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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:27 PM

 

Trust Gallup at your own peril

I will be consistent and not trust them, as they underrepresent minorities, were inaccurate in 2008 and 2010, and have the highest right-wing house effect. I will not be happy that they have Obama by 3%,l because I don't know what new weird numbers they'll come up with in the upcoming weeks.

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Arrow 7 replies Author Time Post
Reply Trust Gallup at your own peril (Original post)
Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 OP
scheming daemons Oct 2012 #1
Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #7
RomneyLies Oct 2012 #2
obnoxiousdrunk Oct 2012 #3
Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 #4
Jennicut Oct 2012 #5
question everything Oct 2012 #6

Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:29 PM

1. Gallup wants to be right on election day....

... their numbers will gradually regress to the mean by then so that they have credibility in the future.


We are now 13 days out.... Gallup has to start getting their numbers into line before the election comes.

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Response to scheming daemons (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 02:06 PM

7. No, in the past they just

get it wrong. Maybe they will be closer this year because they are under the microscope but they are not like Ras and suddenly have incredible accuracy at the last minute. They just plain get the margins wrong.

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:31 PM

2. Trust polling at your own peril

 

The trending is useful though.

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:43 PM

3. Like you I only

trust the Angus Reid Public Opinion poll .

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Response to obnoxiousdrunk (Reply #3)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:50 PM

4. FAIL

 

Today I expressed my trust in Quinnipiac and SurveyUSA in the Connecticut polls and my distrust against Rasmussen.

Repeat: FAIL.

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:52 PM

5. I know what you mean. I will look at their overall trend.

I still have major issues with how they do their LV screen.

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Response to Welcome_hubby (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 02:02 PM

6. Agree. Remember from 2008

how much they were tilted to the right. Mr. Newport (his name?) always appeared to slightly favored the R.

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