The debate bump is sure coming

Last edited Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:12 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

Look the one day change in the tracking polls:

PPP O 48(+1), R 48 (-1)
RAND O 49 (+1) R 45 (-1)
RAS O 46 (0) R 50 (0) (see note below)
Gallup O 47(+1) R 50 (-1)
UPI O 49(+1) R 47 (-1)
Reuters/Ipsos O 47 (+1) R 46 (-1)

Ras note: approximately two-thirds of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of Monday night’s presidential debate. The single night of interviews conducted after the debate is similar to the two-point advantage Romney has enjoyed recently rather than the current four-point spread. As always, caution should be used when interpreting a single night of data in a tracking poll. Friday morning will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the final debate.

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2 replies	Author	Time	Post
The debate bump is sure coming (Original post)	TexasCPA	Oct 2012	OP
It's only one day	teabaggersarestupid	Oct 2012	#1
We're at the point now where we need to stop concerning ourselves with national polls.	progressivebydesign	Oct 2012	#2

Response to TexasCPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:13 PM

teabaggersarestupid (111 posts)

1. It's only one day

But isn't this the first day in quite some time that ALL tracking polls went in Obama's direction?

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Response to TexasCPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:16 PM

progressivebydesign (19,363 posts)

2. We're at the point now where we need to stop concerning ourselves with national polls.

Nice to see some upward movement, but you do realize that these polls include complete red states with margins like 30% toward Romney, when the blue states are nowhere near that lopsided. Plus the national polls' Likely Voter model is flawed, so the Registereds are the ones to watch.

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