538 Blog: ‘Gender Gap’ Near Historic Highs

[jenmito]

If only women voted, President Obama would be on track for a landslide re-election, equaling or exceeding his margin of victory over John McCain in 2008. Mr. Obama would be an overwhelming favorite in Ohio, Florida, Virginia and most every other place that is conventionally considered a swing state. The only question would be whether he could forge ahead into traditionally red states, like Georgia, Montana and Arizona.

If only men voted, Mr. Obama would be biding his time until a crushing defeat at the hands of Mitt Romney, who might win by a similar margin to the one Ronald Reagan realized over Jimmy Carter in 1980. Only California, Illinois, Hawaii and a few states in the Northeast could be considered safely Democratic. Every other state would lean red, or would at least be a toss-up.

Although polls disagree on the exact magnitude of the gender gap (and a couple of recent ones seemed to show Mitt Romney eliminating the president’s advantage with women voters), the consensus of surveys points to a large one this year — rivaling the biggest from past elections.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/21/gender-gap-near-historic-highs/?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter

So pay no attention to the breathless reports of Obama's "disappearing" or "shrinking" lead with women.

[courseofhistory]

1. It's disgustingly obvious

especially when you read and talk to republican nitwits. I guess many macho men are threatened by women and fear they will lose control if they aren't brutish and sexist, etc. One sure way is to curtail women's reproductive rights and they are doing a bang up job of it. It angers me beyond my ability to express it civilly! Grrrrrrr..... PS I'm a woman!

[longship]

6. Grrrrr! I agree wholeheartedly!

And I'm a guy. (I am 64 yrs old, but my mother taught me very well. Lifelong feminist guy.)

[doc03]

2. Gee the nitwits on MSNBC have been talking about Obama losing the

women's vote for the last week.

[calimary]

3. No kidding! All I've been hearing is how the gender gap is closing.

I hate this. I hate this whole thing! I wish it were over already! And I wish I knew a good psychic...

[Cha]

4. THey Need Social Media Pushback! Tell the mittwits that

their goPropaganda would make goebbels proud if he were F****** alive.

[flamingdem]

15. Thomas Roberts must be holding his nose

or does he carry water for the pukes, hard to believe

[Cha]

5. Thanks jenmito for the REality News!

I'd be crazy if I listened to goPropaganda Central..found on any station.

[jenmito]

12. My pleasure, Cha!

Same here-especially on MSNBC!

[ruffburr]

7. Well ladies-

Stop bonkin republicans, Make it a pre requisite like a aids test , Bet things would change then

[progressivebydesign]

8. I know more men than women voting for the President. It's the polling.

Period. This is another ridiculous narrative created in the MSM. the polls can sample any way they choose.. I have seen equal numbers of men voting for the President. And I can't think of one couple I know that is split on the vote.

[ruffburr]

9. I still say-

LADIES Stop bonkin with republicans,It would end all this shit fast!!!

[Sophiegirl]

20. Best form of birth control

Abstinence. Republican women should practice it.

[mwb970]

22. I know several couples who are splitting their votes.

In every case, the man is a republican and the woman is a Democrat.

[justiceischeap]

11. I think seeing things like this, if women are following the election

will make them more determined to get out and vote for Obama if they think that his lead with them is diminishing.

[budkin]

13. Ignorant white men think Obama is an N-word and a F-word(homosexual)

Just go to the Yahoo comments on any topic about Obama. That site is flooded with ignorant freepers.

[Liberalagogo]

17. It's pretty much why I stopped using yahoo for news

It's trying to the the False Noise of Internet news.

[progressivebydesign]

19. they've been horrendous this election! Their "The TIcket" is definitely Fox Jr.

Every single article has been slanted toward Romney or against the President. Every single one.

[nxylas]

14. True The Vote needs to get on this quick

They need to make sure that voters with "suspicious" names like Jennifer or Amy don't commit voter fraud in November by going out to vote, leaving their poor, poor husbands to cook their own dinners.

And if anyone tells me that I "missed off the sarcasm thingie", then I shall not be held responsible for my actions.

[xtraxritical]

16. Montana often elects Democrats, I just got back from there.

[progressivebydesign]

18. Based on Gravis? Can't take 538 seriously anymore. they use flawed numbers. nt

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

21. Liberal Chicks Dig Barack!

[Maineman]

23. I am an older white guy (68). Why are a majority of my peers voting for Romney?

Because they are ill-informed, because they lack critical thinking skills, because they are inifluenced by Romney's strong loud voice, because they like his confrontive style, because they are empathy inhibited, because they are unaware that Romney is a serial flip-flopper and liar (or they don't care), because they admire his ability to magnify his own wealth. Because they are more likely to be racist? Because they are more likely to watch Fox Cable "News" because they watch Fox Sports all the time. Actually, I don't know. Maybe they are just idiots.

[malachi]

24. If only men voted,

How moranic is that paragraph? Number 1, it should be "If only WHITE men voted." 2 - Why not a "If only African Americans voted" or "If only Republicans voted? Madre de Dios!