Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:14 AM

My electoral map as of 2/13.

Last edited Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:43 AM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

As of Feb.13th, I have Obama winning the following states. Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, DC, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Illinois, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico, Washington, Oregon, California and Hawaii. Total, 266 electoral votes

I have the Republican, either Romney or Santorum winning the following; Alaska, Montana, Idaho, Nevada, Wyoming, Utah, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Arkansas, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, South Carolina. Total; 186 electoral votes.

Tossups; Arizona, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina.

This is how I see it so far!! What about you??

Update this as the election gets closer.

14 replies, 1683 views

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Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum

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14 replies	Author	Time	Post
My electoral map as of 2/13. (Original post)	center rising	Feb 2012	OP
Agree except	nevergiveup	Feb 2012	#1
Could very well, but I haven't seen any polls from Ohio	center rising	Feb 2012	#2
You have NV listed for the Rs and as a toss-up. Should one of them be AZ?	LonePirate	Feb 2012	#3
Stupid me!!! I changed it, thanks!!!!	center rising	Feb 2012	#4
Only Problem	Robbins	Feb 2012	#5
Obama should win Indiana again.	Chipper Chat	Feb 2012	#6
I think the President loses New Hampshire	Bok_Tukalo	Feb 2012	#7
The president has a healthy lead in NH. I also think he'll eek it out in NC	Liberal_Stalwart71	Feb 2012	#8
Well	Robbins	Feb 2012	#9
In my view, it depends re: VA. If Romney chooses McDonnell, a popular governor,	Liberal_Stalwart71	Feb 2012	#10
Agreed	Kwarg	Feb 2012	#11
I really think NC will go for Obama. PPP has him up or tied in every poll they've done and	musicblind	Feb 2012	#13
You missed one for the Republicans	LeftofU	Feb 2012	#12
I have high hopes for AZ this year. The guy who is running for Senate sounds good.	CollegeDem20	Feb 2012	#14

Response to center rising (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:23 AM

nevergiveup (3,715 posts)

1. Agree except

I think Obama wins Ohio if the election were held today.

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Response to nevergiveup (Reply #1)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:33 AM

center rising (971 posts)

2. Could very well, but I haven't seen any polls from Ohio

So I put that on in toss up.

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Response to center rising (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:38 AM

LonePirate (1,655 posts)

3. You have NV listed for the Rs and as a toss-up. Should one of them be AZ?

I think both will be solidly in Obama's corner this year. If Santorum becomes the nominee, several of those red and toss-up states will instantly become blue.

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Response to LonePirate (Reply #3)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:44 AM

center rising (971 posts)

4. Stupid me!!! I changed it, thanks!!!!

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Response to center rising (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:54 AM

Robbins (2,050 posts)

5. Only Problem

I have Is Nevada should be tossup.If Santorum Is nominee It should be leaning Obama.Romney due to Momon population has a
shot at winning but Hispanic population could make It a fight.

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Response to center rising (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 02:36 AM

Chipper Chat (5,783 posts)

6. Obama should win Indiana again.

Romney is hated here because of all the factories he bought up and then closed causing thousands of Hoosiers to lose their jobs and benefits. And Santorum is, well, just too extreme.

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Response to center rising (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 08:38 AM

Bok_Tukalo (3,861 posts)

7. I think the President loses New Hampshire

<OPE>

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Response to Bok_Tukalo (Reply #7)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 08:46 AM

Liberal_Stalwart71 (13,853 posts)

8. The president has a healthy lead in NH. I also think he'll eek it out in NC

He'll lost VA this time around. And I think AZ is a toss up this year. He really has a chance there.

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Response to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #8)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 10:21 AM

Robbins (2,050 posts)

9. Well

The last poll of NH has Obama leading Romney by 10.So I think we can say It Is leaning Obama.Virginia Is tossup.The most recent
poll gave Obama a 4 point lead In Virginia.

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Response to Robbins (Reply #9)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 11:47 AM

Liberal_Stalwart71 (13,853 posts)

10. In my view, it depends re: VA. If Romney chooses McDonnell, a popular governor,

then VA will be much more difficult. It is not impossible, however. I just can't understand why McDonnell is so popular in the state. It's very weird.

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Response to center rising (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 12:07 PM

Kwarg (89 posts)

11. Agreed

I believe it will come down to NC and Ohio

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Response to Kwarg (Reply #11)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 11:59 PM

musicblind (3,263 posts)

13. I really think NC will go for Obama. PPP has him up or tied in every poll they've done and

they've done 16 since November.

But that doesn't mean it will be easy. His lead is between 1 and 3 points in each of the polls.

He will get a boost here for the convention, and then we need to focus HEAVILY on all of the college towns and cities to get the vote out. We have a insane number of colleges and universities in this state, and their areas usually trend very blue.

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Response to center rising (Original post)

Tue Feb 14, 2012, 04:59 PM

LeftofU (498 posts)

12. You missed one for the Republicans

I think you forgot Louisiana.

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Response to center rising (Original post)

Wed Feb 15, 2012, 12:44 AM

CollegeDem20 (7 posts)

14. I have high hopes for AZ this year. The guy who is running for Senate sounds good.

He's a Democrat that can appeal to Indies and some conservatives. Having a blue AZ seat and Obama has already made plans to campaign in AZ means it will force Romney to waste his resources.

I have confidence that Obama can pull AZ over to the blue side, win OH, VA, FL, not sure about NC.

Don't forget about MO and WV; they may be up for grabs

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