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Sat Oct 13, 2012, 11:29 PM

"Obama Swing State Voter Registration and Early Voting Margins Are Bigger Than 2008"

Obama Swing State Voter Registration and Early Voting Margins Are Bigger Than 2008

By: Jason EasleyOctober at Politicus USA

http://www.politicususa.com/obama-swing-state-voter-registration-early-voting-margins-bigger-2008.html

"SNIP.................................................

The Obama reelection strategy has always been based on using their superior ground game in targeted swing states to get the president over the finish line. What the national polls donít account for it that Obama is running a different campaign than Romney. The president has zeroed in on a handful of swing states that he needs to win in order to get to 270 electoral votes, and so far the strategy is working. Even after the first debate, the president continues to lead in Ohio, Colorado, Nevada, Virginia, Iowa, and is leading or tied in Florida. The only state where the polling consensus shows Obama trailing is North Carolina.

The fact that the Obama campaign is so heavily targeting swing states is why his supporters should not be overly worried about national polls. National polls may suggest the general direction of the political winds, but the swing states are where the real contested campaign is occurring in 2012.

While the Romney campaign and their supporting super PACs have concentrated their money on television ads, for about a year the Obama campaign has been spending their dollars on their ground game. The Obama camp understands that if they can pile up a huge advantage in early voting in places like Ohio, Iowa, and Florida, this election may be over before voters go to the polls on Election Day.

It is easy to see why Republicans fought so hard for voter ID and to limit early voting. Obama has a huge advantage in each of these areas. Things may actually be worse for Republicans in 2012 as the presidentís campaign has also decreased the Republican advantage in swing state absentee voting

.................................................SNIP"

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Reply "Obama Swing State Voter Registration and Early Voting Margins Are Bigger Than 2008" (Original post)
applegrove Oct 2012 OP
Indpndnt Oct 2012 #1
Tutonic Oct 2012 #2
geek tragedy Oct 2012 #3
ffr Oct 2012 #4
freshwest Oct 2012 #5
Kalidurga Oct 2012 #7
freshwest Oct 2012 #6

Response to applegrove (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 11:36 PM

1. Great article.

Lays out exactly why national polls should not cause such agita here.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 11:37 PM

2. I hope that Mitch

McConnell lays a rotten egg on election night, when he sees that his best layed plans have all been for naught.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 11:38 PM

3. Ironically, this is very hard to quantify to anyone outside

of the Obama campaign.

But they know exactly what the numbers say.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 11:38 PM

4. I see this as an effective strategy, but this election should be a blowout

There's no reason why Romney should have more than 25% of the electorate, the isolated RW loonies.

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Response to ffr (Reply #4)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 12:03 AM

5. +1

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Response to ffr (Reply #4)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 12:11 AM

7. Ironically the other side feels the same way...

That Obama shouldn't get more than 25%. But, I agree with you. I don't think Romney should be anywhere near 40% and more. I had him pegged for bad news years ago. Even McCain couldn't stand him. So anyway, not sure why people think he is a good guy.

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Response to applegrove (Original post)

Sun Oct 14, 2012, 12:08 AM

6. Thanks, Applegrove for a very positive article.

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