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coffeeAM

(180 posts)
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:33 PM May 2016

CNN: Bernie Sanders has won 19 of the last 25 voting states and is on a roll!

Wow, I am shocked Fredricka Whitfield was allowed to use this as a topic of discussion..

Then the wonderful Nomiki Konst hammered the point home that there is a path to victory and the supers are gonna switch!!

101 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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CNN: Bernie Sanders has won 19 of the last 25 voting states and is on a roll! (Original Post) coffeeAM May 2016 OP
Why are the Supers going to switch? brooklynite May 2016 #1
three ghosts will appear to them in their dreams AgerolanAmerican May 2016 #8
Great analysis. Couldn't have said it better myself. libdem4life May 2016 #16
LOL! that one was funny. apnu May 2016 #17
hahaha! grasswire May 2016 #29
Too bad ghosts don't really exist. TwilightZone May 2016 #31
Wow, I wish I would have thought of that one! BillZBubb May 2016 #44
That's so very good! dchill May 2016 #52
The OP is incorrect. Sanders has not won what is claimed brush May 2016 #69
Excellent nt firebrand80 May 2016 #101
Haven't you been keeping up with recent news reports? bjo59 May 2016 #28
The reports of Podium Bird riding on Unicorns have only been confirmed by Weaver no one else uponit7771 May 2016 #91
there is no momentum in politics. Mary Mac May 2016 #61
I'll give you a few good arguments... MrMickeysMom May 2016 #74
Acres? NurseJackie May 2016 #77
Kickin' with gusto! Faux pas May 2016 #2
Another delusional lo poster for Bernie redstateblues May 2016 #3
ALERT - THIS IS A FORBIDDEN TOPIC ON THE M$M! Vote2016 May 2016 #4
I'm surprised that they let her use that line also TexasTowelie May 2016 #5
They always have one Bernie advocate and one non partisan MattP May 2016 #6
Oh my, the Hillary the MSM Victim. Good thing I didn't have anything like libdem4life May 2016 #10
How outrageous! Hillary gets shafted by the MSM consistently!!!! KPN May 2016 #32
That's not true oberliner May 2016 #7
As the topic states. she said 19 of the last 25 voting states, not contests. coffeeAM May 2016 #12
That's still not true oberliner May 2016 #33
More of this "math" thingy :rolleyes: /sarcasm uponit7771 May 2016 #92
Just saying 19 of 25 doesnt make it true MattP May 2016 #9
Yeah, a roll out of the election. It's OVER!! beaglelover May 2016 #11
No one has won the nomination. There is a only 283 pledged delegates separating them. CentralMass May 2016 #21
That's mainly a function of demographic and geographic clustering Zynx May 2016 #13
no, YOU stop this crap dana_b May 2016 #22
It's not that we don't like it metroins May 2016 #34
Fantasy is thinking that she will outrun the FBI. grasswire May 2016 #58
Thanks so much for your deep and heartfelt concern for our pain. KPN May 2016 #35
this is what democracy looks like grasswire May 2016 #56
This theme of weakness is now nadinbrzezinski May 2016 #14
Too bad he started out so slow and had weak campaigning in early states apnu May 2016 #15
He was there, but no one knew it for around 6 months. Why, you ask? libdem4life May 2016 #18
I didn't ask that. And said as much in my post. (nt) apnu May 2016 #19
Indeed you did. I apologize. libdem4life May 2016 #23
The same media tthat played Trump ad nauseum lostnfound May 2016 #59
DWS also helped Hillary and The Donald by not scheduling some early debates, bvar22 May 2016 #66
I agree. I can't believe anyone on this discussion board did not know that. libdem4life May 2016 #68
I think not having early debates actually helped Bernie oberliner May 2016 #80
I disagree, bvar22 May 2016 #82
You might be right oberliner May 2016 #83
He decided not to contest the early southern states oberliner May 2016 #81
Bernie's path has been discovered!!! JoePhilly May 2016 #20
+1 NCTraveler May 2016 #49
umm.. any unicorns hiding in the bushes?? riversedge May 2016 #73
I believe she was reffering to the super delegates getting scared when they see how weak she has coffeeAM May 2016 #24
The numbers. CentralMass May 2016 #25
The winner of the popular vote should win the nomination etherealtruth May 2016 #26
At the very least the supers should vote proportionately the same way their state voted CentralMass May 2016 #36
Popular vote? What popular vote? KPN May 2016 #38
I abhor the caucus process as it disenfranchises 80%+ of voters etherealtruth May 2016 #41
Wrong. The caucus states must be represented. BillZBubb May 2016 #48
what....? i would prefer they had a primary vote allowing more people to participate etherealtruth May 2016 #55
On that we agree. No more caucases. Maybe we agree on no superdelegates? BillZBubb May 2016 #57
i don't want super delegates either etherealtruth May 2016 #60
The Clintonites were not moaning when she won Vegas, but when she got wiped out in all the other coffeeAM May 2016 #63
I don't care who 'moans' ... the caucus process does not allow etherealtruth May 2016 #67
If everyone voted in primaries quaker bill May 2016 #86
As is mixing totals from open vs closed primaries (which actually would work against KPN May 2016 #88
Based on what? coffeeAM May 2016 #96
really simple quaker bill May 2016 #100
Actually, Bernie wins caucuses and states with fewer people Progressive dog May 2016 #27
But--but--but.... NewImproved Deal May 2016 #30
Be aware that the statement in this OP is not true oberliner May 2016 #37
The bottom line is that there are only 283 pledged delegates separating them at this point. CentralMass May 2016 #40
So, it doesn't matter that the OP is a lie ... you're still going to live in your fantasy world n/t SFnomad May 2016 #42
The actual numbers are real. I live in the real world. CentralMass May 2016 #45
This was a statement made on cnn at approx. 1:30 if you have a problem with the numbers, contact cnn coffeeAM May 2016 #47
Don't believe everything you hear on CNN oberliner May 2016 #53
You people are funny, somebody said it, so it MUST be true ... doesn't matter what the facts are n/t SFnomad May 2016 #64
Seems like this is really irriatating you..maybe you should contact cnn. coffeeAM May 2016 #70
Maybe the problem isn't CNN, its the Bernie supporter lying on CNN onenote May 2016 #79
K&R Henhouse May 2016 #43
This was a statement made on cnn at approx. 1:30 if you have a problem with the numbers, contact cnn coffeeAM May 2016 #46
Or you know...folks can point out the truth here too. Should be welcome for you, right? tritsofme May 2016 #50
+1 uponit7771 May 2016 #93
The childish talk from Hillary supporters here on a path....just what will they do? ViseGrip May 2016 #39
I remember when we shit on the corporate media for lying about Democrats. NCTraveler May 2016 #51
K&R dchill May 2016 #54
Well you got one part right at least. Nomi is pretty awesome. stevenleser May 2016 #62
Indeed, Thank the heavens she dropped Clinton like a bad habbit and Joined the Left! coffeeAM May 2016 #65
Nope, that's not what makes her great. nt stevenleser May 2016 #71
ha ha ha riversedge May 2016 #72
Delusional......... Beacool May 2016 #75
Momentum GreatGazoo May 2016 #76
A Bernie supporter goes on CNN and lies and Bernie supporters here repeat the lie onenote May 2016 #78
k n r cui bono May 2016 #84
I don't think this is right, I wish it was. 19 is the total of states Bernie won (+Dems Abroad) jillan May 2016 #85
right, I get 14 to 14 since march n/t quaker bill May 2016 #87
Two of the states Hillary won had more voters than all 14 of Bernie's combined oberliner May 2016 #89
sorry, you really can't compare a caucus to a primary that way. quaker bill May 2016 #94
Ya we know all about lorida and what went on there! coffeeAM May 2016 #97
More trouble brewing for Hillary, as they get to the 'foundation' transactions. ViseGrip May 2016 #90
That is gonna ve a humb dinger and drag the party through the mud yet again! coffeeAM May 2016 #95
And they were starting to talk foundation this morning nadinbrzezinski May 2016 #98
Yup, heard that. coffeeAM May 2016 #99
 

AgerolanAmerican

(1,000 posts)
8. three ghosts will appear to them in their dreams
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:41 PM
May 2016

The Ghost of Clinton Scandals Past, the Ghost of Clinton Scandals Present, and the scariest one of them all - the Ghost of Clinton Scandals Future.

brush

(53,743 posts)
69. The OP is incorrect. Sanders has not won what is claimed
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:50 PM
May 2016

Since March 8th, Sanders has won the following:

Michigan, Idaho, Utah, Alaska, Hawaii, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming, Rhode Island, Indiana, West Virginia



Since March 8th, Sanders has LOST the following:

Mississippi, Northern Marianas, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Arizona, New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Guam

MrMickeysMom

(20,453 posts)
74. I'll give you a few good arguments...
Sat May 14, 2016, 03:25 PM
May 2016

1) She polls worse against Trump, lately there is zero edge on that.

2) She has secrets and may have committed crimes.

3) Clinton loses many more Sanders voters than the other way.

4) Her legislative accomplishments as senator were unimpressive.

5) Sanders, the “Amendment King” left a lasting and substantial legislative record.

6) Today’s thinkers and activists oppose her – The great raft of intellectuals, writers and activists deeply devoted to social justice, largely permanent outsiders uninterested in lobbying for a job in the administration, overwhelmingly favor Sanders.

7) Superdelegates are hardline Democrats. Their loyalty is to the
Democratic Party, which primarily is to keeping it viable, keeping it in charge, keeping
membership high, keeping donations coming in. This is why they will
side with Sanders at the convention.

MattP

(3,304 posts)
6. They always have one Bernie advocate and one non partisan
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:39 PM
May 2016

Or Marc Lamont Hill who makes it two for Bernie and there is never a Hillary person

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
10. Oh my, the Hillary the MSM Victim. Good thing I didn't have anything like
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:43 PM
May 2016

coffee in my mouth when I read this. Is this the new talking point for today? The Victim Card?

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
33. That's still not true
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:57 PM
May 2016

If you exclude the territories (which I'm not sure why that distinction is being made), then he has won 13 of the last 25 states.

Incidentally, two of the states that he did not win, New York and Florida, had more voters than all 13 of the states he won in that period combined.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
13. That's mainly a function of demographic and geographic clustering
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:45 PM
May 2016

There isn't a path to victory. This is going to be over June 7th. Stop this crap. You're just gonna make this more painful when it happens.

metroins

(2,550 posts)
34. It's not that we don't like it
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:57 PM
May 2016

It's just cringeworthy...we see people posting complete fantasy and trying to pass it off as fiction. Sanders doesn't just need a Hail Mary in the last 3 seconds of the game, he needs like 700 of them in the last second.

Super delegates are not going to switch, Hillary is ahead by every metric, the voters are speaking and the party supports her.

Fantasy does not equal reality.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
14. This theme of weakness is now
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:45 PM
May 2016

Becoming the new normal....three to four months after foreign press and very elite media said this

Trump scares the living day lights out of the establishment

apnu

(8,749 posts)
15. Too bad he started out so slow and had weak campaigning in early states
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:45 PM
May 2016

Especially in the South. Hillary got out to an early lead there and hasn't lost it yet.

She's won more states, more PDs, and more votes than Bernie. His early campaign was sluggish. There are a lot of reasons for that. Nobody took him seriously, the media ignored him as a crackpot, he was not focusing on PoC's and women's issues, an his ground game in those states wasn't strong enough.

Pity that. I wonder what the results would be if Bernie had come out of the gate stronger.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
18. He was there, but no one knew it for around 6 months. Why, you ask?
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:48 PM
May 2016

The corporate media doesn't want to lose their cushy jobs in the rigged system they heard him speak of. They depend on it.

lostnfound

(16,162 posts)
59. The same media tthat played Trump ad nauseum
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:35 PM
May 2016

Go figure. For some inexplicable reason they found the most obnoxious unlikable showman and played him 24-7, until our easily-led countrymen were under his spell.

Thus making it a choice between "corrupt and unlikable" or "horrifying".

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
66. DWS also helped Hillary and The Donald by not scheduling some early debates,
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:47 PM
May 2016

effectively hiding Bernie from the public, and giving all that free National Media to Trump and the Republicans.

DWS may be the single person most responsible for President Trump.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
68. I agree. I can't believe anyone on this discussion board did not know that.
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:50 PM
May 2016

That was discussed in thread after thread. Oh well, thanks for the support.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
80. I think not having early debates actually helped Bernie
Sat May 14, 2016, 07:02 PM
May 2016

He was able to get his message across repeatedly through rallies and other events where he was able to repeat his talking points, unfiltered and unchallenged, much to the delight of the crowds who supported him.

Generally speaking, I think Hillary was stronger than Bernie in the debates. Bernie was at his best in other forums.

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
82. I disagree,
Sat May 14, 2016, 08:00 PM
May 2016

and so do most of the people who watched the debates.
A properly scheduled National Debate is worth Millions in FREE National Exposure to MILLIONS of of voters.
While the rallies were good, what was the max exposure?..20K?...
and THAT was mostly hidden by the Media. Name Recognition was BIG in the early Primaries.

I would have preferred about 3 debates BEFORE the Iowa Caucus.
It that had happened, it would be Hillary playing catch up now.

Hillary surrogate DWS really gave Hillary a helping hand by not scheduling debates, and may be the single most responsible person for President Trump.

....ALL that FREE National Exposure for Trump just to keep Bernie hidden from most Americans.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
83. You might be right
Sat May 14, 2016, 08:49 PM
May 2016

Maybe more debates would've been good for Bernie. I actually think things played out well for him in terms of being able to rally people to his message. His campaign did a good job of using social media and other methods of getting his message across.

I would point out that by the time of Super Tuesday there had been six debates and Hillary did very well on that day. There were another three in the lead-up to the NY and other east coast primaries and Hillary also did very well there.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
81. He decided not to contest the early southern states
Sat May 14, 2016, 07:04 PM
May 2016

That's why he lost. Bad decision on the part of his campaign. Hillary racked up huge wins in those states and Bernie couldn't make it up. If he had made more of a play in the south east, it would be a much closer contest today.

 

coffeeAM

(180 posts)
24. I believe she was reffering to the super delegates getting scared when they see how weak she has
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:52 PM
May 2016

been the second half of the primary season. You know, fading into oblivion after the South!

CentralMass

(15,265 posts)
25. The numbers.
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:53 PM
May 2016

At this point 3,149 standard delegates have been awarded

Hillary has 1,716 and Bernie has 1,433. So Hillary enjoys a 283 delegate lead at this point.

While the reported super delegate count committed so far is Hillary 524 to Bernie's 40. Bernie's 40 out of 564 superd's is 7% of the 564 while Hillary's 524 is 93% of the 564 who have committed to date. Clearly a sham, and the superd's don't officially commit and get tallied until the convention and can and most likely will change.

Bernie is 283 delegates behind and can tie or surpass Hillary in standard pledged delegates before the convention and before she can secure enough standard delegates to win the nomination.

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
26. The winner of the popular vote should win the nomination
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:54 PM
May 2016

The "supers" should respect and follow the popular vote

CentralMass

(15,265 posts)
36. At the very least the supers should vote proportionately the same way their state voted
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:59 PM
May 2016

Of the the 564 superd's that have committed so far 7% have committed for Bernie and 93% have committed for Hillary.

KPN

(15,636 posts)
38. Popular vote? What popular vote?
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:02 PM
May 2016

One, it's been suppressed and subverted in many ways -- hardly popular.
Two, caucuses don't involve popular vote.

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
41. I abhor the caucus process as it disenfranchises 80%+ of voters
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:08 PM
May 2016

Voter suppression is also a significant problem that plagues our system. it needs to be fixed.


The candidate receiving the largest proportion f the popular vote should win the nomination.

BillZBubb

(10,650 posts)
48. Wrong. The caucus states must be represented.
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:19 PM
May 2016

You want to disenfranchise them because their states chose to caucus?

Popular vote alone isn't a fair method.

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
55. what....? i would prefer they had a primary vote allowing more people to participate
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:28 PM
May 2016

What is done is done in this cycle .... their vote should count. I am looking forward.

I would like to see caucuses done away with and replaced with a popular primary vote. Let everyone have a chance to participate and make it count.

I also want to see us aggressively pursue fair elections ... as has historically been the problem, voters in poor and minority areas have been plagued by voting irregularities and voting difficulties

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
60. i don't want super delegates either
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:38 PM
May 2016

Since they exist ... my feeling is that they should vote with the voters. Their votes should mirror the popular vote (which essentially negates any role they might play)

 

coffeeAM

(180 posts)
63. The Clintonites were not moaning when she won Vegas, but when she got wiped out in all the other
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:40 PM
May 2016

caucuses, the narrative changed.

etherealtruth

(22,165 posts)
67. I don't care who 'moans' ... the caucus process does not allow
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:50 PM
May 2016

... participation of the voters. is it your contention that caucuses are inclusive ?

I want a system where participation is encouraged and accessible to all .... the caucus process is extremely limiting and excludes 80+ % of voters.

I don't care who moans or who won a caucus .... it is an exceptionally unfair and exclusive practice and should be replaced .

I do not support any process that stifles or discourages the vote .... that includes voter suppression and irregularities that have largely plagued poor and/ or minority areas.

quaker bill

(8,224 posts)
86. If everyone voted in primaries
Sun May 15, 2016, 07:25 AM
May 2016

mixing vote totals from inherently low turn out caucus states with higher turn out primaries is bogus math.

KPN

(15,636 posts)
88. As is mixing totals from open vs closed primaries (which actually would work against
Sun May 15, 2016, 10:45 AM
May 2016

my preferred candidate -- Bernie) and States that are historically and predominantly blue vs States that are red (w/ work against Hillary).

Strikes me that the solution for Presidential primaries is all States do it the same.

quaker bill

(8,224 posts)
100. really simple
Mon May 16, 2016, 06:36 AM
May 2016

If everyone votes in the same standard method, with the same access to the polls, then the total popular vote would mean something. As long as the processes are different, like auto-registration/vote by mail, contrasted with a three step caucus, requiring travel and repeated attendance for hours, then cobbling the "vote totals" together and calling it a valid result will always be a problem.

It is called method error. You do not combine data collected by radically different methods in that manner. In a meta sense one could perhaps combine the weighted percentage outcomes with a big caveat for limited reliability, but you cannot combine the raw #s for a vote total. It just is not statistically valid.

Progressive dog

(6,899 posts)
27. Actually, Bernie wins caucuses and states with fewer people
Sat May 14, 2016, 01:54 PM
May 2016

which is why he is way behind in pledged delegates. He needs to beat Hillary by an average of nearly 2:1 in the remaining states to tie her in delegates.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
37. Be aware that the statement in this OP is not true
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:01 PM
May 2016

Last 25 voting states

13 won by Sanders: WV, IN, RI, WY, WI, WA, HI, AK, UT, ID, MI, ME, NE

12 won by Clinton: PA, MD, DE, CT, NY, AZ, OH, NC, MO, IL, FL, MS

And two of the states won by Clinton (NY and FL) had more voters than all thirteen of the states won by Sanders combined.

CentralMass

(15,265 posts)
40. The bottom line is that there are only 283 pledged delegates separating them at this point.
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:08 PM
May 2016

With 1,716 pledged delegates Hillary does not have enough to secure the nomination.

Bernie still can either tie or surpass Hillary in pledged delegates before the convention.

 

SFnomad

(3,473 posts)
42. So, it doesn't matter that the OP is a lie ... you're still going to live in your fantasy world n/t
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:11 PM
May 2016

CentralMass

(15,265 posts)
45. The actual numbers are real. I live in the real world.
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:15 PM
May 2016

Hillary has not secured the nomination. Based on the trends, she will have not have secured the nomination before the convention.. it is also not impossible that Bernie will tie or surpass Hillary in pledged (standard delegates) by the convention.

 

coffeeAM

(180 posts)
47. This was a statement made on cnn at approx. 1:30 if you have a problem with the numbers, contact cnn
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:19 PM
May 2016
 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
53. Don't believe everything you hear on CNN
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:24 PM
May 2016

Takes only a little bit of time to look up the correct information. That's one of the best things about the digital age.

 

SFnomad

(3,473 posts)
64. You people are funny, somebody said it, so it MUST be true ... doesn't matter what the facts are n/t
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:44 PM
May 2016
 

coffeeAM

(180 posts)
46. This was a statement made on cnn at approx. 1:30 if you have a problem with the numbers, contact cnn
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:17 PM
May 2016
 

ViseGrip

(3,133 posts)
39. The childish talk from Hillary supporters here on a path....just what will they do?
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:04 PM
May 2016

grief therapy? berners are used to the abuse. we'll fare much better, but me think we're going to see real soon how the hillary people handle death....of a campaign. their own.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
51. I remember when we shit on the corporate media for lying about Democrats.
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:22 PM
May 2016

Here it is being outright cheered.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
62. Well you got one part right at least. Nomi is pretty awesome.
Sat May 14, 2016, 02:40 PM
May 2016

I'm happy to count her among my friends.

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
75. Delusional.........
Sat May 14, 2016, 03:26 PM
May 2016

Hillary will be the nominee, the rest is white noise.

The super delegates will NOT switch to the losing candidate. Let alone a candidate who they don't support in the first place.

Give the nomination to the loser of the primaries and really see a revolution take place within the Democratic party. Did any of you think that millions of Hillary supporters would agree with this????

Sheer lunacy.......



jillan

(39,451 posts)
85. I don't think this is right, I wish it was. 19 is the total of states Bernie won (+Dems Abroad)
Sun May 15, 2016, 07:17 AM
May 2016

24 is how many states Hillary won.

 

oberliner

(58,724 posts)
89. Two of the states Hillary won had more voters than all 14 of Bernie's combined
Sun May 15, 2016, 10:51 AM
May 2016

Among the 14 that Bernie won are Alaska, Hawaii, Idaho, Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, Maine, and Kansas. All the voters in all of those eight states added together do not add up to half the number of people who voted in Florida, which Hillary won handily.

quaker bill

(8,224 posts)
94. sorry, you really can't compare a caucus to a primary that way.
Sun May 15, 2016, 01:32 PM
May 2016

two different models with two completely different turnouts. That said, one can win the popular vote and still lose the Presidency.

I live in FL and am unimpressed. Trump won here by pretty big margins too.

 

ViseGrip

(3,133 posts)
90. More trouble brewing for Hillary, as they get to the 'foundation' transactions.
Sun May 15, 2016, 10:53 AM
May 2016

One hundred million to mideast leaders? How can she represent anyone in this country?




SHE CAN'T. SIMPLY.

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