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Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:03 AM

 

Predictions on policy and accessibility of firearms, from the election.

Even though my Obama vote was wasted here in Alabama, as a country we have succeeded in re-electing President Obama. I'm hopeful, now that the election is behind him and there are no other elections to worry about, that we will make some good progress on social and economic problems.

As far as the second amendment goes, here is what I predict:
1) We will see President Obama move publicly to enact some kind of firearm regulation, probably some kind of assault weapons ban.
2) Firearm and ammunition sales will skyrocket. We will probably see scarcity problems even worse than in 2008.

Fortunately, I don't believe any legislation will actually get passed, though, thanks to obstruction from, sadly, the red states.

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Reply Predictions on policy and accessibility of firearms, from the election. (Original post)
Atypical Liberal Nov 2012 OP
Eleanors38 Nov 2012 #1
glacierbay Nov 2012 #2
bluedigger Nov 2012 #3
slackmaster Nov 2012 #4
4th law of robotics Nov 2012 #7
hack89 Nov 2012 #5
4th law of robotics Nov 2012 #6

Response to Atypical Liberal (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:25 AM

1. I can't see Obama moving on this...

But I can see anti-2A politicians making a move. Obama needs (at a minimum) to stand clear and let the effort be killed.

It's not gun control, but the continuation of a culture war; some will feel emboldened to act out. Obama can't afford to choose sides in a gratuitous and symbolic "statement making" ritual.

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Response to Atypical Liberal (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:36 AM

2. The only good thing to having a Repuke controlled House

 

is that no gun control measures will make it out of commitee and even if it did, Sen. Reid, himself a strong 2A supporter, wouldn't let it come up for a vote.
So I think we're pretty safe.

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Response to Atypical Liberal (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:37 AM

3. Not until 2014, if then.

He isn't going to give such a controversial issue to the Congress until after the mid-term elections, barring any intervening developments.

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Response to Atypical Liberal (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:38 AM

4. No real change

 

1) We will see President Obama move publicly to enact some kind of firearm regulation, probably some kind of assault weapons ban.

...which will never see the light of day in the House of Representatives.

2) Firearm and ammunition sales will skyrocket. We will probably see scarcity problems even worse than in 2008.

I think people are burned out on panic buying.

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Response to slackmaster (Reply #4)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:20 PM

7. Panic is one of our greatest resources

 

always readily available and endlessly renewable.

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Response to Atypical Liberal (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:42 AM

5. With Harry Reid leading the Senate, there will be no significant gun control legislation.

he simply won't allow it.

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Response to Atypical Liberal (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:19 PM

6. A president is not a king

 

he would have to get any of that past congress.

And while Obama is on his last term and thus doesn't have to worry about reelection. But those congressmen do.

And since gun control is a sure-fire way to lose your reelection (outside of a handful of regions) I doubt he'd have a lot of enthusiastic support on pushing the AWB again.

Especially since it failed so obviously the first time.

/"hey guys, go ahead and vote for this demonstrably pointless law that will almost certainly end your careers! Who is with me?"

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