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2016 Postmortem

bpositive

(423 posts) Sat Nov 3, 2012, 08:55 PM Nov 2012

0

QQ regarding poll election night predictions

Can anyone tell me if Nate Silvers poll predictions or any others account for the probability of fraud and other shenanigans?

Thanks

3 replies

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QQ regarding poll election night predictions (Original Post) bpositive Nov 2012 OP

I don't think so. Renew Deal Nov 2012 #1

I don't think there's a way of quantifying that... regnaD kciN Nov 2012 #2

No - they only reflect future INTENT as reflected by polling brooklynite Nov 2012 #3

Renew Deal

(81,852 posts)

1. I don't think so.

Reply to bpositive (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 09:20 PM

Nov 2012

I think he's working off of the available poll numbers.

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

2. I don't think there's a way of quantifying that...

Reply to bpositive (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 09:38 PM

Nov 2012

brooklynite

(94,489 posts)

3. No - they only reflect future INTENT as reflected by polling

Reply to bpositive (Original post)

Sat Nov 3, 2012, 09:40 PM

Nov 2012

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