Quinnipiac: PA is 'in the bag' for Obama

[WI_DEM]

Romney's fake play into PA meets a dose of reality. I believe most of us knew this was an act of desperation. Now Quinnipiac confirms how desperate team Willard is getting.

Go team blue!!

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http://www.slate.com/...


"We haven't bothered with Pennsylvania in these last polls," says Maurice Carroll, director of the polling institute. "It's in the bag for Obama."

That's a somewhat bold position, given that Quinnipiac's last Pennsylvania survey gave Obama only a 4-point lead. But non-partisan polling groups have found basically the same story -- Mitt Romney has not gained the territory he needs in eastern Pennsylvania in order to win the election. He goes on the air today in Philly, just as Barack Obama takes over the news cycle there with a visit to New Jersey's storm-battered towns.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/31/1153024/-Quinnipiac-It-s-PA-in-the-bag-for-Obama
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[AlinPA]

1. A lot of Romney ads bashing the President are running in W. PA. Saw 4 in 1/2 hr this am on WTAE.

[LisaL]

2. Let's hope they got electricity back and are able to vote in Philadelphia.

[Schema Thing]

3. Act of firepower is what it is. They have money to burn. Why not make us (or try to make us)

spend money in PA rather than in a more important place - like downticket races.

[MSMITH33156]

4. What kind of bag?

I am very concerned about the strength of this bag. I read on Free Republic that Mitt is very good at ripping open bags! THIS COULD BE A DISASTER IF TRUE! UGH, we CANNOT afford to lose PENNSYLVANIA!!!! TALK ME DOWN!!!!!!

[damnedifIknow]

6. Looks like a pretty strong bag actually.

Pennsylvania '12 Presidential General Election
Barack Obama 49%
Mitt Romney 43%

Philadelphia Inquirer Susquehanna Bank
10/23/2012-10/25/2012

[Hutzpa]

5. Hey! there is nothing wronng with the Koch brothers spending more money.

PA needs it.

[DCBob]

7. Of course most of us knew this but..

its nice to hear it from a respected unbiased pollster.

[recentparolee]

8. Closing Argument

MY CLOSING ARGUMENT (feel free to copy/paste/forward, etc. -- with or without attribution):

(1) From 1991-2012, four out of five Governors of Massachusetts are Republicans.

(2) Nov. 2006: One year BEFORE the financial meltdown of 2007, Mitt Romney finishes his term as Governor of Massachusetts with a 34% approval rating.

(3) January 2010: Republican Scott Brown wins a special election to fill the vacant Senate seat of the late Ted Kennedy, who died in August of that year.

(4) October 2012: Scott Brown is in a dead heat in his race for re-election to the Senate, running against a well-funded, highly respected Democrat, Elizabeth Warren.

(5) October 2012: Mitt Romney is 20+ POINTS behind Barack Obama in Romney's home state of Massachusetts.

DEAR AMERICA:

WE WHO KNOW HIM BEST -- THE PEOPLE OF HIS HOME STATE -- WOULDN'T TOUCH MITT ROMNEY WITH A 10 FOOT LONG BAYONNET. MAY WE RESPECTFULLY SUGGEST THAT YOU TAKE A CUE FROM THAT? IF YOU WOULDN’T MARRY OR GO INTO BUSINESS WITH SOMEONE WHOSE OWN NEIGHBORS AND ACQUAINTANCES DON’T TRUST HIM AND TRY TO STEER YOU CLEAR, WHY MAKE SUCH A PERSON YOUR PRESIDENT?

[budkin]

9. No, because ROOOOOOO-MENTUUUUUUUM!

SURGING!!!

[fujiyama]

10. Meaning he has MI as well

MI is usually a point or two to the left of PA, '08 being an exception and a complete blowout.

Obama did particularly well in WI in '08 as well. Both MI and WI were around 15 points. Neither will be won by such high margins, but I'm thinking at least 5 points each. And at least 3-4 for OH, which leans slightly right of the others.