OHIO Dispatch Poll: Brown opens lead on Mandel (+10)
Incumbent Democrat leading in almost all demographic sectors
The Columbus Dispatch
Monday October 1, 2012
Ohio’s U.S. Senate race has gone from a dead heat to a double-digit lead for incumbent Democrat Sherrod Brown in the Dispatch Poll.
The first-term senator is topping Republican state Treasurer Josh Mandel 49?percent to 39 percent. The two were tied at 44?percent in the first Dispatch Poll, published on Aug. 26.
The rapid transformation in the Senate contest parallels that of the presidential race in Ohio, which went from deadlocked in the first survey to a 9-point margin for President Barack Obama. Both changes were fueled by a larger proportion of Democrats in the current poll who say they will vote.
With five weeks left in the campaign, the numbers could change depending on the outcome of three Brown-Mandel debates, new dynamics in the presidential race that could affect the Senate competition, and the effectiveness of the parties’ respective voter-turnout operations.
But as in the presidential campaign, the Brown lead is especially important at this point on the political calendar because early voting in Ohio starts on Tuesday, meaning his lead could start to become “locked in” well before Election Day.
More:
http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2012/10/01/brown-opens-lead-on-mandel.html
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