2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumEarly IOWA VOTING --- Dems: 46% GOP: 31%
2012 Early Voting Statistics
Last updated: Oct. 19, 2012
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html
PearliePoo2
(7,768 posts)If that trend holds, it's a friggin' blowout!
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)I still think Obama will win Iowa easily.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)LisaL
(44,972 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)postulater
(5,075 posts)Doesn't make sense.
LisaL
(44,972 posts)RandySF
(58,511 posts)Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)From a Dkos diary:
First here are the numbers for the absentee ballot requests:
Dems 217,964 (45.63%)
Reps 147,112 (30.79%)
Inds 112,131 (23.47%)
Oth 511 (negligible)
TOTAL 477,718
Here are the new ballot requests since the last report:
Dems +5,301
Reps +4,742
Inds +4,430
This is the fourth straight day that Democrats outstripped Republicans in absentee ballot requests. In this report we lead in ballot requests by about 600. In yesterday's report we led by only 300. This is a good trend, if it keeps up.
And now, here are the numbers for actual ballots cast:
Dems 147,234 (49.42%)
Reps 92,072 (30.31%)
Inds 61,833 (20.18%)
Oth 309 (negligible)
TOTAL 301,448
Here are the ballots cast since the previous daily report:
Dems +6,603
Reps +5,823
Inds +4,419
Republicans got within about 200 ballots of Democrats two days ago. In yesterday's report, Democrats bested them by over 300. In this report, Democrats cast about 800 more ballots than Republicans. In fact, Democrats have cast more ballots than Republicans in every single daily report since early voting began. Republicans were getting very close there for a while, but we have reversed that trend, at least for now. Currently, Democrats lead Republicans in ballots cast by 55,162.
And here is where the apples to apples comparison comes into play. By using the wayback machine, I was able to get a glimpse of their Oct. 27th report from 2008. What makes it an apples to apples comparison is that as of that report 304,316 votes had been cast, which is almost the same amount as you see here (301,448).
As of that 2008 report, here were the numbers:
Dems 50.1% (152,462 votes roughly)
Reps 28.2% (85,817 votes roughly)
Inds 21.7% (66,037 votes roughly)
Total votes: 304,316
LisaL
(44,972 posts)So I have no clue what ppp is polling over there.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)justgamma
(3,662 posts)You have to fill out an absentee ballot request in order to get a ballot even when you vote in person.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)html 301,448 Party Reg
Dem 48.8%
Rep 30.5%
None/Oth 20.6%