Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:12 PM
smorkingapple (736 posts)
PPP: Barack Obama now leads 49-48 in our national tracking. 3 point gain since he was down by 2 on M
Obama's favorability and approval both up net 3 points over the last 48 hours, Romney favorability down 3:
With 2 nights of post-debate polling factored in, Obama's cut Romney's lead with independents from 9 points to 2:
Obama's up 54/42 with women, 91/6 with African Americans, 58/37 with Hispanics, and 58/38 with young voters nationally:
Romney's up 56/42 with men, 58/39 with whites, and 55/43 with seniors in our national tracking:
Last week Obama had 3 straight good nights after debate, then things kind of reverted back. We'll see if this one has a more lasting effect
10 replies, 1311 views
PPP: Barack Obama now leads 49-48 in our national tracking. 3 point gain since he was down by 2 on M (Original post)
|geek tragedy||Oct 2012||#3|
|Bleacher Creature||Oct 2012||#7|
Response to smorkingapple (Original post)
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:16 PM
Maximumnegro (1,134 posts)
2. They're catching up to the better pollsters
It's 2012. There's no excuse for omitting cell phones. Like Nielson getting ratings based on people w/ radios.
Response to IrishMidget (Reply #4)
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:21 PM
primaryblue (37 posts)
6. If nothing else, better poll results for Obama
means the media won't be able to amplify Team Romney's hype about having all the momentum in the final two weeks.
Response to ncav53 (Reply #8)
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 12:56 AM
aaaaaa5a (4,060 posts)
10. With smaller sub-groups within a poll there is a greater margin of error.
This is why the polling for hispanics and African Americans is frequently off. In the Survey USA poll of Ohio (O+3) they had Romney winning 22% of the black vote.
What happens is, say you have a poll of 100 people. In a group this size, maybe only 3 of them might be hispanic. If you happen to get one person who likes Romney..... BANG..... you have hispanics giving 33% of their vote to the GOP.
You have to be very careful when pulling out minority data from any poll.