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Highly recommend Moneyball (Original Post) Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2012 OP
Saber-metrics worked well for a season... trumad Jan 2012 #1
Only based on offense, right? Guess the assumption is Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2012 #2
The whole key is On base percentage. trumad Jan 2012 #3
right....I see it as successful in a perfect world where Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2012 #4
And not just that, but even under ideal circumstances hughee99 Jan 2012 #11
right... The best OBP the A's can put together is probably much lower than the big money Laura PourMeADrink Feb 2012 #14
Unbelievably, Pats giving 3 hughee99 Feb 2012 #15
Well, you can only keep beating good teams every time for so long Laura PourMeADrink Feb 2012 #16
A's are in the same boat as Cleveland Auggie Jan 2012 #5
The advantage the A's found JonLP24 Jan 2012 #7
Exactly! -eom- HuckleB Jan 2012 #12
Other teams started using it to snatch up good players PVnRT Feb 2012 #29
As more MLB teams get wise to this method of evaluating talent hughee99 Jan 2012 #6
I don't always agree JonLP24 Jan 2012 #8
I feel the same about you. n/t hughee99 Jan 2012 #10
I assume it's on video now? nt joeybee12 Jan 2012 #9
not sure...saw it On Demand on cable. nt Laura PourMeADrink Feb 2012 #17
Took me 4 months to get Bridesmaids from the library... joeybee12 Feb 2012 #18
Ok ! Bridesmaids was unexpectedly very funny to me nt Laura PourMeADrink Feb 2012 #19
I have to say it was a letdown...entertaining and funny... joeybee12 Feb 2012 #20
Horrible movie... trumad Feb 2012 #21
It was not... joeybee12 Feb 2012 #22
Really? Not even Melissa McCarthy? nt Laura PourMeADrink Feb 2012 #23
She made that movie...nt joeybee12 Feb 2012 #24
They were simply trying to one up the Hang over movie... trumad Feb 2012 #25
I agree partly...more brisdesmaids, less Kristin Wiig... joeybee12 Feb 2012 #26
You think Bridesmaids was better than the Hangover...? trumad Feb 2012 #27
Staring at the lint in my navel is better than Hangover... joeybee12 Feb 2012 #28
Alright---you asked for it. trumad Feb 2012 #30
Slacker! joeybee12 Feb 2012 #31
See 31...responded to the wrong post! nt joeybee12 Feb 2012 #32
Everyone is missing the point. El Supremo Jan 2012 #13
Great film, though Art Howe isn't such a jerk Auggie Feb 2012 #33
 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
1. Saber-metrics worked well for a season...
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 11:11 AM
Jan 2012

and certainly has merit...but... in 2011, the Oakland A's were 74-88.

terrific movie though.

 

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
2. Only based on offense, right? Guess the assumption is
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 11:15 AM
Jan 2012

you can train defense. Stuck me though you would have to factor
age in too.

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
3. The whole key is On base percentage.
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 11:26 AM
Jan 2012

I get the concept and it certainly has merit.... but if you look at the A's season records since, I'd have to conclude it isn't as successful as the movie implies it to be.

 

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
4. right....I see it as successful in a perfect world where
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 11:42 AM
Jan 2012

nothing changes. No one's OBP ever starts a permanent decline. No new pitchers join the mix.
No one gets hurt. Factors that cause mutation. And, you can't keep restaffing every day -
there's a natural need to put in the hours/games a a team. You are always going to have
days when your players are having those down times when they aren't achieving
their avg OBP. If the majority doesn't, you lose.

All that said, I love baseball and thought the whole idea was very thought provoking.

hughee99

(16,113 posts)
11. And not just that, but even under ideal circumstances
Tue Jan 31, 2012, 09:08 PM
Jan 2012

it just means that the A's would get more "bang for the buck" than other teams, it doesn't necessarily mean they would get enough to win it all. The guys with the highest OBP's last year were guys that had good everything (Cabrera, Batista, Votto, Fielder, Berkman, Adrian Gonzalez, Matt Kemp, Ortiz and Braun) and were priced out of the A's market. The A's are still relegated to looking at just the stats of the best players they can afford.

The system allows for the A's to be more competitive than other teams looking at similar players, but doesn't necessarily translate into an overriding advantage over big market teams, especially teams that can financially "afford to be wrong" on player evaluation.

 

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
14. right... The best OBP the A's can put together is probably much lower than the big money
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 01:00 AM
Feb 2012

OBP average. Good point

Good luck this weekend (not really :&gt

What's the spread?

hughee99

(16,113 posts)
15. Unbelievably, Pats giving 3
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 04:25 AM
Feb 2012

The Pats have played 2 quality opponents in the last 2 months while the Giants have had to play some very tough opponents to get here. I was very surprised to see the Pats favored at all.

I hope you enjoy the game, even if you don't like the final score

 

Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
16. Well, you can only keep beating good teams every time for so long
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 08:44 AM
Feb 2012

before the spell breaks. Hope my team has one more in them.

I grew up half way between NYC and Boston. So you had
to love one and hate the other. Our family went the
Yankees/Giants route. But half the town went the other
way - Red Sox/Patriots.

Auggie

(31,167 posts)
5. A's are in the same boat as Cleveland
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 12:36 PM
Jan 2012

Small markets with owners of limited financial means. It's hard to put it all together when you have to recycle the roster every few years.

JonLP24

(29,322 posts)
7. The advantage the A's found
Tue Jan 31, 2012, 01:14 AM
Jan 2012

was simply finding players that were undervalued by other teams. Once teams took notice they started offering players with higher OBP w/ bigger salaries. It is the natural order of things, next time someone finds an inside advantage in any sport, it will quickly disappear.

PVnRT

(13,178 posts)
29. Other teams started using it to snatch up good players
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 04:28 PM
Feb 2012

The Oakland A's succeeded for a while because they found good players for rock-bottom prices. With everyone throwing money at sabremetric-approved players now, you can't be cheap and win. That's Oakland's problem.

hughee99

(16,113 posts)
6. As more MLB teams get wise to this method of evaluating talent
Mon Jan 30, 2012, 03:47 PM
Jan 2012

It becomes harder and harder for the A's to find these "hidden gems" that allow them to compete. Other teams are now looking at OBP and OPS and putting less stock batting average and certainly in stolen bases. The A's were able to take advantage because they were ahead of the curve in looking at some of these stats, but as other teams begin to use them, they end up tied to the same payroll disadvantage they had before. Teams still overvalue saves which is why the A's continue to build up closers and then get rid of them when there's market demand.

I didn't see the movie yet, but loved the book.

 

joeybee12

(56,177 posts)
18. Took me 4 months to get Bridesmaids from the library...
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 11:35 AM
Feb 2012

I will put Moneyball on hold and come July tell you what I thought of it!!!

 

joeybee12

(56,177 posts)
20. I have to say it was a letdown...entertaining and funny...
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 12:54 PM
Feb 2012

But I guess I was expecting gut-wrenching funny from what I had heard about it.

 

joeybee12

(56,177 posts)
22. It was not...
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 02:04 PM
Feb 2012

Not great or what I thought it would be, but definitely not horrible...especially not horrible like anything Meryl Streep is in.

 

trumad

(41,692 posts)
25. They were simply trying to one up the Hang over movie...
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 03:08 PM
Feb 2012

One funny part--- the shitting scene and that was it.

The main character was the most self-absorbed me me me character I've seen in a while.

 

joeybee12

(56,177 posts)
26. I agree partly...more brisdesmaids, less Kristin Wiig...
Wed Feb 1, 2012, 03:20 PM
Feb 2012

She was very unappealing.

As for Habgover...God, now THAT was an awful movie.

Auggie

(31,167 posts)
33. Great film, though Art Howe isn't such a jerk
Fri Feb 10, 2012, 10:16 AM
Feb 2012

Just saw it. Howe, apparently, is quite irate in how he was portrayed by Philip Seymore Hoffman. I believe he bought into Beane's approach 100%

Another aspect of the book, not mentioned in the movie, was how small clubs targeted Latin American players early on, often signing 10 to 15 prospects for the price of one U.S. college prospect. Ciubs like Cleveland also directed more money in developmental and cultural training and better hygienic practices of these signees, including medical care.

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