HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » New Poll: Obama leads Rom...
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:15 PM

New Poll: Obama leads Romney by 11 in Pennsylvania



A new poll released today by Morning Call shows the President with an 11 point lead over Mitt Romney.

Obama 48%
Romney 37%

GOP Presidential candidate Rick Santorum doesn't fair much better against the President in his home state.

Obama 49%
Santorum 41%


Full poll results here:

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/mc-rick-santorum-pa-voters-poll-results,0,4158894.htmlpage


23 replies, 3481 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 23 replies Author Time Post
Reply New Poll: Obama leads Romney by 11 in Pennsylvania (Original post)
aaaaaa5a Feb 2012 OP
charlie and algernon Feb 2012 #1
aaaaaa5a Feb 2012 #3
indykatie1955 Feb 2012 #2
aaaaaa5a Feb 2012 #6
LiberalFighter Feb 2012 #12
Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2012 #4
aaaaaa5a Feb 2012 #8
DCBob Feb 2012 #5
Cosmocat Feb 2012 #11
LiberalFighter Feb 2012 #13
Cosmocat Feb 2012 #16
bluestateguy Feb 2012 #7
Dawson Leery Feb 2012 #9
Tarheel_Dem Feb 2012 #10
BigD_95 Feb 2012 #14
DFW Feb 2012 #15
DonCoquixote Feb 2012 #17
BumRushDaShow Feb 2012 #23
underpants Feb 2012 #18
aaaaaa5a Feb 2012 #19
aaaaaa5a Feb 2012 #20
Alexander Feb 2012 #21
safgertrt Feb 2012 #22

Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:19 PM

1. that's some good news right there

even if it is early.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to charlie and algernon (Reply #1)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:31 PM

3. It very early.



Still, I would rather be up instead of down.


Romney was suppose to change the map and challenge Obama in blue states. Thus far, that has not been the case. The President has posted leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania and most of the battle ground states. The only bad numbers so far are coming out of Iowa.


Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:31 PM

2. This Poll Makes You Question Why NBC and Chuck Todd Has PA as a Toss Up State vs Leans Dem

Have there been other polls where Obama is losing to Romney or Santorum?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to indykatie1955 (Reply #2)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:37 PM

6. There was one poll that showed Romney up 3.


but that poll was an outlier.


The last two polls out of Pennsylvania which were conducted this week show:


Morning Call
Obama 48
Romney 37
Obama +11


Franklin & Marshall
Obama 41
Romney 33
Obama +8


Both polls are local and have a very good reputation. Obama has very healthy leads in both polls which again are the 2 most recent available. PA hasn't gone for the GOP since 1988. And generally, Democrats perform better there than the polls indicate. Chuck Todd's map is off. PA should be light blue. Not a tossup battleground state.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to indykatie1955 (Reply #2)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 11:20 AM

12. I never trust what Todd has to say. He is so full of himself.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:34 PM

4. The media has been saying he might lose Pennsylvania ever since 2008

Apparently, 4 years later, nothing has changed even though he won Pennsylvania decisively in 2008.
I'm waiting for them to start questioning whether or not he will able to "close the deal" this year.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #4)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:43 PM

8. It's funny isn't it?




As we move closer to November 2012, the map is looking more and more like 2008. Obama has huge leads in Michigan and now is clearly ahead in PA.


Here is some good info from PPP, (who is a very good pollster) discussing how the map is starting to look.


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/obama-up-big-in-washington.html


Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:37 PM

5. Thats fantastic. PA is critical and its probably a bellweather.

Whoever wins PA likely wins the election.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to DCBob (Reply #5)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 08:47 AM

11. Pa swung to the right last congressional

but it was a pretty strong D lean the two years prior.

It seems to be swinging to whatever party the wind is behind, and it is behind the dems right now, at least.

It is important to note, the governor, corbett is fairly unpopular. He has rebounded a bit, but it creates a bit of a supression for the Rs and juice for the Ds in this election.

Mitt is not a PA type guy, I don't think.

LONG way to go, but I would put the money on BO right now.

A lot of what people want to call "reagen democrats" a term I hate. But, the ds have a legit, about 800,000 advantage in registered voters. The swing STATEWIDE two years ago was not as big as the swing the prior two congressionals to Ds.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cosmocat (Reply #11)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 11:22 AM

13. PA also had the Arlen Specter problem

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to LiberalFighter (Reply #13)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:43 PM

16. The party establishment threw in with Specter at the expense of an INFINITELY

better man in Sestak.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 05:42 PM

7. I hate polls and pollsters

even when they have results that I like.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Sun Feb 26, 2012, 06:54 PM

9. Obama is losing Pennsylvania!

Say the pundits.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 12:25 AM

10. The media loves a horserace. How else would they fill that 24/7 void? Outliers get reported....

as a serious threat to the president's reelection chances. It's a farce, but it sells ad space.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:34 PM

14. Great News!!!

 

I live in Republican country in PA ( York ) but I have seen more Obama stuff then Dem stuff in years past.


I just wish we didnt elected our current governor

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 03:35 PM

15. If Obama were behind in PA.........

We'd just say it's way too early, polls at this point mean nothing....................and we'd be right.

The last thing we should be doing now is taking ANYTHING for granted. That's why we have a Republican
Senator from Massachusetts. PA can still be bought for the Republican nominee. Common sense does not
always prevail. Just think: 2010...........2010............2010..............

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 04:48 PM

17. If rick won

Sadly, PA would be his, as there are some HEAVY old school Catholics.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to DonCoquixote (Reply #17)

Tue Feb 28, 2012, 05:39 AM

23. PA threw him out of the Senate by 18% in 2006

Teabagger Toomey is about as RW lunatic as Pennsyltucky is willing to go and no further. They didn't appreciate Frothy using state $ to educate his children while refusing to live in PA (their residence was in VA, the state where he was born).

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 05:10 PM

18. PA hasn't voted for a Repub Presidential candidate since 1984 (when everyone did)

That is 28 years (a generation) as of 2012....which it is.

The fight is going to be in Virginia and Ohio and Florida - in that order

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to underpants (Reply #18)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 05:29 PM

19. PA went GOP in 1988.



Still we have carried the state in 92,96,00,04 and 08. I like our chances.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 05:32 PM

20. Hurray! I made the front page! nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Mon Feb 27, 2012, 06:12 PM

21. That's about the same as Obama's margin of victory over McCain in 2008.

Obama's running even in Missouri, Virginia, and Pennsylvania compared to 2008 - looks good for the fall.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to aaaaaa5a (Original post)

Reply to this thread