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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:07 PM

tired of media pushing rare EV tie

Rachel Maddow just now , and a host of other media pundits are peddling the rare and extremely unlikely scenario that there could be a 269-269 electoral college tie. In my opinion this just foster more fear and uncertainty. I like Rachel but think other aspects of the election could have been covered instead. President Obama will win and win decisively. 310-330 EVs. I am tired of the media pushing this it is a close race fantasy.

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Reply tired of media pushing rare EV tie (Original post)
bench scientist Oct 2012 OP
oswaldactedalone Oct 2012 #1
Jennicut Oct 2012 #2
naturallyselected Oct 2012 #3
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #4
Third Doctor Oct 2012 #5
doc03 Oct 2012 #6
RomneyLies Oct 2012 #7

Response to bench scientist (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:17 PM

1. I enjoyed the discussion

because, as slim as the odds might be, I now see that Robme has a path to 270 which I hadn't considered and that's the Maine 2nd district.

Work hard folks. Obama should win but I want him to kick serious ass and have long coattails down ballot.

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Response to oswaldactedalone (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:45 PM

2. Maine's second district was like over 11 points for Obama in '08.

It is like Romney trying to win Minnesota or something. It just is very, very unlikely. Obama won Maine by 17 points in 2008. The polls show he is ahead there by at least 12 points per the average. Even if Romney gained 5 points in the second district the lead would still be Obama by 5 or 6%. I am not seeing it.

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Response to oswaldactedalone (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:45 PM

3. Won't happen

As I posted in another thread, Maine's 2nd District won't be going to Romney. That district elected a Democratic Representative to Congress. Michaud, while hardly among the more Progressive of Democrats, has a big lead in the polls, his seat is safe, and those same voters aren't going to go Romney.

I know, from afar, it's hard to understand how our sane state elected Penguin LePage for governor, but it was a fluke result of a strong Independent candidate who almost won. Maine likes Independent candidates. King is going to win (marginal improvement over Snowe - he will side with the Democrats far more often) the Senate easily. I remember even Ross Perot doing very well in this state way back when.

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Response to bench scientist (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:47 PM

4. We Have An Election To Win. What Is The Efficacy Of Advancing A Scenario That Just Will Not Happen?

.

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Response to bench scientist (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:15 PM

5. The last time this happened was in the 19th century wasn't it?

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Response to bench scientist (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:17 PM

6. I certainly am, it's just something else they have dreamed up for ratings and

to drive us nuts.

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Response to bench scientist (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:33 PM

7. I've seen this nonsense trotted out every election since 2000

 

They bring it up every election as filler, mostly after they've sold the typical horse race narrative and have not much else to talk about.

Yeah, it's definitely possible. It's also damned unlikely regardless of how divided the nation is. there's a reason why the House has determined the outcome of an election only one time (John Quincy Adams over Andrew Jackson 1824).

It's such a politically toxic outcome the House would do ANYTHING to insure it does not happen, which is the real reason for the Bush v. Gore decision.

Speculation is fun, but it's damned near impossible.

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