How Will the City of Milwaukee Swing Wisconsin?

[Coyotl]

There are lessons to be learned from the Supreme Court Special Election in Wisconsin.
The main lesson is do not ignore Milwaukee (or, should that be, "Don't let them steal Milwaukee"?).



Some will remember the Milwaukee Anomaly, a huge red shift in the very bluest part of the state while the rest of WI shifted blue.
Did the blue voters stay home only in the City of Milwaukee, or did someone rig the election in Democrat-rich inner Milwaukee?

What caused the Milwaukee Anomaly in 2011?
Will the City of Milwaukee shift back in the blue direction in November?


FROM: http://jqjacobs.net/politics/spreadsheets.html#wisconsin

Wisconsin Anomaly 2011, a recount reflection.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/05/31/980852/-Wisconsin-Anomaly-2011-a-recount-reflection

If Dems want to win this one, Milwaukee is where they have to focus either a powerful get-out-the-vote effort or a high level of scrutiny. I recommend BOTH!

[mysuzuki2]

1. I think it comes down to voter turnout.

People do not always turn out for "off-year" elections. They WILL come out for the presidential election and dems will win handily in the city of Milwaukee. I plan to be at the polls at 7AM when they open.

[Coyotl]

2. Turnout was not a satisfactory explanation for the Milwaukee Anomaly, the red shift issue.

However, turnout will make the difference in Wisconsin this cycle, no doubt about it. And Milwaukee illustrates that point.

[midnight]

3. I agree. Anyone who knows what the Democratic Chair has done to respond to these important concerns?