Thu Oct 11, 2012, 02:18 PM
TexasCPA (527 posts)
IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Romney +1.2
•Obama made up some lost ground against Romney, with the GOP challenger’s lead shrinking to 1 point from 5 points a day earlier.
•Romney’s margin over Obama among independents, a key voting bloc, shrank from 20% on Day 2 to 15% on Day 3.
•Romney’s significant 36-point lead with white males dropped to 28 points — still substantial.
•Meanwhile, Romney had shown a surprising 3-point lead in the West for two straight days. That reversed itself, however, in the latest poll, with Obama leading in the West by 46%-42%.
14 replies, 1263 views
IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Romney +1.2 (Original post)
|regnaD kciN||Oct 2012||#7|
Response to TexasCPA (Reply #4)
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 02:34 PM
TroyD (4,512 posts)
8. Let's just be glad Romney went down
And not look a gift horse in the mouth.
We need the national polls to get better for Obama and erase Romney's lead in RCP.
It affects the entire media narrative.
Response to Alekei_Firebird (Reply #2)
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 02:52 PM
ProSense (116,387 posts)
12. Wingnut polling.
The week has seen a bombardment of polling from right leaning organizations, which have skewed the poll averages.
I mean, most of the Rasmussen polls show Obama regaining or gaining ground. When Rasmussen is among the most reliable, that's a clue.
Rasmussen: Obama takes lead in CO and Iowa, NH tied, still leads CT, NM, NV, PA and WI (updated 3x)
It's not to say that all the other right leaning polls are off, but some of them are in line with what they have always shown, small leads for Obama or Romney slightly ahead. The problem is that a poll showing a one-point lead for Obama as a trend is going to drop the average if several such polls come out at once.
Still, some of the polls dragging down the margins are downright unreliable, including Gravis.
Having said that, things returning to normal.
Response to TexasCPA (Original post)
Thu Oct 11, 2012, 02:26 PM
gcomeau (3,930 posts)
5. Most Important Point
Polling period: 10/5 - 10/10
The first post-debate polling day just dropped off and look what happened.
Tomorrow the *second* post debate polling day drops off.