Quinnipiac (October 2, 2012) - Obama 49, Romney 45 among Likely voters

[TroyD]

An 18 point lead among women puts President Barack Obama ahead of Gov. Mitt Romney 49 - 45 percent among likely voters nationwide, and voters expect 54 - 28 percent that the president will win the debates, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

The president leads 56 - 38 percent among women and 94 - 2 percent among black voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Men back Romney 52 - 42 percent while white voters back the Republican 53 - 42 percent.

Independent voters are divided with 47 percent for Romney and 45 percent for Obama.

American likely voters say 60 - 25 percent that the federal government would make progress addressing the nation's problems if one party controls the White House, the Senate and the House of Representatives.

Voters dislike the Democratic Party less than they dislike the Republican Party, giving the Democrats a negative 45 - 49 percent favorability rating, compared to a negative 41 - 52 percent for the Republicans.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1801

[bigdarryl]

1. Good numbers for the President

These are good numbers for the President especially among white men 42. Percent he won 43 percent in 2008.

[TroyD]

2. Yes, I'm surprised that Obama is basically at the same level with white men as 08

But is anyone else disturbed to see Romney doing so well with Independents? Why is he 2 points ahead of Obama?

[DCBob]

4. Alot of Republicans self identify as Independents.

They are ashamed of the "R" label.

[DCBob]

3. 4 points nationally is a good solid lead

However, I still think the national numbers are misleading. The MSM will say its a close race based on this poll but te state by state EC numbers tell a much different story. If the election were held today it would be a big win for the President with similar numbers to 2008.

[thevoiceofreason]

5. Buried in the article - MOE 2.2%

Good news

[WI_DEM]

6. all these polls showing big expectations on the debate for Obama

have me a bit worried. If Mitt somehow makes it thru without making a gaffe the pundits and public might proclaim him the victor just for that.

[TroyD]

7. That's possible, yes

Obama needs to realize these are the last debates of his political career and do the best to make them the debates of his life.