Don’t underestimate Hillary Clinton | From Conservative columnist J. Rubin at WashPost

[BootinUp]

Jennifer Rubin in writing for her conservative opinion column, takes plenty of shots at Clinton, and points out Trumps severe challenges, her final conclusion is the following:

Demographic changes are occurring at such rapid rates that, in some states, regaining 2004 levels of support simply will not be enough for the Republican presidential candidate to win them back in 2016. In other words, as voters of color become a larger share of the electorate, winning a state in 2016 will necessitate a higher level of support among voters of color than in past elections. . . . When President Bush won Ohio in 2004, voters of color collectively comprised less than 14 percent of the state’s electorate. By 2016, African Americans will constitute more than 12 percent of the electorate, and people of color collectively will account for 17 percent of the state’s electorate. In light of these changes, CAP’s analysis finds that in 2016, if—across racial and ethnic groups—voters cast ballots as they did in 2004, the Democratic candidate would win by a margin of 3.6 percentage points. …

In 2004, non-Hispanic white voters’ support for Democratic presidential candidate Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) was higher than their support for President Obama in 2012, meaning that, under the second simulation, Democrats would pick up more support among white voters than they did in 2012. But even if the Republican candidate in 2016 maintains the high support that Gov. [Mitt] Romney received among white voters, while at the same time regaining 2004 levels of support among voters of color, the GOP would still lose Ohio.

Add in Trump’s considerable problems with women voters, and you see the advantage Clinton has.

In sum, while not by any stretch of the imagination a great candidate, Clinton is likely to be a better candidate in the general than in the primary election. Given her demographic advantage, which is aggravated by Trump’s racist and misogynist language, Clinton becomes formidable. Republicans taking comfort in national polls in May are kidding themselves.

Link to the article WashPost

There are two videos at the link, one of Clinton's SEIU speech and one of a Clinton ad attacking Trump.

[BootinUp]

1. kick