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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:48 PM

 

30% of NC early voters have been African American (23% in 2008)

"Democrats have a huge 21% margin over Republican votes cast. In 2008, Dems outnumbered Republicans by 11%. (Many Dems here voted for McCain.) The more interesting number to me? Whites make up only 64.7% of voters so far while African Americans make up 30.8% of voters. The final 2008 results were 72% White and 23% African American. Again, while it’s early, this is a sign that minority turnout may not be as low as many pundits and polls expect. For now though, I feel a little bit better about the model’s placement of NC as a Toss-Up, despite what you’ve heard elsewhere. An Obama victory is a big stretch, and I wouldn’t bank on it. But, unlike others, I think the data continues to show it’s possible. Now, if the PPP number tomorrow tells a different story…we’ll see."

http://www.cabpolitical.com/2012/10/24/daily-thoughts-has-obama-stabilized/

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Arrow 13 replies Author Time Post
Reply 30% of NC early voters have been African American (23% in 2008) (Original post)
Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 OP
LisaL Oct 2012 #1
alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #2
LisaL Oct 2012 #3
alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #4
LisaL Oct 2012 #5
Tigress DEM Oct 2012 #10
-LOKI -BAD FOR YA Oct 2012 #12
ProudProgressiveNow Oct 2012 #13
Rosa Luxemburg Oct 2012 #6
John2 Oct 2012 #7
dem1977 Oct 2012 #8
VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #9
GetTheRightVote Oct 2012 #11

Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:50 PM

1. PPP is a robocall poll. I don't care what it shows.

And those are actual voters. Who am I going to believe?

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:51 PM

2. Bodes well for Romney, who, according to Survey USA, is collecting 22% of the African American vote

in Ohio.



It's the Ro-mentum and enthusiasm gap! Doncha feel it?

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Response to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:53 PM

3. If Romney is collecting 22 % of African American vote, I am going to eat my hat.

When was the last time a republican candidate for president collected that percentage of African American vote?

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Response to LisaL (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:56 PM

4. Answer: never

Romney's rather on the other side of that divide. He often gets the utterly shocking result of receiving 0% of the African American vote, which, quite honestly, is a remarkable feat. If he ends up with more than 6%, it will be considered a miracle of political persuasion. And yet, there today in the Survey USA poll that shows Obama UP by 3% in Ohio, we see crosstabs that give Romney 22% of the African American vote! And a professional polling form reported this as if nothing in their numbers was amiss. A monumental joke.

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Response to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #4)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 08:58 PM

5. I think it's very clear what's going on.

Some Romney voters are pretending they are African Americans in order to make it appear Romney is getting African American votes.
I don't know how it could be possibly explained any other way.

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Response to LisaL (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:33 PM

10. Well, when you flip the vote machines.... it goes from DEM to R. Depends on your definition....

of "collecting the votes".

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Response to LisaL (Reply #3)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 04:32 AM

12. i believe it was ike ,do not worry your hat is safe n/t

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Response to LisaL (Reply #3)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 04:39 AM

13. +1

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:01 PM

6. Come on NC we need you!

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:14 PM

7. OK

 

African Americans are not excited to turn out for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. Michael Jordan endorsed President Obama. Romney has that guy in Denver and President Obama has MJ. I live in Durham and have not met any African American supporting Romney. Reggie Love is from North Carolina and works for the Obama Campaign. I have connections in the Ft. Bragg area as well as New Hanover County and Robeson County. African Americans in both counties are heavily Democratic. I also know the areas in Greensboro and Winston Salem. I have friends and family in those areas and some that attended North Carolina A&T and Winston Salem State. That is Obama area. So believe a person familiar with the area or Gravis Marketing.

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:19 PM

8. Remember it is not who votes, but who counts the votes that matter n/t

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:28 PM

9. Blacks are driving the Democratic early turnout in NC

Which bodes very well for Obama, since Black Democrats are voting for Obama by a 95 plus margin in the state. These are not just some blue dog Dems voting early in NC.

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:45 PM

11. Go NC Go!!!

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