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Thu Dec 13, 2012, 08:20 AM

+++ NFL Picks / Week 15 +++

PLAYOFF RACE SPECIAL!!!

Boosting to nine games again, all of which have impact of one kind or another on the playoffs. Omitting a meaningless Monday night game. Hope that's okay with everyone.

Browns / Redskins courtesy of RagAss.

This is the last week to take a bye.

All great match-ups this week. Good luck.

-------------------------------
Favorite / Spread / Underdog (Home team in CAPS)

Green Bay / 3 / CHICAGO
ATLANTA / 1.5 / NY Giants
ST. LOUIS / 3 / Minnesota
Washington / 1 / CLEVELAND
Denver / 2.5 / BALTIMORE
HOUSTON / 8.5 / Indianapolis
Seattle / 5.5 / BUFFALO
Pittsburgh / 1.5 / DALLAS
NEW ENGLAND / 5.5 / San Francisco

29 replies, 1414 views

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Arrow 29 replies Author Time Post
Reply +++ NFL Picks / Week 15 +++ (Original post)
Auggie Dec 2012 OP
joeybee12 Dec 2012 #1
Auggie Dec 2012 #2
joeybee12 Dec 2012 #7
thelordofhell Dec 2012 #4
joeybee12 Dec 2012 #6
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #8
joeybee12 Dec 2012 #10
madinmaryland Dec 2012 #13
thelordofhell Dec 2012 #3
PRETZEL Dec 2012 #5
RockaFowler Dec 2012 #18
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #9
RagAss Dec 2012 #11
InternalDialogue Dec 2012 #12
mythology Dec 2012 #14
anakie Dec 2012 #15
JonLP24 Dec 2012 #16
Auggie Dec 2012 #17
RockaFowler Dec 2012 #19
madinmaryland Dec 2012 #20
Auggie Dec 2012 #26
many a good man Dec 2012 #21
Liberal_Dog Dec 2012 #22
flvegan Dec 2012 #23
Auggie Dec 2012 #24
Condem Dec 2012 #25
Auggie Dec 2012 #27
Condem Dec 2012 #28
Auggie Dec 2012 #29

Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 11:08 AM

1. Denver has only beaten one team this year with a winning record...

Only one.

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Response to joeybee12 (Reply #1)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 11:21 AM

2. And Baltimore continues to surprise

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Response to Auggie (Reply #2)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 12:41 PM

7. For several weeks I was waiting for the Ravens to lose...

Then they rewarded my patience twice!

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Response to joeybee12 (Reply #1)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 11:25 AM

4. Denver has also gotten more disciplined over the weeks

But I ain't pickin' against Baltimore at home.........

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Response to thelordofhell (Reply #4)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 12:37 PM

6. Playing sh*tty teams...

They simply are not as good as people think...

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Response to joeybee12 (Reply #6)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 01:57 PM

8. They are better than people think

http://www.advancednflstats.com/2012/12/team-efficiency-rankings-week-15.html

http://mule.he.net/~budsport/pub/killer.php (they slipped to #2 behind SF in YPPA differential)

Their SOS of opponents faced so far is tougher than Houston, slightly lower than Baltimore, ahead of Indianapolis & tied w/ Pittsburgh. You'll point out, that's because they lost to Atlanta, New England, and Houston. Does this team seem like the same team that will dig itself a huge hole early only to make it look like it was a close game at the end? In the end, schedule doesn't matter but how good a team is and both of those stats above indicate they're pretty damn good.

On edit - if you want to see a slightly above average team that's played a weak schedule, look at Atlanta, .391 record of opponents faced thus far.

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Response to JonLP24 (Reply #8)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 02:54 PM

10. In the power rankings, they're #2...

I see a first round loss at home in their future. I agree about Atlanta...they really were shown for what they are last week.

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Response to joeybee12 (Reply #6)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 10:27 PM

13. El Supremo is impressed by Denver's victories over the powerful Raiders, Chiefs, and

Chargers.



You take those wins away, and they are a 4-3 team.

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 11:24 AM

3. Picka ooma mau mau, Picka oo mau mamau

Green Bay / 3 / CHICAGO------------------Green Bay
ATLANTA / 1.5 / NY Giants-----------------NY Giants
ST. LOUIS / 3 / Minnesota-----------------Minnesota
Washington / 1 / CLEVELAND--------------Washington
Denver / 2.5 / BALTIMORE-----------------Baltimore
HOUSTON / 8.5 / Indianapolis--------------Indianapolis
Seattle / 5.5 / BUFFALO-------------------Seattle
Pittsburgh / 1.5 / DALLAS------------------Dallas
NEW ENGLAND / 5.5 / San Francisco--------New England

I'm slowly swirling down the terlit with my picks..........hopefully I come back strong this weekend........

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 12:00 PM

5. I'm glad we're running out of weeks,

I've really sucked this year,

GB
Giants
Minn
Cle
Den
Indy
Sea
Pitt
NE

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Response to PRETZEL (Reply #5)

Fri Dec 14, 2012, 08:30 PM

18. You and I are neck and neck my friend

Race to the Bottom!!

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 02:05 PM

9. Standings

For second tier, I'll begin using percentage for Goblin and for whoever else falls to second tier.

RK. Member (REC) PCT (WNP) LWR
1. Auggie (64-48) .571 - 1
2. mythology (59-53) .527 - 2
3. RagAss (49-46) .516 (1,10) 4
4. thelordofhell (51-52) .495 (1) 3
5. InternalDialogue (54-58) .482 - 5
6. flvegan (54-58) .482 - t5
7. Liberal_Dog (52-60) .464 - 7
8. JonLP24 (47-56) .456 (1) 9
9. Condem (51-61) .455 - 10
10. many a good man (46-58) .442 (13) 8
11. anakie (45-67) .402 - 11
12. RockaFowler (43-69) .384 - 12
13. PRETZEL (43-69) .384 - t12
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Second tier

RK Member (REC) (WNP)
1. Goblinmonger (43-44) .494 (6,11,13)
2. trumad (8-17) (4-14)
3. getting old in mke (7-2) (2-14)
4. ahg (5-11) (2,4-14)
5. adairporter (3-5) (1,3-14)

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 08:56 PM

11. Mine...

Green Bay
NY Giants
ST. LOUIS
CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE
HOUSTON
Seattle
DALLAS
San Francisco

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Thu Dec 13, 2012, 09:28 PM

12. Mine

Chicago
NY Giants
Minnesota
Washington
Denver
Indianapolis
Seattle
Pittsburgh
San Francisco




Green Bay / 3 / CHICAGO
ATLANTA / 1.5 / NY Giants
ST. LOUIS / 3 / Minnesota
Washington / 1 / CLEVELAND
Denver / 2.5 / BALTIMORE
HOUSTON / 8.5 / Indianapolis
Seattle / 5.5 / BUFFALO
Pittsburgh / 1.5 / DALLAS
NEW ENGLAND / 5.5 / San Francisco

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Fri Dec 14, 2012, 12:48 AM

14. My selections

Green Bay
NY Giants
Minnesota
Cleveland
Denver
Indianapolis
Seattle
Pittsburgh
San Francisco

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Fri Dec 14, 2012, 03:36 PM

15. week 15



Green Bay / 3 / CHICAGO - Green Bay
ATLANTA / 1.5 / NY Giants - Atlanta
ST. LOUIS / 3 / Minnesota - Minnesota
Washington / 1 / CLEVELAND - Washington
Denver / 2.5 / BALTIMORE - Baltimore
HOUSTON / 8.5 / Indianapolis - Indi
Seattle / 5.5 / BUFFALO - Seattle
Pittsburgh / 1.5 / DALLAS - Pittsburg
NEW ENGLAND / 5.5 / San Francisco - New England

Good luck all

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Fri Dec 14, 2012, 03:57 PM

16. Cleveland vs Washington

could be trickier than first impressions. On Monday, I figured, what the hell? I'll check out the Kansas City-Cleveland recap. I found out that they were on a 3 game winning streak (admittedly not against the greatest of teams) w/ Richardson and Weeden having solid rookie seasons. A closer inspection reveals that the last game before the 3-game winning streak was the game against Dallas, which they easily could have won. Looking at the schedule Cleveland has 1 big loss @ NY Giants and 2 10-point losses vs Baltimore & Buffalo. They were in almost all their games and the most revealing thing is the scores allowed, 2 scores over 30, 17 points allowed in 2 losses, and scores of 23, 14, 17, and 7 in last 4 games. It is actually the game I'm struggling the most to select mainly because it is in Cleveland. In Landover, I'd comfortably pick Washington. This doesn't even factor the questionable Griffin.

Chicago
Atlanta
St. Louis
Cleveland
Denver
Indianapolis
Buffalo
Dallas (wow Pitt is favored here?)
San Francisco

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Response to JonLP24 (Reply #16)

Fri Dec 14, 2012, 04:08 PM

17. Cleveland's made a lot of mistakes early on ...

from what I saw. Perhaps they've improved. That should happen as a young team plays more.

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Fri Dec 14, 2012, 08:32 PM

19. Hey no Dolphins/Jags??

The Toilet Bowl or Irrelevant Bowl 2012

Green Bay
NY Giants
ST. LOUIS
CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE
Indianapolis
Seattle
Pittsburgh
San Francisco

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Response to RockaFowler (Reply #19)

Fri Dec 14, 2012, 08:53 PM

20. I think it is called the Tebow Bowl. One of those two teams will have Tebow starting

for them next year!!


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Response to RockaFowler (Reply #19)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 01:24 PM

26. The Toilet Bowl is being played in Oakland

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 15, 2012, 08:50 AM

21. +++»«+++

Green Bay / 3 / CHICAGO
ATLANTA / 1.5 / NY Giants
ST. LOUIS / 3 / Minnesota
Washington / 1 / CLEVELAND
Denver / 2.5 / BALTIMORE
HOUSTON / 8.5 / Indianapolis
Seattle / 5.5 / BUFFALO
Pittsburgh / 1.5 / DALLAS
NEW ENGLAND / 5.5 / San Francisco

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sat Dec 15, 2012, 08:17 PM

22. Week 15 Picks

Green Bay / 3 / CHICAGO-----Green Bay
ATLANTA / 1.5 / NY Giants-----Atlanta
ST. LOUIS / 3 / Minnesota-----Minnesota
Washington / 1 / CLEVELAND-----Cleveland
Denver / 2.5 / BALTIMORE-----Baltimore
HOUSTON / 8.5 / Indianapolis-----Houston
Seattle / 5.5 / BUFFALO-----Buffalo
Pittsburgh / 1.5 / DALLAS-----DALLAS
NEW ENGLAND / 5.5 / San Francisco-----New England

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 11:15 AM

23. Picks

Green Bay
NY Giants
Minnesota
Cleveland
Denver
Indianapolis
Seattle
Pittsburgh
New England

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 12:02 PM

24. Picks

Green Bay
Atlanta
Minnesota
Cleveland
Denver
Indianapolis
Buffalo
Pittsburgh
San Francisco

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Sun Dec 16, 2012, 12:08 PM

25. Picks

Green Bay
Gints
Minnesota
Washington
Denver
Houston
Seattle
Dallas
New England

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Response to Auggie (Original post)

Mon Dec 17, 2012, 09:38 AM

27. AND THE WINNER IS ...

Condem, with a record of 7-2! Well-played!



many a good man is runner-up at 6-3.

See you all next Thursday morning. Condem: please send me a game by Wednesday PM.

-------------------------------
Favorite--00 / Spread / Underdog--00 / WINNER

Green Bay--21 / 3 / CHICAGO--13 / GREEN BAY
ATLANTA--34 / 1.5 / NY Giants--0 / ATLANTA
ST. LOUIS--22 / 3 / Minnesota--36 / MINNESOTA
Washington--38/ 1 / CLEVELAND--21 / WASHINGTON
Denver--34 / 2.5 / BALTIMORE--17 / DENVER
HOUSTON--29 / 8.5 / Indianapolis--17 / HOUSTON
Seattle--50 / 5.5 / BUFFALO--17 / SEATTLE
Pittsburgh--24 / 1.5 / DALLAS--27 / DALLAS
NEW ENGLAND--34 / 5.5 / San Francisco--41 / SAN FRANCISCO
-------------------------------
Condem: 7W / 2L

W—Green Bay
L—Gints
W—Minnesota
W—Washington
W—Denver
W—Houston
W—Seattle
W—Dallas
L—New England
-------------------------------
many a good man: 6W / 3L

W—Green Bay
W—ATLANTA
L—ST. LOUIS
L—CLEVELAND
L—BALTIMORE
W—HOUSTON
W—Seattle
W—DALLAS
W—San Francisco
-------------------------------
anakie: 5W / 4L

W—Green Bay
W—Atlanta
W—Minnesota
W—Washington
L—Baltimore
L—Indianapolis
W—Seattle
L—Pittsburg
L—New England
-------------------------------
Auggie: 5W / 4L

W—Green Bay
W—Atlanta
W—Minnesota
L—Cleveland
W—Denver
L—Indianapolis
L—Buffalo
L—Pittsburgh
W—San Francisco
-------------------------------
InternalDialogue: 5W / 4L

L—Chicago
L—NY Giants
W—Minnesota
W—Washington
W—Denver
L—Indianapolis
W—Seattle
L—Pittsburgh
W—San Francisco
-------------------------------
mythology: 5W / 4L

W—Green Bay
L—NY Giants
W—Minnesota
L—Cleveland
W—Denver
L—Indianapolis
W—Seattle
L—Pittsburgh
W—San Francisco
-------------------------------
RagAss: 5W / 4L

W—Green Bay
L—NY Giants
L—ST. LOUIS
L—CLEVELAND
L—BALTIMORE
W—HOUSTON
W—Seattle
W—DALLAS
W—San Francisco
-------------------------------
thelordofhell: 5W / 4L

W—Green Bay
L—NY Giants
W—Minnesota
W—Washington
L—Baltimore
L—Indianapolis
W—Seattle
W— Dallas
L—New England
-------------------------------
JonLP24: 4W / 5L

L—Chicago
W—Atlanta
L—St. Louis
L—Cleveland
W—Denver
L—Indianapolis
L—Buffalo
W—Dallas
W—San Francisco
-------------------------------
PRETZEL: 4W / 5L

W—Green Bay
L—NY Giants
W—Minnesota
L—Cleveland
W—Denver
L—Indianapolis
W—Seattle
L—Pittsburg
L—New England
-------------------------------
flvegan: 4W / 5L

W—Green Bay
L—NY Giants
W—Minnesota
L—Cleveland
W—Denver
L—Indianapolis
W—Seattle
L—Pittsburgh
L—New England
-------------------------------
RockaFowler: 3W / 6L

W—Green Bay
L—NY Giants
L—ST. LOUIS
L—CLEVELAND
L—BALTIMORE
L—Indianapolis
W—Seattle
L—Pittsburgh
W—San Francisco

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Response to Auggie (Reply #27)

Mon Dec 17, 2012, 09:43 AM

28. Let's go with Cleveland @ Denver, Auggie.

Sure to be a very big spread.

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Response to Condem (Reply #28)

Mon Dec 17, 2012, 10:50 AM

29. You got it (opened at 12.5)

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