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Wed Jan 30, 2013, 09:36 PM

Niners 28, Ravens 21

50,000 computer simulations can't be wrong.

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/computer-pick-50-000-super-bowl-simulations-san-145415202--nfl.html

Now all that's left is the commercials.

There's no need to watch the Super Bowl for the actual game, at least not with PredictionMachine.com having run 50,000 simulations of Sunday's Super Bowl matchup and determining that the San Francisco 49ers will beat the Baltimore Ravens by a likely score of 28 to 21. The simulations gave the edge to the 49ers' run and pass offense over the Ravens' defense and perhaps most importantly, an edge to the 49ers' run defense in stopping the Ravens' rushing attack.

From the 50,000 simulations, PredictionMachine.com had the 49ers winning 66.9 percent of the time. But while a touchdown spread and a relatively narrow game is the most likely winning margin for the 49ers, there is a 38.6 percent chance that San Francisco wins by more than 10 points. In other words, the simulation likes the 49ers an awful lot.


Not to worry, though. Remember, hockey's back. And pitchers and catchers report (to some teams) the very next Sunday.

7 replies, 644 views

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Arrow 7 replies Author Time Post
Reply Niners 28, Ravens 21 (Original post)
KamaAina Jan 2013 OP
madinmaryland Jan 2013 #1
KamaAina Jan 2013 #4
madinmaryland Jan 2013 #5
petronius Jan 2013 #2
LineLineNew Reply +
El Supremo Jan 2013 #3
ScreamingMeemie Jan 2013 #6
Scurrilous Jan 2013 #7

Response to KamaAina (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2013, 09:38 PM

1. Wonder what it predicted about the Ravens previous two games. Better yet, what does

Nate Silver say about the results?

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Response to madinmaryland (Reply #1)

Wed Jan 30, 2013, 11:18 PM

4. Don't know. But it did predict the last two Roman numeral games

Giants by about 52%, and Packers by a somewhat wider margin (but well short of two-thirds )

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Response to KamaAina (Reply #4)

Wed Jan 30, 2013, 11:28 PM

5. Heh! I understand that Crossroads GPS is predicting the same thing.



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Response to KamaAina (Original post)

Wed Jan 30, 2013, 09:55 PM

2. Alerted. This needs a spoiler warning!

Some of us haven't watched it yet...

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Response to petronius (Reply #2)

Wed Jan 30, 2013, 10:06 PM

3. +

Good!

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Response to KamaAina (Original post)

Thu Jan 31, 2013, 09:06 AM

6. They haven't played that game yet?

Pitchers and catchers report in 11 days!

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Response to KamaAina (Original post)

Thu Jan 31, 2013, 10:42 AM

7. "Now all that's left is the commercials."

And Beyonce!

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