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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:03 PM

applegrove (58,770 posts)

REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide

REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide

by Brett LoGiurato at Business Insider

http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-map-reuters-poll-ipsos-2012-10#ixzz2AAUfqhUy

"SNIP......................................................

With two weeks to go before Election Day, a new Reuters/Ipsos forecast released today predicts an Electoral College landslide for President Barack Obama over Republican rival Mitt Romney.

Obama leads Romney by a point in the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll, 47-46. But results from Ipsos' tracking in key swing states leads to a projection of a much bigger Electoral College victory. The Ipsos projection has Obama winning the big three swing states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

Ipsos' final Electoral College score: 332-206. Here's what the firm's projected map looks like:

.......................................................SNIP"

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21 replies	Author	Time	Post
REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide (Original post)	applegrove	Oct 2012	OP
I Could Live With That!	sheshe2	Oct 2012	#1
It isn't as good as 2008 but it isn't bad	Rosa Luxemburg	Oct 2012	#2
This is the biggest misconception many people have about the presidential election.	charlyvi	Oct 2012	#3
Anything over 300 is huge!	Blue Idaho	Oct 2012	#4
Crap. I can't make sense of all this polling any more.	kayakjohnny	Oct 2012	#5
I can just hear the screaming, crying, nashing of teeth if Romney wins the popular vote.	gordianot	Oct 2012	#6
I'm confident that Obama will win the popular vote as well, unless they call the election	JackN415	Oct 2012	#14
This sugests	Robbins	Oct 2012	#7
I don't call 330 a lanndslide but surely a powerful mandate the Repub Cong (if hang on) must respect	JackN415	Oct 2012	#8
Obama wins in Landslide	Dkc05	Oct 2012	#9
a good call. A couple days ago, I had a friendly wager with a sharp bettor...	JackN415	Oct 2012	#10
Id say its a pick 'em	RainbowOverTexas	Oct 2012	#13
List the swing states you called solid for Romney	JackN415	Oct 2012	#15
thats it	RainbowOverTexas	Oct 2012	#16
New Obama Ad ‘537’ Warns Of Bush 2000 Repeat	ProSense	Oct 2012	#11
Today the same poll shows Obama behind.	geek tragedy	Oct 2012	#12
Statistical noise. The poll shows Obama up 4 points among RVs	ProSense	Oct 2012	#17
Still, showing Obama behind in LV but winning an electoral blowout	geek tragedy	Oct 2012	#18
It's national versus state.	ProSense	Oct 2012	#21
Go Obama Go!!!	GetTheRightVote	Oct 2012	#19
This was from yesterday, not today	kansasobama	Oct 2012	#20

Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:05 PM

sheshe2 (5,431 posts)

1. I Could Live With That!

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:05 PM

Rosa Luxemburg (22,257 posts)

2. It isn't as good as 2008 but it isn't bad

states like Georgia, NC, Nevada are starting to melt away from Romney

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:06 PM

charlyvi (4,443 posts)

3. This is the biggest misconception many people have about the presidential election.

IT'S THE ELECTORAL VOTE TALLY PEOPLE!!! Sorry to yell. And O's got it down.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:07 PM

Blue Idaho (1,097 posts)

4. Anything over 300 is huge!

I would be over the moon!

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:07 PM

kayakjohnny (4,999 posts)

5. Crap. I can't make sense of all this polling any more.

I may as well just take up Sanskrit.

At least I can start from scratch and get a grip.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:08 PM

gordianot (6,531 posts)

6. I can just hear the screaming, crying, nashing of teeth if Romney wins the popular vote.

My line will be "get over it"!

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Response to gordianot (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:26 PM

JackN415 (823 posts)

14. I'm confident that Obama will win the popular vote as well, unless they call the election

for Obama too early, before PST poll close. Californians tired of traffic may just drive straight home from work.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:09 PM

Robbins (2,055 posts)

7. This sugests

The only change from 2008 are Romney adds Indiana and NC.Despite all their efforts wouldn't It be funny If Romney only wins 2 moe states than Mccain.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:10 PM

JackN415 (823 posts)

8. I don't call 330 a lanndslide but surely a powerful mandate the Repub Cong (if hang on) must respect

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:10 PM

Dkc05 (335 posts)

9. Obama wins in Landslide

No question about it. record turn out and Romney moves to mexico ...

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:21 PM

JackN415 (823 posts)

10. a good call. A couple days ago, I had a friendly wager with a sharp bettor...

He is a republican-leaning independent and as we talked politics, I offered a bet: I'll take Obama over 294. He balked, and explained that like in football game, the line, whether spread or over/under must give 50-50 chance each side. So I asked him what his line was, he said he'd take Obama 330 and under. I balked, so no bet.

But now re-considering, I think he was more accurate than I was. Perhaps there is 50-50 chance for Obama to be under 330 and over 330. Or may be he is a bit more advantageous with Obama under 330.

So... regardless of political leaning, money is always smart.

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Response to JackN415 (Reply #10)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:25 PM

RainbowOverTexas (71 posts)

13. Id say its a pick 'em

I see Obama with a solid 247 and Romney with a solid 248. Its all going to be about getting Ohio

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Response to RainbowOverTexas (Reply #13)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:30 PM

JackN415 (823 posts)

15. List the swing states you called solid for Romney

FL, NC, VA, and what else?

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Response to JackN415 (Reply #15)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:37 PM

RainbowOverTexas (71 posts)

16. thats it

McCain states + Indiana and FL, NC and VA make 248

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:23 PM

ProSense (99,593 posts)

11. New Obama Ad ‘537’ Warns Of Bush 2000 Repeat

New Obama Ad ‘537’ Warns Of Bush 2000 Repeat
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021622891

GOTV landslide.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:23 PM

geek tragedy (26,776 posts)

12. Today the same poll shows Obama behind.

I dare say he won't win 300 EV while losing the popular vote. This poll seems weirder and weirder by the day.

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Response to geek tragedy (Reply #12)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:39 PM

ProSense (99,593 posts)

17. Statistical noise. The poll shows Obama up 4 points among RVs

Same as yesterday.

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Response to ProSense (Reply #17)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:44 PM

geek tragedy (26,776 posts)

18. Still, showing Obama behind in LV but winning an electoral blowout

simply does not compute.

He'll need to be pretty well ahead nationally to win FL.

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Response to geek tragedy (Reply #18)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:08 PM

ProSense (99,593 posts)

21. It's national versus state.

Last edited Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:08 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

"Still, showing Obama behind in LV but winning an electoral blowout"

The national LV model, as with all the other polls, is likely skewed by the South

A huge electoral lead is possible if Obama does well in the other three regions.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:49 PM

GetTheRightVote (5,280 posts)

19. Go Obama Go!!!

hurray,

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:56 PM

kansasobama (224 posts)

20. This was from yesterday, not today

Last edited Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:58 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

This was already posted. By the way, Obama is down todayin Reuters.

Not to burst the bubble but just saying. Let us see how this Murdoch thing turns out. That should help in NH and Florida (maybe) . If that does not move the needle, I think Obama will win by about 290.

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Politics 2013 (Forum)