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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:08 PM Oct 2012

Why are Romney/Ryan holding a rally in Nevada today?

This state is very likely to vote for Obama, so isn't this a waste of their time?

CNN is covering the event now and claiming the race is still close because of the ARG poll (Republican-leaning pollster), but Romney has not been able to open up a lead in Nevada all year, and Ralston Reports says the Democrats are way ahead in the voting so far.

So is this an error in judgement by the Romney campaign?

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Why are Romney/Ryan holding a rally in Nevada today? (Original Post) TroyD Oct 2012 OP
Adelson must have summoned them. nt RomneyLies Oct 2012 #1
Voting machine hacks not working? n/t joycejnr Oct 2012 #2
It's a close race in battleground states, including Nevada alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #3
Not anymore it isn't IfPalinisAnswerWatsQ Oct 2012 #7
Obama will be in Florida several times this week alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #9
Romney is bluffing. Bravado. He can't win. No error in judgement in his warped mind graham4anything Oct 2012 #4
Adelson needs a transfusion of human blood. But seriously... here is why. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #5
They're down and out -- time for a MAX BET Blue Owl Oct 2012 #6
They're going to Vegas and Reno OldHippieChick Oct 2012 #8
Romney would be better off camping in Ohio and Florida for the rest of the campaign. yellowcanine Oct 2012 #10
Why was Bush skipping around California in 2000? Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #11
It was worth it MSMITH33156 Oct 2012 #12
They have internal polling telling them it's competitive davidn3600 Oct 2012 #13
Question about the Nevada Senate race TroyD Oct 2012 #14
no they are at red rocks CO april Oct 2012 #15
They likely planned the rally a while back ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #16
 
7. Not anymore it isn't
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:14 PM
Oct 2012

That's why InTrade shows Obama with a 76% chance of winning the state. Early voting will seal it. Acording to InTrade, President Obama has a slightly better chance of winning Florida (27.8%) than Romney has of winning Nevada (24.1%), and almost everyone believes that Florida is likely to go to Romney. Obama has a better chance of winning Colorado (44%) and Virginia (30%) than Romney does of winning Nevada.

 

alcibiades_mystery

(36,437 posts)
9. Obama will be in Florida several times this week
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:34 PM
Oct 2012

He was in Florida with Biden this morning.

He will also be in Colorado and Virginia this week.

Keep your Intrade. It's an election, not a test of various players of the conservative wisdom. You win elections by campaigning and getting out the vote. Where the demographics aren't 100% against you, you have a chance. The battleground states are all up for grabs. Don't be deceived in that department by your little gambling site.

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)
5. Adelson needs a transfusion of human blood. But seriously... here is why.
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:13 PM
Oct 2012

Another story came out today that several Las Vegas gambling corporations have donated BIG money to Romney. And in return, they have no doubt agreed to visit. THis is EXACTLY what happened the last time Adelson wrote a fat check.. they had to visit Grandpa Sheldon to kiss his ring or something.

OldHippieChick

(2,434 posts)
8. They're going to Vegas and Reno
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:31 PM
Oct 2012

Only one stop in Ohio. Whose polls are they reading? And did you notice he had no people behind him so gave the impression of small crowd. Then on to Red Rocks tonite where they will have a difficult time putting people on that stage. Tsk tsk

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)
10. Romney would be better off camping in Ohio and Florida for the rest of the campaign.
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:37 PM
Oct 2012

Because he may well lose both of those and there aren't enough Nevadas to make up for that.

MSMITH33156

(879 posts)
12. It was worth it
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:48 PM
Oct 2012

because he was going west anyway to hit Colorado, which he needs. Might as well stop in Nevada. He knows he is going to lose Ohio and Nevada, and that puts Obama at 261 (without any other swing states, including IA, WI, etc.). If he also loses CO, he is done. Obama at 270. So, he needs to get out there and try and sure up support. If he is going all the way to Colorado, he might as well stop in in Nevada.

 

davidn3600

(6,342 posts)
13. They have internal polling telling them it's competitive
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:49 PM
Oct 2012

Campaigns have their own pollsters they trust far more than these polls that are given to the public.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
14. Question about the Nevada Senate race
Tue Oct 23, 2012, 04:49 PM
Oct 2012

A few weeks ago the race was Tied between Heller & Berkeley, but now Heller seems to have opened up a big lead in all the latest polls and Nate Silver has Heller with a big chance to win now.

Anyone know what is going on with that one?

Most of the other Senate races are going well (eg. MA, WI, VA, FL, MO etc.) but this one seems to be getting away.

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