Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:41 AM

mnhtnbb (11,501 posts)

NC FACTS--not pundit BS or pollster malarkey--Look at the numbers--FINAL UPDATE #10

Last edited Sun Nov 4, 2012, 06:20 AM USA/ET - Edit history (10)

Many of us in NC are getting pretty pissed off with the pollsters and pundits. The Obama ground game here is FABULOUS!

The Dems have registered over 100,000 MORE NEW voters--bringing the advantage up to 806,942 MORE DEMS than Repubs registered in the state of North Carolina as of today.

AND the DEMS are ADDING advantage on a daily basis by virtue of the right to register AND vote same day
at early voting locations across the state.

Take a look at yesterday:

Voter Registration as of 10/23/2012 Democratic: 2,843,490 Republican: 2,037,725 Libertarian: 18,513
Unaffiliated: 1,695,271 Total: 6,594,999

(I posted these numbers in this thread yesterday: http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=168818

Now look at today:

Voter Registration as of 10/24/2012 Democratic: 2,845,559 Republican: 2,038,617 Libertarian: 18,564
Unaffiliated: 1,696,215 Total: 6,598,955

http://www.ncsbe.gov/

Here are the differences between the numbers between yesterday 10/23/2012 and today 10/24/2012:

Democratic: + 2069 Republican: + 892 Libertarian: 51 Unaffiliated: 944 Total: +3956

Broken out as a % of new registrations: Democratic 52.3% Republican 22.5% Libertarian: 1.3% Unaffiliated: 23.9%

Having been watching these registration numbers changing over time during this election cycle, I have to believe that new Democrats are not registering as Democrats so they can vote for Romney! This election is ALL about GOTV, and the Obama team in NC is doing heroic work to make this happen.

So, please, keep your hopes up...everybody is working very hard...and I believe we're going to turn NC BLUE AGAIN!!

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166 replies	Author	Time	Post
NC FACTS--not pundit BS or pollster malarkey--Look at the numbers--FINAL UPDATE #10 (Original post)	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	OP
Thank you!!	Buddaman	Oct 2012	#1
Thanks for your post! Good work! nt.	OldDem2012	Oct 2012	#2
You can get it if you really want	struggle4progress	Oct 2012	#3
Thanks, now get them to vote!	sinkingfeeling	Oct 2012	#4
Thanks, now get them to vote!	AlbertCat	Oct 2012	#30
It's those registered voters	JustAnotherGen	Oct 2012	#5
I remember reading somewhere yesterday that the 19-24	avebury	Oct 2012	#6
President Obama came to UNC-Chapel Hill in April to talk to students	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#25
This is why	oswaldactedalone	Oct 2012	#7
I believe Obama will take NC, FL, OH, IA, CO, NH and NV.	Pisces	Oct 2012	#8
I hope you include PA in your list.	AlinPA	Nov 2012	#152
PA is not a battleground, it is in the bag for Obama.	Pisces	Nov 2012	#165
GOTV efforts are impressive	Hog lover	Oct 2012	#9
I received a call from North Carolina.	Blanks	Oct 2012	#78
I have an austistic son and I so want to volunteer but we have a higher calling	kimbutgar	Oct 2012	#89
We do. How old is your son? eom	Blanks	Oct 2012	#127
Great Work NC Dems!	JiminyJominy	Oct 2012	#10
The key is GOTV. We all saw what happened in the 2010 midterms	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#11
Their ground game is going to be Stronger now than 2008!	sheshe2	Oct 2012	#12
I think actually	John2	Oct 2012	#13
Was working on similar posts, but yours is better	unc70	Oct 2012	#14
a little math for you guys	politicman	Oct 2012	#15
Are you serious? Better go back and check the % of people who vote. All your assumptions are wild.	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#19
please read my post carefully	politicman	Oct 2012	#22
I don't consider it a help to my thread to throw out all kinds of wild assumptions	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#28
I agree, just providing a worst case scenario where Obama can still win	politicman	Oct 2012	#33
So, you came into a positive thread to provide a worse case scenario?	Hutzpa	Oct 2012	#36
again I think Obama will win	politicman	Oct 2012	#47
This really is not necessary	Hutzpa	Oct 2012	#32
He did. Started his own thread!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#67
Good numbers but a little misleading on total party registration because there are still a lot	yellowcanine	Oct 2012	#16
Figures someone like you would POOPOO the numbers	bigdarryl	Oct 2012	#21
you are right	politicman	Oct 2012	#26
Yep, indepedents for Obama should be considered also.	SaveAmerica	Oct 2012	#41
"someone like you"????? Do tell. Do you have an argument or is it all ad hominem?	yellowcanine	Oct 2012	#27
Are you a Obama campaign person if not you don't know what your talking about	bigdarryl	Oct 2012	#29
"what you are talking about", not "what your talking about"	yellowcanine	Oct 2012	#34
thinking republicans	barbtries	Oct 2012	#40
Read moderate Republican women.	yellowcanine	Oct 2012	#43
it will be because	barbtries	Oct 2012	#44
In '08, Obama won 90% of the Democratic vote in NC...	Drunken Irishman	Oct 2012	#75
Thank You!	whttevrr	Oct 2012	#17
Good news to hear on the ground in NC	davidpdx	Oct 2012	#18
Thanks for the info.	hrmjustin	Oct 2012	#20
I 've been thinking the pundits are wrong too... n/t	EC	Oct 2012	#23
Mitt Romney is definitely focused on the wrong thing. He needs more rednecks, not	Coyotl	Oct 2012	#24
LOL. Thanks!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#31
This is for the uninitiated	Hutzpa	Oct 2012	#35
K & R	AzDar	Oct 2012	#37
thank you!	barbtries	Oct 2012	#38
Yep, we should start a new group: NCers for Obama who NEVER GIVE UP!!	SaveAmerica	Oct 2012	#39
Yes!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#68
:D	MissNostalgia	Oct 2012	#42
this is great! n/t	amborin	Oct 2012	#45
I went to jog in the local park where I voted yesterday and voters were lining up one hour	byeya	Oct 2012	#46
Hooray!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#69
This is wonderful news based on the facts!	BlueCaliDem	Oct 2012	#48
Good, NC Can Redeem Itself	otohara	Oct 2012	#49
disastrous special elections on gay marriage.	AlbertCat	Oct 2012	#56
Good - I Shamed	otohara	Oct 2012	#65
There is that faction in Asheville, but many more serious dedicated people there	klook	Oct 2012	#93
I think you're right. Also, people have seen the effect of NOT turning out to vote	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#66
It was held during a Republican Primary, not a general election	obamanut2012	Oct 2012	#111
K&R	ProudProgressiveNow	Oct 2012	#50
Actually, looking at 2008 data, winning NC is going to take a lot of work.	onenote	Oct 2012	#51
onenote	John2	Oct 2012	#60
I will also note	John2	Oct 2012	#63
Thanks for the additional data	onenote	Oct 2012	#72
I'm not -- I think we may squeak out a 1-2% victory here	obamanut2012	Oct 2012	#112
Thank You! Wonderful!	lucca18	Oct 2012	#52
Go Tarheels and Thanks!	CanonRay	Oct 2012	#53
I've noticed a lot of Gary Johnson signs. Lots of Gary Johnson stickers at the State Fair last week.	yardwork	Oct 2012	#54
thats ironic....	oldhippydude	Oct 2012	#64
North Carolina is a wonderful state, full of natural beauty and wonderful people.	juajen	Oct 2012	#55
Well said!	NCarolinawoman	Oct 2012	#82
Go NC GOTV!	UCmeNdc	Oct 2012	#57
Good news! Just gotta win over those unaffiliated! Thanks for all you're doing there! nt	cry baby	Oct 2012	#58
I'm rooting for you!!	Hulk	Oct 2012	#59
We really need to get a voice out in the urban areas via radio	AlbertCat	Oct 2012	#71
In the Triangle, try WCHL 1360 AM 97.9 FM Chapel Hill	unc70	Oct 2012	#95
K&R	one_voice	Oct 2012	#61
Wow! Thanks DU for the recs to make it to Greatest Threads.	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#62
Numbers do matter.	Hutzpa	Oct 2012	#70
Amen my friend!	DemKittyNC	Oct 2012	#73
Way to Go! That's How you do it!	trailrunners	Oct 2012	#74
Suck it you M$M fuckbags	Blue Owl	Oct 2012	#76
North Carolina can put the entire election in the bag for Obama early election night.	David Zephyr	Oct 2012	#77
Let's Go NC!	lib87	Oct 2012	#98
This!	garthranzz	Oct 2012	#120
This post is my favorite post in the history of DU.	mahina	Oct 2012	#79
My girlfriend voted today!	Fantastic Anarchist	Oct 2012	#80
I hope we carry NC and upset Romney there.	craigmatic	Oct 2012	#81
Nov 6th if NC can't be called at the first chance for Romney it is going to be a GREAT NIGHT	underpants	Oct 2012	#83
Go NC Go!!!	GetTheRightVote	Oct 2012	#84
Great, Georgia seems to be melting away from Romney	Rosa Luxemburg	Oct 2012	#85
The rethugs can't GET numbers like this. That's why they accuse us of Voter Fraud.	Tigress DEM	Oct 2012	#86
Went blue last time and can be blue again	treestar	Oct 2012	#87
I hope you're right on all counts n/t	condoleeza	Oct 2012	#88
I firmly believe NC will be the surprise of election day.	pointsoflight	Oct 2012	#90
ITA.	LisaL	Oct 2012	#92
Does the polling show that we're tied or leading in NC? Perhaps. If you exclude those polls that	Texas Lawyer	Oct 2012	#91
I live in NC as well. And I think the pundits are underestimaing Gary Johnson here	Thrill	Oct 2012	#94
Gary is doing well in NC?	LisaL	Oct 2012	#96
He's got a nice ground game here	Thrill	Oct 2012	#104
The Ron Paul delegates were treated very badly at the GOP convention.	NCarolinawoman	Oct 2012	#108
KICK!	Cha	Oct 2012	#97
-------------------UPDATE-------------------------	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#99
Great Post	Dalai_1	Oct 2012	#100
Thanks for today's update! It is indeed good news, out registering Rs by 1000+/day	MuhkRahker	Oct 2012	#101
NC NC NC	wcmoorm	Oct 2012	#102
Welcome to DU! There was a photo of a 104 year old woman who voted for Obama	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#105
nc gotv best in the country,reason Charlotte was choosed for the Democratic National Convention n\t	-LOKI -BAD FOR YA	Oct 2012	#103
I think we have a very good chance of going blue	obamanut2012	Oct 2012	#106
That would be sweeeeeeet. nt	Lex	Oct 2012	#107
NC bumper stickers/yard signs	user_name	Oct 2012	#109
Welcome to DU!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#110
Carolina Blue is Obama Blue	obamanut2012	Oct 2012	#113
Isn't that fun?	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#114
Yes!	obamanut2012	Oct 2012	#115
ahem... more Duke blue than Carolina blue n/t	WilmywoodNCparalegal	Oct 2012	#138
lalalalalala cannot hear you!	obamanut2012	Oct 2012	#141
Thanks.	ProSense	Oct 2012	#116
------------------UPDATE #2-----------------------------	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#117
SWEET!!!!!!	Stellar	Oct 2012	#118
DEM VOTES EXCEED REPUB votes by 227,320 votes as of yesterday in NC!!!!!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#119
------------------UPDATE #3----------------------	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#121
DEM VOTES EXCEED REPUB votes by 250,503 votes as of yesterday in NC!!!!!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#123
Are we still down compared to 08	outsideworld	Oct 2012	#122
Have you read ANY of the update posts in this thread?? nt.	OldDem2012	Oct 2012	#124
It's very difficult to make comparison to 08 on anything other than raw numbers.	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#125
Bring all pollsters to their knees, NC	kansasobama	Oct 2012	#126
------------------UPDATE #4----------------------	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#128
Dem votes in NC now exceed Repub votes by 281,606	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#129
Thank You!	whttevrr	Oct 2012	#130
------------------UPDATE #5----------------------	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#131
Can you provide a link to this data?	chapel hill dem	Oct 2012	#135
Sorry. Usually post the link. Too distracted this a.m. with Sandy news on the tube.	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#136
Thanks! n/t	chapel hill dem	Oct 2012	#139
304,639 MORE DEM votes than Repubs have been cast in NC as of today!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#132
Excellent! An NC or VA win would seal Romney's fate as someone who once ran for POTUS but no one	bushisanidiot	Oct 2012	#133
Make sure that those people in the trenches know how much we appreciate what they are doing.	politicaljunkie41910	Oct 2012	#134
Winning NC would be so freaking sweet. Sweet southern icing on the cake.	johnnyrocket	Oct 2012	#137
Thanks. This makes me feel a tad bit better! nt	bigregg4838	Oct 2012	#140
------------------UPDATE #6----------------------	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#142
How about turnout in urban and college town counties?	VirginiaTarheel	Oct 2012	#144
You can check numbers by county here	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#148
NEW margin of DEM votes over Repub votes: 321,985!	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#143
very nice	VirginiaTarheel	Oct 2012	#145
NC likely to exceed 2 million early voters today	VirginiaTarheel	Oct 2012	#146
Add +2 absentee ballots mailed yesterday :)	NCLefty	Oct 2012	#147
++	mnhtnbb	Oct 2012	#149
------------------UPDATE #7----------------------	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#150
NEW margin of DEM votes over Repub votes: 342,174	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#151
If I put as many of these	beac	Nov 2012	#153
------------------UPDATE #8----------------------	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#154
2,254,538 votes have been cast in NC: 364,676 MORE Dem than Repub votes	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#155
Thank you mnhtnbb! This is the best thread!!! I check in every day!	ncgrits	Nov 2012	#156
I love this thread and I'm more than 500 miles away	Jeff In Milwaukee	Nov 2012	#157
You're welcome!	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#160
Glad you like it! Watching the people coming out to vote every day	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#159
getting close to total early voters in NC in 2008 (2.5 million)	VirginiaTarheel	Nov 2012	#158
------------------UPDATE #9----------------------	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#161
A total of 396,087 MORE DEMS have cast a ballot than Repubs.	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#162
Wonderful	VirginiaTarheel	Nov 2012	#163
------------------FINAL UPDATE #10----------------------	mnhtnbb	Nov 2012	#164
nc going blue,will change 2016 Presidential math,the future is bright blue	-LOKI -BAD FOR YA	Nov 2012	#166

Response to mnhtnbb (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 09:43 AM

Buddaman (366 posts)

NC FACTS--not pundit BS or pollster malarkey--Look at the numbers--FINAL UPDATE #10

1. Thank you!!

2. Thanks for your post! Good work! nt.

3. You can get it if you really want

4. Thanks, now get them to vote!

30. Thanks, now get them to vote!

5. It's those registered voters

6. I remember reading somewhere yesterday that the 19-24

25. President Obama came to UNC-Chapel Hill in April to talk to students

7. This is why

8. I believe Obama will take NC, FL, OH, IA, CO, NH and NV.

152. I hope you include PA in your list.

165. PA is not a battleground, it is in the bag for Obama.

9. GOTV efforts are impressive

78. I received a call from North Carolina.

89. I have an austistic son and I so want to volunteer but we have a higher calling

127. We do. How old is your son? eom

10. Great Work NC Dems!

11. The key is GOTV. We all saw what happened in the 2010 midterms

12. Their ground game is going to be Stronger now than 2008!

13. I think actually

14. Was working on similar posts, but yours is better

15. a little math for you guys

19. Are you serious? Better go back and check the % of people who vote. All your assumptions are wild.

22. please read my post carefully

28. I don't consider it a help to my thread to throw out all kinds of wild assumptions

33. I agree, just providing a worst case scenario where Obama can still win

36. So, you came into a positive thread to provide a worse case scenario?

47. again I think Obama will win

32. This really is not necessary

67. He did. Started his own thread!

16. Good numbers but a little misleading on total party registration because there are still a lot

21. Figures someone like you would POOPOO the numbers

26. you are right

41. Yep, indepedents for Obama should be considered also.

27. "someone like you"????? Do tell. Do you have an argument or is it all ad hominem?

29. Are you a Obama campaign person if not you don't know what your talking about

34. "what you are talking about", not "what your talking about"

40. thinking republicans

43. Read moderate Republican women.

44. it will be because

75. In '08, Obama won 90% of the Democratic vote in NC...

17. Thank You!

18. Good news to hear on the ground in NC

20. Thanks for the info.

23. I 've been thinking the pundits are wrong too... n/t

24. Mitt Romney is definitely focused on the wrong thing. He needs more rednecks, not

31. LOL. Thanks!

35. This is for the uninitiated

37. K & R

38. thank you!

39. Yep, we should start a new group: NCers for Obama who NEVER GIVE UP!!

68. Yes!

42. :D

45. this is great! n/t

46. I went to jog in the local park where I voted yesterday and voters were lining up one hour

69. Hooray!

48. This is wonderful news based on the facts!

49. Good, NC Can Redeem Itself

56. disastrous special elections on gay marriage.

65. Good - I Shamed

93. There is that faction in Asheville, but many more serious dedicated people there

66. I think you're right. Also, people have seen the effect of NOT turning out to vote

111. It was held during a Republican Primary, not a general election

50. K&R

51. Actually, looking at 2008 data, winning NC is going to take a lot of work.

60. onenote

63. I will also note

72. Thanks for the additional data

112. I'm not -- I think we may squeak out a 1-2% victory here

52. Thank You! Wonderful!

53. Go Tarheels and Thanks!

54. I've noticed a lot of Gary Johnson signs. Lots of Gary Johnson stickers at the State Fair last week.

64. thats ironic....

55. North Carolina is a wonderful state, full of natural beauty and wonderful people.

82. Well said!

57. Go NC GOTV!

58. Good news! Just gotta win over those unaffiliated! Thanks for all you're doing there! nt

59. I'm rooting for you!!

71. We really need to get a voice out in the urban areas via radio