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2016 Postmortem

thevoiceofreason

(3,440 posts) Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:35 AM Oct 2012

I expect another day or two of downward drift on 538 before it starts to rebound

Remember, Nate has often said that his model takes time to digest and incorporate moves. His forecast is still factoring in the polling that accounts for October 4 and 5, the two post-debate days. Things will pick back up, especially with this jobs number today! Woowzer!

4 replies

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I expect another day or two of downward drift on 538 before it starts to rebound (Original Post) thevoiceofreason Oct 2012 OP

Amen brother CanonRay Oct 2012 #1

I agree nt Progressive dog Oct 2012 #2

Well that just depends how many polls Gravis Marketing can get published in a 24 hour period. grantcart Oct 2012 #3

Sounds about right. Kber Oct 2012 #4

CanonRay

(14,101 posts)

1. Amen brother

Reply to thevoiceofreason (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:38 AM

Oct 2012

Keep the faith. When Nate says we're losing, I'll worry.

Progressive dog

(6,900 posts)

2. I agree nt

Reply to thevoiceofreason (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 09:46 AM

Oct 2012

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

3. Well that just depends how many polls Gravis Marketing can get published in a 24 hour period.

Reply to thevoiceofreason (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 11:24 AM

Oct 2012

They got the paper jam fixed and had to get some extra toner but word around the pool hall is that they are back in business and ready to get some numbers to ole Nate any minute.

Doug Kaplan, Nate's highest rated pollster.

Kber

(5,043 posts)

4. Sounds about right.

Reply to thevoiceofreason (Original post)

Thu Oct 11, 2012, 11:39 AM

Oct 2012

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