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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:02 PM

PPP - Nevada Obama +4

No details yet just posted on Twitter.

20 replies, 1500 views

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:03 PM

1. Great!

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Response to writes3000 (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:40 PM

14. Victory ahead. USS Romney turning so far left it is going backwards now

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:03 PM

2. Good number. About where I expected.

NV is essential to Obama winning. The early voting has been strong there for Dems per Jon Ralston. https://twitter.com/RalstonReports

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:05 PM

3. NV is over

All we need is Iowa and Ohio I believe.

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Response to naviman (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:05 PM

4. Or WI and OH.

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Response to Jennicut (Reply #4)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:07 PM

5. You're right, IA is not as important as OH and WI

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Response to naviman (Reply #5)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:12 PM

7. Working out the calculations on my favorite interactive electoral map.

I really need to get life after this election is over.

Anyway: Obama would need NH with IA, NV and OH to win. Or just NV, WI and OH. Or OH, IA and WI. Those to me are the three most likely scenarios should Obama not have any other buffer states (like CO or VA).

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Response to naviman (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:09 PM

6. Just Ohio. WI is a lock. So is OH.

The campaign has said they've been leading significantly in both states for weeks now, including the Halperin interview today where they flat out said they are going to win. It's time to be confident. Less than 2 weeks Romney CAN NOT catch up. It is not possible. Period.

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Response to Maximumnegro (Reply #6)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:46 PM

15. If Trump can get his hair to do what it does

ANYTHING is possible

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Response to demwing (Reply #15)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 05:06 PM

19. Ok, I'll give you that! LOL!

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:23 PM

8. Today's polling had been devastating for Romney

Big gains for Obama today.

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:28 PM

9. PPP has taken some heat here lately

But this number sounds like it could be right.

Regardless of which pollster we see, Obama appears to be in the 2-4 point range in Nevada.

Even Rasmussen had to concede today that Obama is +2.

And as I posted last night, even Gov. Sandoval's adviser has predicted Obama will win Nevada.

Jon Ralston's reports also show the Democrats well ahead in the early voting.

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:33 PM

10. Obama can win Nevada (or Iowa), Ohio, Penn, Wis, and Michigan, lose every other battleground state

and STILL win the election.

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Response to ncav53 (Reply #10)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:35 PM

12. Well, when you put it like that...

Awesome!

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:34 PM

11. SENATE race is TIED according to PPP!

That's some good news for Berkley. She's been behind in the other polls lately.

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:39 PM

13. NBC no longer considers NV a battleground state

It has been moved to "leans Obama". They have moved NC to "leans Romney".

O.K., I know that NV is still a battleground state, but I thought it was funny when they moved it yesterday.

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:47 PM

16. More from PPP on the SENATE race

Who the undecideds are in NV-Sen bodes very well for Shelley Berkley's chances at pulling out a narrow victory

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 04:51 PM

17. Obama ahead 61-39 early voters in NV/ AA & Hispanics most excited to vote compared to whites.

43m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
84% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites

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47m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Who the undecideds are in NV-Sen bodes very well for Shelley Berkley's chances at pulling out a narrow victory

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Favorite 1:02 PM - 24 Oct 12 Details 51m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41

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54m PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Nevada- Obama +4, Senate race tied. Full results coming up

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 05:05 PM

18. Full Report

Nevadans think Obama won debate this week 50-38, trust him more than Romney on economy (49/47), foreign policy (51/46)


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-up-in-nevada-senate-race-tied.html

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Response to BraKez2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 05:09 PM

20. Can anyone from Nevada tell us what the story is with the Independent in the Senate race?

NEVADA - PRESIDENT (Obama +4)

Public Policy Polling

Obama - 51

Romney - 47

----

NEVADA - SENATE (Tie)

Public Policy Polling

Berkley (D) - 44

Heller (R) - 44

VanderBeek (I) - 7

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