Question for CO Du'ers

[GallopingGhost]

Yahoo is reporting that Republicans are doing better in early voting.

How is it being reported locally where you are?

Silver has President Obama at 68%, very good.

I feel confident we will win CO but am interested in thoughts from the natives.

[Samjm]

1. Same

Local news is reporting it the same way Yahoo does. I don't dispute the story at all. CO has roughly 1/3 registered Repub. 1/3 registered Dem, and 1/3 registered Unaffiliated - which is why we're a swing state. There are slightly more registered Repubs than Dems. It all hinges on the Unaffiliateds (Independents). I think Obama will do well with that group.

[GallopingGhost]

2. I hope so.

I'd like to see him carry the state, even if it's by a narrow margin.

[grantcart]

3. Here is the best analysis of CO numbers.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/01/1153415/-CO-Early-Vote-Update-conversation-with-political-press-reporter-what-it-means-w-historic-data-GOOD

Colorado is unusual because apparently a lot of Dems sign up as Indies.

Historically we improved on 4 years ago but it is true that Republicans outnumber Dems in early voting.

It is also seems to be true that is well within the range to win CO with the tradititional break of Indies going heavy for CO.

[GallopingGhost]

4. Thank you.

I guess Tuesday night will tell.

[Recursion]

5. No need to bury our heads like Freepers: CO (edit: not NV) early voting aren't going our way

That's not to say we should write the states off yet, but our early voting in the west isn't going as well as in the east.

edit: my bad. I was looking at NV absentee ballots (which are leaning R) not NV early voting.

[LisaL]

6. NV? WTF are you talking about?

[Recursion]

8. Oops... I was looking at the absentee numbers, not early voting

Nevermind the NV thing there.

[LisaL]

9. Yea, I've seen nothing to indicate we are not doing well in NV.

[GallopingGhost]

7. I've been reading from several sources

that early voting is going well for President Obama in Nevada?

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/03/1154634/-Nevada-Early-Voting-Update-11-2-12

[Samjm]

10. It's all down to the Unaffiliated

From: http://www.cnn.com/2012/11/02/politics/king-battleground-colorado/index.html

The in person early voting ends here on Friday and heading into the final hours, Republicans appeared to have a slight edge -- a more than 38,000 advantage in absentee ballots returned. But there's a big wild card: some 342,000 ballots returned by voters who are not affiliated with either party.

(Bolding mine).

I know MANY MANY MANY Dems who are registered as Unaffiliated. It isn't an anomaly here at all. I'm sure there are as many Repubs registered Unaffiliated too.

I really am not at all concerned about the 38,000 advantage in early returns that the Repubs have. There's a huge number of Unaffiliated returns.