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ffr

(22,636 posts)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 03:15 PM Oct 2012

GOTV Colorado (CO), 10/31/12 Dems down slightly in EV

With 1,150,698 votes cast in early voting, Reps lead Dems by 4.0 points
Republican lead
~34,500 votes

Statewide early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 405,046 or 35.2 percent (Dems to Reps only 48.0%)
Republicans -- 439,567, or 38.2 percent (Dems to Reps only 52.0%)
Others -- 306,086, or 26.6 percent

Assuming Colorado IAPs support based on recent polls of 48/31 (79% of 1.00) in favor of Obama and unscientifically assuming the majority of the 21% undecideds split the same way and discarding what remains (about 5%) as votes for 3rd party candidates, the numbers above would reflect:

Dems: 582,820, or 51.3%
Reps: 554,380, or 48.7%
This may be or may not be something closer to a realistic conservative estimate of the final result ratios, but it does place weight on undecideds. So pick which ratios you believe.
GMU.EDU 2012 Election Statistics
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GOTV my fellow Democrats. Come on Colorado! Swing the congressional balance of power to Obama. Victory 2012

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GOTV Colorado (CO), 10/31/12 Dems down slightly in EV (Original Post) ffr Oct 2012 OP
Colorado will be BLUE SubgeniusHasSlack Oct 2012 #1
 

SubgeniusHasSlack

(276 posts)
1. Colorado will be BLUE
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 03:19 PM
Oct 2012

The OFA ground game in Colorado is robust and the legalization of herb issue will ensure that lots of independents come out and support The President.

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