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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:18 PM

Nate - 71% - just up

12 replies, 1539 views

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Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
Reply Nate - 71% - just up (Original post)
HERVEPA Oct 2012 OP
aletier_v Oct 2012 #1
NWHarkness Oct 2012 #2
HERVEPA Oct 2012 #3
jonthebru Oct 2012 #5
DMacTX Oct 2012 #4
Samantha Oct 2012 #6
imgbitepolitic Oct 2012 #7
TroyD Oct 2012 #8
JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #9
TroyD Oct 2012 #11
amborin Oct 2012 #10
st17011864200074656 Oct 2012 #12

Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:19 PM

1. Nate's a bigger tease than Trump :)

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Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:25 PM

2. A link would kill you?

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Response to NWHarkness (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:33 PM

3. Geez. Everyone should know this by now, but

WWW.fivethirtyeight.com

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Response to NWHarkness (Reply #2)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 12:06 AM

5. On the google thing, type 538. As easy as that!

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Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:36 PM

4. ma man Nate!

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Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 12:28 AM

6. Obama 290.8 EC votes; Romney 247.2

Romney said a couple of weeks ago all he wanted was 50.1 percent of the popular vote. That might be tough to get if Obama has 50.2 ... but wait, he does!

And the 269 to 269 discussed earlier in a couple of threads has now sank to only a .5 percent chance of happening; earlier it was .7.

Sam

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Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 12:37 AM

7. Hes missing

PPP Nevada +4.

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Response to imgbitepolitic (Reply #7)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:08 AM

8. I think several polls are missing

Perhaps Nate hasn't updated all of it yet.

More polls will probably be added tomorrow, I assume.

He also has some work to do on the Senate side.

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Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:11 AM

9. Probably...

A dumb question but how did Nate do in 08 and 04 when all was said and done?

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Response to JiminyJominy (Reply #9)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:36 AM

11. I think Nate got every state but one in 2008

Not sure if he was doing this in 2004.

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Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:32 AM

10. This is so great!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Response to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 02:42 AM

12. and CO and VA are blue in the 11/6 forecast as well as the nowcast

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