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Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:27 PM

Nate Silver Update for October 28

October 28, 2012, 2:50 PM

Oct. 27: Minnesota Moonlights as Swing State, but Ohio and Virginia Are More Crucial
By NATE SILVER
With the election so close, Saturday is no longer a day of rest for pollsters. Eight polls were released from potentially competitive states:

See Source for chart and his Post:

http://tinyurl.com/993tnhj



http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/28/oct-27-minnesota-moonlights-as-swing-state-but-ohio-and-virginia-are-more-crucial/

8 replies, 1643 views

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Arrow 8 replies Author Time Post
Reply Nate Silver Update for October 28 (Original post)
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 OP
ashtonelijah Oct 2012 #1
Firebirds01 Oct 2012 #2
Tarheel_Dem Oct 2012 #3
BainsBane Oct 2012 #4
regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #6
BainsBane Oct 2012 #7
BlueState Oct 2012 #5
Phx_Dem Oct 2012 #8

Response to Dalai_1 (Original post)


Response to Dalai_1 (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:32 PM

2. Looks like he picked an odd

 

assortment of polls. The UC poll is the weirdest pick as it is one of the very few to show something other than an Obama lead.

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Response to Dalai_1 (Original post)


Response to Dalai_1 (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:35 PM

4. He still gives Obama a 97% chance of winning MN nt

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Response to BainsBane (Reply #4)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:43 PM

6. Well, considering that the one O+3 poll...

...had R+5 in their previous poll there, it's hard to see this as a sign that Romney's catching up in MN. Or that they've ever been anything but an outlier there.

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Response to regnaD kciN (Reply #6)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:02 PM

7. They had Romney up by 5 in MN?

Really?

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Response to Dalai_1 (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 03:42 PM

5. I used to put a lot of stock in Nate...

...but I found out he was thin and effeminate!

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Response to BlueState (Reply #5)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:07 PM

8. Yeah, I'm always skeptical of anyone who isn't fat and macho!

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