HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Go...

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:03 PM

REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide

REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide

by Brett LoGiurato at Business Insider

http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-map-reuters-poll-ipsos-2012-10#ixzz2AAUfqhUy

"SNIP......................................................

With two weeks to go before Election Day, a new Reuters/Ipsos forecast released today predicts an Electoral College landslide for President Barack Obama over Republican rival Mitt Romney.

Obama leads Romney by a point in the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll, 47-46. But results from Ipsos' tracking in key swing states leads to a projection of a much bigger Electoral College victory. The Ipsos projection has Obama winning the big three swing states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

Ipsos' final Electoral College score: 332-206. Here's what the firm's projected map looks like:

.......................................................SNIP"

21 replies, 2842 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 21 replies Author Time Post
Reply REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide (Original post)
applegrove Oct 2012 OP
sheshe2 Oct 2012 #1
Rosa Luxemburg Oct 2012 #2
charlyvi Oct 2012 #3
Blue Idaho Oct 2012 #4
kayakjohnny Oct 2012 #5
gordianot Oct 2012 #6
JackN415 Oct 2012 #14
Robbins Oct 2012 #7
JackN415 Oct 2012 #8
Dkc05 Oct 2012 #9
JackN415 Oct 2012 #10
RainbowOverTexas Oct 2012 #13
JackN415 Oct 2012 #15
RainbowOverTexas Oct 2012 #16
ProSense Oct 2012 #11
geek tragedy Oct 2012 #12
ProSense Oct 2012 #17
geek tragedy Oct 2012 #18
ProSense Oct 2012 #21
GetTheRightVote Oct 2012 #19
kansasobama Oct 2012 #20

Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:05 PM

1. I Could Live With That!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:05 PM

2. It isn't as good as 2008 but it isn't bad

states like Georgia, NC, Nevada are starting to melt away from Romney

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:06 PM

3. This is the biggest misconception many people have about the presidential election.

IT'S THE ELECTORAL VOTE TALLY PEOPLE!!! Sorry to yell. And O's got it down.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:07 PM

4. Anything over 300 is huge!

I would be over the moon!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:07 PM

5. Crap. I can't make sense of all this polling any more.

I may as well just take up Sanskrit.

At least I can start from scratch and get a grip.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:08 PM

6. I can just hear the screaming, crying, nashing of teeth if Romney wins the popular vote.

My line will be "get over it"!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to gordianot (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:26 PM

14. I'm confident that Obama will win the popular vote as well, unless they call the election

 

for Obama too early, before PST poll close. Californians tired of traffic may just drive straight home from work.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:09 PM

7. This sugests

The only change from 2008 are Romney adds Indiana and NC.Despite all their efforts wouldn't It be funny If Romney only wins 2 moe states than Mccain.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:10 PM

8. I don't call 330 a lanndslide but surely a powerful mandate the Repub Cong (if hang on) must respect

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:10 PM

9. Obama wins in Landslide

No question about it. record turn out and Romney moves to mexico ...

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:21 PM

10. a good call. A couple days ago, I had a friendly wager with a sharp bettor...

 

He is a republican-leaning independent and as we talked politics, I offered a bet: I'll take Obama over 294. He balked, and explained that like in football game, the line, whether spread or over/under must give 50-50 chance each side. So I asked him what his line was, he said he'd take Obama 330 and under. I balked, so no bet.

But now re-considering, I think he was more accurate than I was. Perhaps there is 50-50 chance for Obama to be under 330 and over 330. Or may be he is a bit more advantageous with Obama under 330.

So... regardless of political leaning, money is always smart.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JackN415 (Reply #10)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:25 PM

13. Id say its a pick 'em

I see Obama with a solid 247 and Romney with a solid 248. Its all going to be about getting Ohio

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to RainbowOverTexas (Reply #13)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:30 PM

15. List the swing states you called solid for Romney

 

FL, NC, VA, and what else?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JackN415 (Reply #15)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:37 PM

16. thats it

McCain states + Indiana and FL, NC and VA make 248

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:23 PM

11. New Obama Ad 537 Warns Of Bush 2000 Repeat

New Obama Ad 537 Warns Of Bush 2000 Repeat
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021622891

GOTV landslide.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:23 PM

12. Today the same poll shows Obama behind.

I dare say he won't win 300 EV while losing the popular vote. This poll seems weirder and weirder by the day.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to geek tragedy (Reply #12)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:39 PM

17. Statistical noise. The poll shows Obama up 4 points among RVs

Same as yesterday.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to ProSense (Reply #17)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:44 PM

18. Still, showing Obama behind in LV but winning an electoral blowout

simply does not compute.

He'll need to be pretty well ahead nationally to win FL.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to geek tragedy (Reply #18)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:08 PM

21. It's national versus state.

"Still, showing Obama behind in LV but winning an electoral blowout"

The national LV model, as with all the other polls, is likely skewed by the South

A huge electoral lead is possible if Obama does well in the other three regions.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:49 PM

19. Go Obama Go!!!

hurray,

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:56 PM

20. This was from yesterday, not today

This was already posted. By the way, Obama is down todayin Reuters.

Not to burst the bubble but just saying. Let us see how this Murdoch thing turns out. That should help in NH and Florida (maybe) . If that does not move the needle, I think Obama will win by about 290.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread