National Journal Poll: Obama 50, Romney 45

[VirginiaTarheel]

This final Congressional Connection Poll before the Nov. 6 election found that among likely voters, President Obama has reopened a slim advantage over Mitt Romney

The United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll, conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, surveyed 1,010 adults—including 713 likely voters by cell phone and landline—on Oct. 25-28. It has a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points for the entire sample, and 4.4 percentage points for likely voters.

Overall, the survey found Obama leading Romney among likely voters by 50 percent to 45 percent, after the two tied at 47 percent each in a late-September Congressional Connection Poll.

In its likely-voter model, the Congressional Connection Poll projected that the 2012 electorate will be virtually unchanged from 2008, with Democrats holding an 8 percentage-point advantage among voters (compared with 7 points last time) and whites representing 73 percent of voters (compared to 74 percent last time).

http://www.nationaljournal.com/daily/anger-aside-voters-favor-d-c-status-quo-20121031

[VirginiaTarheel]

1. Conducted October 25-October 28

The United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll, conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International, surveyed 1,010 adults—including 713 likely voters by cell phone and landline—on Oct. 25-28. It has a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points for the entire sample, and 4.4 percentage points for likely voters.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

2. WOWSA

On the eve of the first debate they were knotted up 47-47. I remember that poll. Right wingers will be shitting themselves. Their philosophy stinks. Now their odor will match their philosophy.

[PsychProfessor]

3. BWAHAHAHAHA!!

This is what I am talking about. Wow!!!!!!!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. I Never Bought The Pop Vote/EC Vote Split Argument

Never. And if there was a split it would be fairly insignificant like 2000.

[VirginiaTarheel]

5. Except for daily tracking polls, we will now have final polls of campaign coming out

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. This Is Great News

And this poll doesn't reflect the Sandy bounce.

[yellowcanine]

9. Sandy bounce will be at least 2 points nationally for Obama.

And more in some of the close swing states.

[Drunken Irishman]

7. That's about what I think the margin will be too.

[WI_DEM]

8. 5-points for Obama=Slim lead; 5-pts for Mitt=landslide

[helpisontheway]

11. Exactly! Media is so pathetic! Nt

[Cosmocat]

17. I REALLY, REALLY wish

I had picked 5 or so polls and tracked the analysis of them over the last few months.

I swear I have seen the word SLIM 100 times, and every stinking time it was for the President and never once for Romney.

[outsideworld]

10. This is a national poll right

[VirginiaTarheel]

14. Yep, a national poll. Their last poll in late Sept had it tied 47-47

[Alekei_Firebird]

12. 5 pts is a "slim" lead? Come on now.

A 5 pt win by either candidate would be a landslide victory.

[BlueDemKev]

16. Because the margin of error is 3.7 pts

[imgbitepolitic]

13. This

Makes more sense.

[imgbitepolitic]

15. oh yeah

[Johnny2X2X]

18. Good news

Just another data point that indicates an Obama win next week. The case is getting stronger to conclude that Obama will win rather handily.

[imgbitepolitic]

19. Its great

MORE!