2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Obama campaign is amassing big leads in early voting, keeping Romney pinned down.
Virtually every swing state we are hearing great things about early voting. This is keeping the battle field wide and forcing to Romney to spread his time and spend his resources in every single swing state.
So far there is really no bad news anywhere:
Ohio it appears that he is 20-30 points ahead
http://www.nationalmemo.com/is-the-race-in-ohio-already-over/
As both presidential campaigns ratchet up their efforts to capture Ohios 18 electoral votes, recent polling suggests the race might already be overfor Mitt Romney.
Certain key data from the latest polls suggest that President Obamas victory in the Buckeye State could be a foregone conclusion because each survey suggests that President Obama holds a double digit lead among those who have already voted.
SurveyUSAs poll showed Obama leading 57 to 38 percent a 19-point margin. Rasmussen Reports, a Republican-leaning pollster, found Obama leading by 29 points, 63 to 34 percent. The Wall Street Journal/NBC News showed Obama ahead by 26 points, 63 to 37 percent. A PPP poll found Obama leading by the largest margin of all, 76 to 24 percent. In all of these cases, the numbers cited reflect only those who have already voted.
North Carolina he is ahead by 100,000 votes.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251175941
Nevada is looking strong
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/25/us/politics/reids-machine-aims-to-push-obama-to-victory-in-nevada.html?smid=tw-share&_r=0
Mr. Vice President, let me give you some real numbers here, Senator Harry Reid, the Democratic majority leader, said to union members who had screamed Harry! when he poked his head around a curtain. These people and others have filled 26 field offices around Nevada and have made 3.2 million phone calls. Obama-Biden has 255 team leaders. Mr. Vice President, these folks have registered 70,000 new voters. Three hundred and twenty-five thousand door knocks.
Mr. Reid has spent the last 10 years building a political machine that helped Mr. Obama win Nevada in 2008 and carried Mr. Reid to a re-election victory two years ago that stunned many pollsters
and this
http://www.examiner.com/article/in-las-vegas-obama-tries-to-rekindle-flame
Early voting in Nevada, which began Oct. 20 and ends on Nov. 2, has Obama leading 57 percent to 43 percent, according to survey results
In Iowa similar results
http://www.press-citizen.com/viewart/20121024/NEWS01/121024011/Official-Early-voting-likely-will-set-Iowa-record-
Registered Democrats had requested 241,069 absentee ballots and returned 175,019 as of Tuesday, according to the Iowa Secretary of State's office. Republicans had requested 167,982 and returned 118,716. More than 132,400 independent voters had requested ballots as well.
And hearing promising 'inside' news on early voting numbers from Florida .
kansasobama
(609 posts)Hope it changes
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Although you can't tell who is ahead because of the large uaffiliated number
http://www.9news.com/news/politics/295907/139/325000-Colo-ballots-cast-after-2-days-of-early-voting
DENVER - More than 325,000 ballots had already been cast in Colorado by mail or in early voting center as of Wednesday morning, according to figures released by the Colorado Secretary of State's office.
Republican turnout outpaced Democrats by more than 5,000 registered voters.
The turnout breaks down into percentages as follows:
39 percent Republican
37 percent Democrat
24 percent Unaffiliated/Other
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)It will be the number of voters encouraging others to also get out and vote, seeing they get to early voting or voting on election day. This is encouraging, even after this election we will need to pursue the same tactics in future elections to get our nation turned in the direction to return to the greatness we are capable of being. We will owe this to President Obama and the machine he started. This can not stop now, the GOP is not strong enough to tell the crazy bunch to get right so we will have to do so by running a strong election machine. Thanks President Obama for leading this machine.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)-LOKI -BAD FOR YA
(308 posts)i believe the tipping point will be on nov 2 when early voting ends .mitt will not be able to claiim he can make up the different, in four days .you can only push so much bs thru a funnel .