Obama Leads Romney by 26 Percentage Points in New York (Marist)

Do people think that only swing states should be polled?

We can't only have polls of Ohio, Florida, Iowa etc. all day.


There are other reasons to poll blue states & red states that have Obama or Romney way ahead:

1. There are Senate races in some of these states

2. There are close House races in some of them

3. Knowing how a Presidential nominee is polling in stronghold states can be a valuable form of measurement (eg. if a Presidential nominee is struggling, they will often be down even in states they should be well ahead in etc.)


When we see that Obama is doing almost as well in New York as in 2008, it's a good sign and it's a barometer that the campaign and the pollsters can use to get a sense of how things are going in other more competitive regions.

A couple of points below 2008 levels, but about as good as can be expected in a tougher year like 2012.

I notice the poll was taken before the last debate, so it's possible Obama may actually have gone up further after that.

Romney's closing fast.

margins in deep south. If Obama actually does win by 26-points that would probably be around a 2,000,000 vote popular vote victory for the president just from NY.

We have several swing districts here including my own NY11. We may pick up 3 seats here, and pick up the state senate.

It was like, "We endorse Gilibrand. That's all. No real need to say anything else."

If NY State is blue chiefly because of the millions in New York City. NYC has many more registered Democrats than Repugs and I believe most of the rest of the state leans more Repug.

I'm assuming they're Dem, but you never know. Part of me wishes I'd kept it as a distraction for Election night.