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cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
Fri May 6, 2016, 12:45 AM May 2016

Prediction: Hillary's "Legacy" will be the first one-term Democratic President since Jimmy Carter.

The People (of whom I consider myself one) want change. Not finger-wagging "I told them to cut it out" change, either.

If the country continues on its current arc with regard to income inequality, we're only a couple decades away from torches and pitchforks. If we've already reached the "tipping point" of GCC as I've read over and over, and crops begin failing as predicted... we're less than two decades away from that.

She's got two and a half years after she's elected before the 2020 General Election becomes an issue. No transformative change? She'll have to survive a primary challenge. She'll also be known as the President who presided over the advent of government-wide term limits.

She won't be remembered as a Senator. She won't be remembered as Secretary of State. She'll be remembered as a one-term Democratic President who merely served as a placeholder for her successor.

Why? Gridlock. In the likely situation she'll be in, without a Democratic congress, she'll experience gridlock like we've never seen. Nothing will change. Because of that, when the time comes to start thinking about the 2020 election... she'll face a primary challenge. This time? Independents will know beforehand they need to change their affiliation and closed primaries WILL NOT be the firewall the DNC needs to rig the game.

One. Term. President. That's Hillary's legacy. Take that to da bank.

69 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Prediction: Hillary's "Legacy" will be the first one-term Democratic President since Jimmy Carter. (Original Post) cherokeeprogressive May 2016 OP
Is this part Bargaining or Acceptance? LuvLoogie May 2016 #1
still on anger- there should be a category for posts like this redstateblues May 2016 #3
Trump is more likely to win. Baobab May 2016 #30
It's reality. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #4
sock puppets Baobab May 2016 #33
This message was self-deleted by its author artislife May 2016 #51
It's both! A person can be in two stages simultaneously. NurseJackie May 2016 #60
Your fondest wish-actually we have a good chance to take back the Senate redstateblues May 2016 #2
Who said a single word about Bernie Sanders running in 2020? cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #6
name one "progressive" who would beat Hillary in a primary-Bernie with all his minions redstateblues May 2016 #11
Stop talking about Bernie and get with the reality of a President who hasn't managed change by 2016. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #16
So you think BS would only be a 1 term President as well, eh? Because if you think Secretary Clinton SFnomad May 2016 #5
I don't think Bernie Sanders has ever planned to run for reelection. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #7
How about Nader as a VP with Bernie redstateblues May 2016 #12
Dick... is that you? cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #17
How about Dick Cheney for Clinton? HooptieWagon May 2016 #20
This message was self-deleted by its author artislife May 2016 #54
If Richard Nixon were alive, he would be the perfect VP for Hillary Clinton. Two peas in a pod. (nt) w4rma May 2016 #49
On the contrary, Clinton supporters seem to think that she will "get things done" and Sanders won't. That Guy 888 May 2016 #57
Isn't that basically the question I just asked? Typical that you couldn't answer the SFnomad May 2016 #65
The "obtuse" response. Ok I'll play along. That Guy 888 May 2016 #67
And I never said they would n/t SFnomad May 2016 #68
This message was self-deleted by its author TM99 May 2016 #8
Hillary Clinton is a walking no-win situation. nt cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #9
What about Bernie' revolution? What about his "movement" in the coming mid terms. redstateblues May 2016 #26
This message was self-deleted by its author TM99 May 2016 #35
not really going out on a limb, historically speaking. unblock May 2016 #10
We're LUCKY Reagan wasn't elected in '76. We would have gone to war with the Russians over Iran. nt cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #13
totals of actual votes cast to this date disallow your contentions nt msongs May 2016 #14
"Votes cast" are minus those independents who didn't know they couldn't vote for Bernie. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #18
First Husband-Wife impeachments. HooptieWagon May 2016 #15
Two-for-one? The way the Clintons have always promised? God forbid she gets elected... nt cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #21
I agree this will probably happen, although it would surely happen with Sanders too. ContinentalOp May 2016 #19
My preference would be four years of Bernie, and eight years of Elizabeth Warren. nt cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #22
Sure ok ContinentalOp May 2016 #24
It was ever thus, and thus it shall be once more... cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #29
This time I'm planning for it. ContinentalOp May 2016 #32
Bitter much? Beacool May 2016 #23
Au contraire. I'm not bitter in the slightest. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #27
So you agree she will win? nt Jitter65 May 2016 #25
Either would beat Trump. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #28
The Clinton Coaltion will be stronger than ever by 2020. oasis May 2016 #31
Quit your day job. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #34
This message was self-deleted by its author TM99 May 2016 #36
This ain't the UK, Hillary ain't Thatcher. Although I agree oasis May 2016 #37
This message was self-deleted by its author TM99 May 2016 #38
Hillary will be a no nonsense Commander in Chief. oasis May 2016 #39
This message was self-deleted by its author TM99 May 2016 #40
I met her once, no beer. She's good people. oasis May 2016 #42
Unless you're an Enlisted person in the Armed Forces of the United States of America. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #44
A thermo nuclear war would include civilians as well as armed oasis May 2016 #47
So NEXT TIME liberal Independents all turn out big? But not now- or in two years? WTFingF? bettyellen May 2016 #41
They won't be caught unaware of the need to change their affiliation in order to vote in primaries. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #45
Caught unaware? apcalc May 2016 #56
Yes and thankfully I don't see it happening again. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #66
You know the best part about making such outlandish claims mythology May 2016 #43
Bookmark it then. It's not hard. cherokeeprogressive May 2016 #46
Mitch McConnell........is that you?? thelordofhell May 2016 #48
lol nt BootinUp May 2016 #69
Four years of regurgitated Clintonomics Sky Masterson May 2016 #50
I'm not assuming she will be the nominee or win the general if she is the nominee. merrily May 2016 #52
La la la I can't hear you - also Trump and a gender! Betty Karlson May 2016 #53
Well, if Bernie can't win, let's at least wish the worst for the first woman president Onlooker May 2016 #55
Not necessarily. But we would definitely get creamed in 2018 n/t eridani May 2016 #58
I've been thinking the same thing. Here's why. Proud Public Servant May 2016 #59
If she somhow gets elected, she'll be impeached. Waiting For Everyman May 2016 #61
You mean like Obama? Demsrule86 May 2016 #62
Let me just say also Demsrule86 May 2016 #63
Bookmarking for 2020. Adrahil May 2016 #64
 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
4. It's reality.
Fri May 6, 2016, 12:55 AM
May 2016

Yes, I'm a Bernie Sanders supporter. I see two possible outcomes. One where the playing field gets leveled by a person who never really benefited from DECADES public service, and one where the person who turned public service into a gold mine the likes of which we've never seen before.

I find myself flabbergasted by two things this cycle... those who call themselves Democrats who rail about Bernie Sanders' plans that will increase their taxes by a few pennies per dollar, and those who use the term "freebie" like they just came from free republic.

Response to LuvLoogie (Reply #1)

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
60. It's both! A person can be in two stages simultaneously.
Fri May 6, 2016, 07:29 AM
May 2016

This poster has apparently accepted reality but is still trying to create doubts and fears by trying to convince Hillary supporters of a worst possible outcome. Next they try to bargain and trade that fear and turn it into a vote for Bernie.

In the past, they have attempted to create fears based on the prediction that Hillary would lose to Trump. But it now seems that the new fear they are trying to create is that Hillary will be a one-term president.

So ... even though they continue to not have success with these bargaining chips they are creating, it's still progress no matter how you view it.

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)
2. Your fondest wish-actually we have a good chance to take back the Senate
Fri May 6, 2016, 12:51 AM
May 2016

change the SCOTUS, overturn Citizens United. Bernie running against in the Primaries again at 79? I doubt it.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
6. Who said a single word about Bernie Sanders running in 2020?
Fri May 6, 2016, 12:57 AM
May 2016

There are a SHIT TON of Democrats out there who don't support Hillary Clinton but are afraid to say it.

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)
11. name one "progressive" who would beat Hillary in a primary-Bernie with all his minions
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:01 AM
May 2016

gave her a good challenge but still lost. Who are Bernie's allies? Merkley is the only Senator backing Bernie

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
16. Stop talking about Bernie and get with the reality of a President who hasn't managed change by 2016.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:05 AM
May 2016

Bernie won't run. Every young Democrat in Congress will be thinking about it though. It will be a different WORLD in 2019, politically.

 

SFnomad

(3,473 posts)
5. So you think BS would only be a 1 term President as well, eh? Because if you think Secretary Clinton
Fri May 6, 2016, 12:56 AM
May 2016

will face gridlock, but BS wouldn't (or less of it), you're smoking some good stuff. Republicans wouldn't be any easier to work with for BS.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
7. I don't think Bernie Sanders has ever planned to run for reelection.
Fri May 6, 2016, 12:59 AM
May 2016

I think he'd pick a VP whose experience was much like his. A VP we would be happy to support as his successor.

Response to HooptieWagon (Reply #20)

 

w4rma

(31,700 posts)
49. If Richard Nixon were alive, he would be the perfect VP for Hillary Clinton. Two peas in a pod. (nt)
Fri May 6, 2016, 03:18 AM
May 2016
 

That Guy 888

(1,214 posts)
57. On the contrary, Clinton supporters seem to think that she will "get things done" and Sanders won't.
Fri May 6, 2016, 05:48 AM
May 2016

Which always seemed strange to me. Do you really think that the more extreme than Newt's congress is looking forward to working with anyone that isn't a republican?

 

SFnomad

(3,473 posts)
65. Isn't that basically the question I just asked? Typical that you couldn't answer the
Fri May 6, 2016, 08:26 AM
May 2016

question I just asked though.

 

That Guy 888

(1,214 posts)
67. The "obtuse" response. Ok I'll play along.
Fri May 6, 2016, 11:47 AM
May 2016

Neither Sanders or Clinton will get cooperation from republicans. It is foolish to pretend republicans will cooperate with a more moderate Clinton.

Response to cherokeeprogressive (Original post)

redstateblues

(10,565 posts)
26. What about Bernie' revolution? What about his "movement" in the coming mid terms.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:20 AM
May 2016

Yeah- That's what I thought- it was just a bumper sticker slogan. If there really was a movement Bernie would lead progressives to victory in the mid terms. As despicable as the Tea Party is, they at least got organized enough to win some congressional seats-Why doesn't Bernie use his considerable popularity to form a real progressive caucus-Is he just going to give up after all this-Why aren't you Sanders' supporters doing something with all the strength you have demonstrated. I don't get all the negativity. There is a chance to build on all the good Bernie has done.

Response to redstateblues (Reply #26)

unblock

(52,196 posts)
10. not really going out on a limb, historically speaking.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:00 AM
May 2016

obama is the 3rd 2-termer in a row (clinton, shrub, obama). that's only ever happened once before (jefferson, madison, monroe).

4 in a row has never happened and seems very unlikely no matter who it is.

moreover, obama managed 8 years without a recession people may not have liked the anemic growth, but it was all steady improvement from the crater of an economy shrub left us.

12 years without a recession is too much to ask for, so the next lucky winner of the white house will also very likely be the lucky winner of a recession, which doesn't look good on a presidential resume when running for re-election.


the carter presidency was also doomed for reasons well beyond the control of the oval office, he just had the dumb luck to be the occupant at the time.

it's fun sometimes to wonder what it might have been like if reagan had somehow won in 1976 and been president when interest rates broke 20% and iran took the hostages.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
18. "Votes cast" are minus those independents who didn't know they couldn't vote for Bernie.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:07 AM
May 2016

They won't get fooled again.

Sounds like a song lyric to me...

ContinentalOp

(5,356 posts)
19. I agree this will probably happen, although it would surely happen with Sanders too.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:08 AM
May 2016

That might just be the hand we've been dealt at the moment. 16 years of democratic presidents seems even less likely. With luck we get in there, appoint some supreme court justices, let republicans obstruct, investigate and attack her to the point that the public gets disgusted and we win back congress. Then they nominate somebody slightly more sane than Trump and take back the White House. Would you rather this sacrificial lamb be the great socialist progressive hope, or the last gasp of the DNC establishment?

ContinentalOp

(5,356 posts)
24. Sure ok
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:19 AM
May 2016

My preference would have been for Ralph Nader to win in 2000. My second choice would have been Al Gore. Reality was a harsh disappointment.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
29. It was ever thus, and thus it shall be once more...
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:24 AM
May 2016

Disappointment is the most common outcome of the Human Condition.

ContinentalOp

(5,356 posts)
32. This time I'm planning for it.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:28 AM
May 2016

I'm going to take the unexciting inevitable candidate and damnit, I'm going to like it!

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
23. Bitter much?
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:18 AM
May 2016

Yeah, because Sanders would have been able to pass his agenda by waving a magic wand. As for one term presidents, he definitely would have been one. He'll be 75 years old on election day. An 80 years old president? I doubt it.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
27. Au contraire. I'm not bitter in the slightest.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:22 AM
May 2016

You'll likely get your female President. The time is right. The sad part is the person isn't.

As I said in a different post... I don't believe Bernie Sanders has ever seen himself as a two-term President and I'm certain his VP pick would have been one we could all get behind in a heartbeat.

oasis

(49,376 posts)
31. The Clinton Coaltion will be stronger than ever by 2020.
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:28 AM
May 2016

The Clinton Machine will make sure of that. Hillary's VP will serve her third term beginning in 2024. This period in American history will be known as "The Clinton Renaissance".

Relax and enjoy the ride.

Response to oasis (Reply #31)

oasis

(49,376 posts)
37. This ain't the UK, Hillary ain't Thatcher. Although I agree
Fri May 6, 2016, 01:54 AM
May 2016

with a familiar comment attributed to Maggie "the problem with socialism is you eventually run out of other people's money".

Too bad the American people won't get to find out if her theory was correct.

Response to oasis (Reply #37)

Response to oasis (Reply #39)

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
44. Unless you're an Enlisted person in the Armed Forces of the United States of America.
Fri May 6, 2016, 02:22 AM
May 2016

Then, you'll be fucked.

Putin is poking us with a stick via his close passes of naval vessels with fighter aircraft. If Hillary is elected, I fully expect those pokes to turn into punches.

Then what?

oasis

(49,376 posts)
47. A thermo nuclear war would include civilians as well as armed
Fri May 6, 2016, 02:33 AM
May 2016

forces personnel. I don't expect Hillary to back down to Putin, or any other insane jackass.

 

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)
41. So NEXT TIME liberal Independents all turn out big? But not now- or in two years? WTFingF?
Fri May 6, 2016, 02:13 AM
May 2016

Interesting theory!

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
45. They won't be caught unaware of the need to change their affiliation in order to vote in primaries.
Fri May 6, 2016, 02:23 AM
May 2016

We'll make damn sure of that.

Bye bye, firewall.

apcalc

(4,463 posts)
56. Caught unaware?
Fri May 6, 2016, 05:10 AM
May 2016

unbelieveable that any voter paying the least bit of attention could be
'caught unaware'.
Pitiful ignorance of voting/registration.....

 

mythology

(9,527 posts)
43. You know the best part about making such outlandish claims
Fri May 6, 2016, 02:18 AM
May 2016

In 4 years, nobody is going to remember how wrong you were. If Clinton wins the general election, she will not have any notable primary competition. I'm sure a handful of literal nobodies would nominally run, but no elected Democrat would do so.

Is the next president likely to be a 1 term president? I think it's likely just due to historical precedence. It's really rare for a party to hold the presidency for 4 consecutive terms. But we are also entering a major demographic shift that bodes very poorly for the Republican party given how reluctant they are to change to attract minority or women voters.

Another problem with your "analysis" that independents will know to register for the Democratic party next time is that Clinton has won a majority of the open primaries. Kind of awkward for your claim.

Clinton won Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Illinois, Massachusetts, South Carolina, Ohio, Texas Virginia, Mississippi, North Carolina and Tennessee. Sanders won Vermont, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Michigan, Oklahoma and Indiana.

Remaining open primaries: Puerto Rico and North Dakota.

This constant whining about the game being rigged has gotten really pathetic. If Clinton were so all powerful, how did Obama beat her? I mean other than Obama being a much better candidate than Sanders.

thelordofhell

(4,569 posts)
48. Mitch McConnell........is that you??
Fri May 6, 2016, 02:49 AM
May 2016

Welcome to DU Mitch.......Enjoy your future as the minority leader in the Senate.



merrily

(45,251 posts)
52. I'm not assuming she will be the nominee or win the general if she is the nominee.
Fri May 6, 2016, 04:49 AM
May 2016

Nothing about this primary has been predictable.

 

Onlooker

(5,636 posts)
55. Well, if Bernie can't win, let's at least wish the worst for the first woman president
Fri May 6, 2016, 05:03 AM
May 2016

Sometimes people let their emotions get the better of them, and simply say negative stuff to get their distress off their chest. I hope your post made you feel better because its really not insightful at all, and just reads like sour grapes. We have no idea how Hillary will be as President. She was certainly a popular Senator in a state that is highly diverse by every measure, and she was actually held in high regard by her colleagues in the Senate, including Bernie. But, you can always hope she does badly. I suppose that's a consolation prize of sorts.

Proud Public Servant

(2,097 posts)
59. I've been thinking the same thing. Here's why.
Fri May 6, 2016, 06:43 AM
May 2016

She enters office as the most unpopular new president in history.
Then, as you say, gridlock keeps her from accomplishing anything of note.
Then, one other factor. Recessions seem to happen in 8-10 year cycles: 1973, 1981, 1990, 2001, 2008. We're due, and she'll get blamed.

Still, I don't see her being unseated in a primary. But I would fear for the general.



Waiting For Everyman

(9,385 posts)
61. If she somhow gets elected, she'll be impeached.
Fri May 6, 2016, 07:37 AM
May 2016

When the public finds out what she has done, it will get ugly. And if the DoJ doesn't act on the FBI's findings, Congressional hearings will take her apart down to nuts and bolts. I don't see any way that is avoided. It's on oncoming train and we're on the tracks.

Demsrule86

(68,543 posts)
62. You mean like Obama?
Fri May 6, 2016, 07:52 AM
May 2016

Obama was re-elected in 12 despite 'gridlock'. And I am sure it the president's fault that there is 'gridlock' (not) Many of you don't bother to vote in off-year elections....and let's say your fantasy was true Hillary was a one term president...then the messiah I am sure you would choose...would face gridlock too. Until you figure out that one person can not do it all, any movement you begin is doomed. We have to take back the states and then Congress. You seem to think that one person can wag his/her finger and presto all is well. That is magic thinking. What Hillary will do is pick up to four nominees to the Supreme Court...and if any GOP had that chance...then you guys would be finished forever. So instead of writing snarky posts...why not lend a hand in order to effect the change you desire.. or.it is easier to believe one guy can do it all...that means you don't have to?

Demsrule86

(68,543 posts)
63. Let me just say also
Fri May 6, 2016, 07:56 AM
May 2016

Jimmy Carter was an honorable man who was shafted by his own party: particularly Ted Kennedy. Kennedy later wrote that was one of his biggest regrets. And here you all are trying to take something you did not earn (the nomination) and blow up the election process which would be worse than electing Reagan...because Reagan was awful...but Trump is way worse and more dangerous. Jimmy Carter got the only peace agreement ever in the Middle East...no other president has ever managed that.

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
64. Bookmarking for 2020.
Fri May 6, 2016, 08:17 AM
May 2016

I love the audacity of claiming to speak for "The People." You sounds like a Teapublican.

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