Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:00 PM
DonViejo (7,763 posts)
Reidís 2010 Win Serves As Warning For Romney In Nevada
Harry Reid was a goner.
In the dying embers of the 2010 midterms, the Senate majority leader appeared to be on the ropes. Polls from a variety of well-known outlets showed tea party champion Sharron Angle leading him in the final weeks of the U.S. Senate race in Nevada. No less of an authority than Nate Silver, who correctly predicted 34 of the 36 Senate races that year, pegged Angle as the favorite in his final forecast.
But on Election Day, the Nevada polls were proven wrong. Reid defeated Angle by nearly 6 points, powered by his labor-led field organization and the stateís increasingly diverse electorate.
Today, less than two weeks before the 2012 election, the ghosts of those failed predictions continue to haunt pollsters in Nevada. Even as recent surveys show the presidential race tightening, with Republican nominee Mitt Romney inching closer to President Obamaís lead, those who know the numbers best say the state remains one of the hardest in the nation to predict.
Gary Segura, a pollster for Latino Decisions and a professor of political science at Stanford University, told TPM that pollsters often neglect to conduct interviews in Spanish ó problematic in a state where many residents donít speak English as a first language. That shortcoming, Segura said, likely undersold Reidís level of support two years ago and may be occurring again this year.
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Reidís 2010 Win Serves As Warning For Romney In Nevada (Original post)
|Wellstone ruled||Oct 2012||#2|
Response to DonViejo (Original post)
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 10:12 PM
Wellstone ruled (1,223 posts)
2. Harry will also put the stake in
Willard's chances next week. This guy is one smart cookie,look for more info on those elusive tax returns. BTW,the crap the media has been touting as Willard's returns are not his real returns but a outline. Old Harry isn't done with the Willard,if you had watch Harry's speech in Reno the other day,you know something is up big time. Harry has probably caught a ton of garbage form Temple Square and Adelsen. There is no love lost between the Sheldon and Harry. If you read the Sun in Vegas,you know what I mean. Willard's total backing comes from the Mormon Ward houses and a few others out in rural areas. This will be another face plant for the Teabillies. Harry made a promise that Obama will win Nevada and Willard is done and said you can make book on it.
Response to Wellstone ruled (Reply #2)
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:43 AM
TroyD (4,499 posts)
3. I agree that it's time to have one last go at Romney on the tax returns
He's gotten away with not showing them, and while it's unlikely we will ever see them, he deserves to have it cause him one more round of trouble.