GOTV Colorado (CO), 10/31/12 Dems down slightly in EV
With 1,150,698 votes cast in early voting, Reps lead Dems by 4.0 points
Republican lead
~34,500 votes
Statewide early/mail numbers:
Democrats -- 405,046 or 35.2 percent (Dems to Reps only 48.0%)
Republicans -- 439,567, or 38.2 percent (Dems to Reps only 52.0%)
Others -- 306,086, or 26.6 percent
Assuming Colorado IAPs support based on recent polls of 48/31 (79% of 1.00) in favor of Obama and unscientifically assuming the majority of the 21% undecideds split the same way and discarding what remains (about 5%) as votes for 3rd party candidates, the numbers above would reflect:
Dems: 582,820, or 51.3%
Reps: 554,380, or 48.7%
This may be or may not be something closer to a realistic conservative estimate of the final result ratios, but it does place weight on undecideds. So pick which ratios you believe.
GMU.EDU 2012 Election Statistics
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GOTV my fellow Democrats. Come on Colorado! Swing the congressional balance of power to Obama. Victory 2012