Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:27 PM

Trust Gallup at your own peril

I will be consistent and not trust them, as they underrepresent minorities, were inaccurate in 2008 and 2010, and have the highest right-wing house effect. I will not be happy that they have Obama by 3%,l because I don't know what new weird numbers they'll come up with in the upcoming weeks.

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7 replies	Author	Time	Post
Trust Gallup at your own peril (Original post)	Welcome_hubby	Oct 2012	OP
Gallup wants to be right on election day....	scheming daemons	Oct 2012	#1
No, in the past they just	Maximumnegro	Oct 2012	#7
Trust polling at your own peril	RomneyLies	Oct 2012	#2
Like you I only	obnoxiousdrunk	Oct 2012	#3
FAIL	Welcome_hubby	Oct 2012	#4
I know what you mean. I will look at their overall trend.	Jennicut	Oct 2012	#5
Agree. Remember from 2008	question everything	Oct 2012	#6

Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:29 PM

scheming daemons (21,273 posts)

1. Gallup wants to be right on election day....

... their numbers will gradually regress to the mean by then so that they have credibility in the future.

We are now 13 days out.... Gallup has to start getting their numbers into line before the election comes.

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Response to scheming daemons (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 02:06 PM

Maximumnegro (920 posts)

7. No, in the past they just

get it wrong. Maybe they will be closer this year because they are under the microscope but they are not like Ras and suddenly have incredible accuracy at the last minute. They just plain get the margins wrong.

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:31 PM

RomneyLies (3,333 posts)