are hopefully going to deliver a much better Congress as an inauguration gift.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:59 AM

115. One of the reasons I still keep coming to DU

Posts like this one .... Cheers ! ...

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:32 AM

116. Love it!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:56 AM

117. Fucking Awesome

Last edited Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:47 AM - Edit history (1)

And so shall it happen

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 05:22 AM

119. You forgot the part where Romney files suit against Obama in the US Supreme Court

and the political hacks who call themselves judges, but are really kings of the US, declare it would be unfair to Romney if Obama wins no matter what the voters want. The US Supremes once again steal the election for their political cronies. Afterwords, the Koch Brothers are seen handing over briefcases to 5 of the so called justices. Thomas drops his case because he found a hair on it and hundreds of $100 bills spill out.

Just kidding, I hope.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 05:34 AM

120. Rec'd and marking for later.

Looking forward to seeing how close your predictions are tonight DIrishman.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:03 AM

121. I'm late to the party, but I want to

bookmark this thread too to compare. Thanks DI !

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:08 AM

122. Printed out to take with me tonight.

Heading to Amsterdam for the Democrats Abroad election night party. Hoping your predictions are spot on. Know I'll be tired but hope to be happy when I get back home to Cork in the morning.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:55 AM

123. A perfect ending would be

11:40 ET:
Romney takes the stage to concede
Then at 11:45 Romoney is arrested for tax evasion, handcuffed and escorted off stage by the FBI

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Response to INdemo (Reply #123)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:27 AM

126. I sometimes wonder if that wasn't Mitt's primary motivation.

It's like having Al Capone running for POTUS in the 20's....

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Response to Old and In the Way (Reply #126)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:24 PM

153. Perhaps Capone would have made a better candidate

and people like Joe Scar Ed Gillespie and Chuck Todd ( and the list goes on)would still be promoting his agenda,as long as the R was in front of his name

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:12 AM

124. Dwell in possibility. Believe. Yes we can!

Thanks for the inspirational and interesting analysis and hour-by-hour projection, Drunken Irishman.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:39 AM

127. Wow! Well done indeed!

 

I think you nailed it.

This response courtesy of a newbie who has inexplicitly been alerted on twice already...

Sorry. Cant seem to let that go....

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:39 AM

128. Bookmarked!!! Thanks for this, I've been looking for this information for a week. Kudos

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:41 AM

129. Yep, I remember your post 4 years ago

I hope you are right on target again!

I think you forgot one thing though:

3:45 ET Matt Drudge leaks news on the exit polls that later turns out to be completely wrong.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:55 AM

130. gaud do I ever hope you are right.

n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:01 AM

131. IF you are right...can I have your

SUPERBOWL PICK for 2012?

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:26 AM

132. I have your prediction map you made back in March

I printed it out at work and stuck it on my bulletin board. We'll see how close you are!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:55 AM

133. 8PM ET: Is Pennsylvania called for Obama or too close?

Can't have it both ways

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Response to hootinholler (Reply #133)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:34 AM

137. Unless it is like Florida 2000. God forbid.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:06 AM

134. As soon as OH is called for Obama, I expect those at my election party to erupt with celebration

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:31 AM

136. thanks for the reminder......

I remember getting freaked out early in the night last year when McCain was ahead....

I'll know to chill out this year......

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Response to gblady (Reply #136)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:23 PM

163. I think

you mean 2008..

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Response to CoboWowbo (Reply #163)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:42 PM

181. yeah.....

I meant last time......still nervous!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:10 AM

138. K&R!

Love the analysis... think it's spot on, too!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:12 AM

139. kick and hope you are correct

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:14 AM

140. kick so I can find it later.

Hope you are correct.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:15 AM

141. Please let it be so

Thanks for your hard work in putting this together!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:33 AM

142. heh - replying so I can find this later

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 10:46 AM

143. Virginia

Everything I am hearing tells me if Rmoney loses Virginia he loses the election. That will be a very early trend.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 11:16 AM

144. bookmarked

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 11:19 AM

145. Impressive amount of work went into this!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 11:20 AM

146. Tonight I will be a DrunkenIrishwoman.

Can't wait to tell you how amazing you are for having called this so perfectly!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 11:29 AM

147. Hoping you are right.....

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:10 PM

148. President Obama wins FL?

How sweet that would be! I hope. Thank you to Obama FL voters who endure hell to GOTV and Vote. <3

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:16 PM

149. K&R n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:21 PM

150. I want this to be an official transcript on MSNBC tomorrow!!

BOOKMARKED!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:43 PM

151. I love this, however

I think you may have a problem at 9:50. I think Husted may have screwed up Ohio so badly it won't be decided tonight. I'd love it if I'm wrong, of course.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 12:49 PM

152. Excellent. Well done, K&R

I have slight differences but the overall idea is the same!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 01:40 PM

154. Oh, God, I hope you are right!

We also need to keep the Senate and get Congress!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:04 PM

155. From your keyboard . . .

to God's monitor!

That would be a delightful timeline!



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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:17 PM

156. K&R

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:24 PM

158. Kicked for later viewing

 

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:39 PM

159. From your lips, Good Sir!

My true love and I will raise our glasses of Jameson's to you tonight, Drunken Irishman! Love this!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 02:44 PM

160. Please, please make it so....

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:11 PM

161. Interesting... I can't wait to see it happen live

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)


Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:41 PM

164. let's hope, Mick

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 04:49 PM

165. Some states might be "too early to call"...

...but I doubt that there is much doubt how Texas will go. Sure, a lot of us down here are trying to "purple it up" as much as possible, but there is really no question that Rmoney will get our EVs.

Texas will be called for Romney early.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:34 PM

166. Rec'd this yesterday, kicking to the top today!

I have a feeling you're right again!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:44 PM

167. Getting close to poll closing time

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:56 PM

168. HERE WE GO!!!!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:58 PM

169. ok, let's see how good you are

I vote 347

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Response to relayerbob (Reply #169)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:32 PM

173. actually - he's pretty damn good....



so far Drunken Irishman is right on the money

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 06:59 PM

170. PRINTING THIS OUT

and parking my butt on the couch for the duration....

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:15 PM

171. Kick!

 

n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:16 PM

172. 15 minutes in, it's all going according to your script.

The suspense is killing me!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:52 PM

174. 7:51 pm here and damn, you are right on the money.

MSM currently showing 13-3 Romney just like you predicted.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:59 PM

175. 8 PM Eastern and MSNBC has it O 3 R 49...but a bunch of good blue states are about to close.

 

Called Indiana instantly. Not sure how bad a sign that is

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:05 PM

176. the 8:00 predictions are correct -

with the exceptions of NJ & Pennsylvania....too early to call



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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:15 PM

177. Politico seems to be following this quite closely while MSNBC

is currently off in Romney la la land.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 08:53 PM

178. kick

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:08 PM

179. Bookmarking to follow later tonight - n/t

 

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 09:33 PM

180. So far so good----

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 11:17 PM

182. Well done my friend....

Good work!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 11:37 PM

183. hahahaha!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 11:40 PM

184. Helluva good call, but no Rmoney to concede methinks for hours

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:35 AM

185. Off on some ... but pretty good, eh?!?

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #185)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 03:07 AM

186. Pretty darn good.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #185)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 06:19 AM

187. When the Florida counting finishes fully

the result is EXACTLY as you predicted on this thread! WELL DONE, mate!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #185)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 05:36 PM

193. Awfully damned good! I referred to this frequently throughout the night.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #185)

Fri Nov 9, 2012, 09:57 AM

198. Pretty good?

That was flippin' AWESOME!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 06:45 AM

188. Love you, DI!!!

I printed out your analysis yesterday afternoon; then last night, whenever a state was called, I checked the call against your narrative. WOW... nearly 100%

You kept me grounded and sane; I even started a thread thanking you after Ohio put Obama over the top.

You are a WONDERFUL

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:35 AM

189. BRAVISIMO!!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:30 AM

190. 332/206

BRAVO!

Spot on once they finally call Florida, which they seem reluctant to do.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:51 AM

191. You rock!

Who are you?!!! You are amazing! Thank you for this post. We kept looking at it last night. We are waiting right now for FL to be called. It looks like your EV prediction will be spot on !!! Bravo sir, bravo!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:23 AM

192. now gimmie the lotto numbers, please...

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Response to Blue_Tires (Reply #192)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:31 PM

194. Yes, DI, give me the lotto

numbers. Need them badly here!

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Response to Blue_Tires (Reply #192)

Fri Nov 9, 2012, 10:09 AM

199. Yeah, I'm in too

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:34 PM

195. Great job!!!!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:47 PM

196. You're amazing drunken Irishman ...

... I wish I was drinking what you drink!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Fri Nov 9, 2012, 08:48 AM

197. BUMPING IT up what accuracy it was, well almost

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Response to outsideworld (Reply #197)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 07:26 AM

200. In future election prediction outcomes, it's safe to put Florida in the "we'll know by Fri." column

What an embarrassment FL is.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 07:35 AM

201. You're gonna be the next Nate Silver, man

good job.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 07:36 AM

202. This is a late thank you.

This was a very welcome remedy against the fake sporting event that dominated the media. I figured the exact timing of the winning announcements would be slow and reluctant in certain states but by and large it made the progress of events very easy and encouraging to follow.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 09:49 AM

203. Just wanted to say Great Job!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Sat Nov 10, 2012, 09:55 AM

204. You must have a crystal ball!

Bring on the inauguration!

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 14, 2012, 01:04 AM

205. This was amazing! n/t

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 14, 2012, 01:30 AM

206. Well done!

Commenting partly to applaud, and partly to kick for those who'd forgotten this.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Nov 14, 2012, 04:30 AM

207. Kudos for your calls.

I thought about your projections on election night and without referring back to your calls, I already knew you were pretty spot on. It was nice to temper the enthusiasm of the right-wingers early in the evening when they were in the lead.

Outstanding post.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Thu Dec 27, 2012, 03:53 PM

208. I was cleaning out some old notes, and ran across this, and have to say how impressed I was / am.

Edited - I had no idea that replying to a thread this old would kick it to the top of the forum listing! I figured after all this time, it wouldn't get kicked to the top, and only you would see it (there's some rule I read about in Help or Meta that threads that age beyond a certain point -- I believe that fall to beyond page 30 when listed chronologically by last reply -- become "archival" and don't get kicked to the top of the forum listing any longer. That's probably true, but I didn't realize that a thread whose last reply was on Nov. 14 in the Politics 2012 forum, would still be within the first 30 pages on Dec 27 in this forum. Oh well, live and learn. Congratulations anyway!

Edited - I see that posts with last reply of Nov 14 are listed on about pages 22 and 23.

Sorry about anyone inconvenienced by this -- I've written down the number of views shortly after posting and am watching the number climb .

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