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Thu Mar 22, 2012, 12:18 PM

 

UN Somali ‘Surge’ vs. Al Shabab Expansion

In a worrying sign for the powers that be in the west, the Somali national resistance under the umbrella of Al Shabab has made its first major breakthrough in the northern region of Somalia by bringing into its folds the Islamic Resistance in Puntland. With Al Shabab this past year having unified all the major resistance movement in central and southern Somalia, and with talks ongoing between Al Shabab and the reunification movement in the very most northern region of Somaliland, it should come as no surprise that the only real news coming out of the World Conference on Somalia recently convened in London would be the announcement of another military “surge” in Somalia, this time of over 50% to almost 20,000 “peacekeepers”.

Like it says in the West Point manuals, when you start losing (i.e. the insurgents are getting stronger) “send in the Cavalry”, as in double your troop strength, which is what has happened this past year with the UN/AU “peacekeepers” in Mogadishu going from 8,000 to almost 20,000. And this doesn’t count the hundreds of tanks and heavy artillery as well as the dozens of helicopter gunships flying overhead protection this “surge” includes.

With lightly armed Al Shabab, i.e., rifles, machine guns and rocket propelled grenades, having to give ground and hit and run, the insurgency has entered the strategic stalemate stage with neither side being able to defeat the other.

Al Shabab has spent the last year ending all of the fighting between the various central and southern resistance fighters, with even the “moderates” in the former Union of Islamic Courts (UIC)/Alliance for the Reliberation of Somalia (ARS) removing their white scholars scarfs and replacing them with Al Shabab red.

Now with Al Shabab’s breakthrough in the northern Puntland region, it seems the resistance to the western-backed military occupation based in Mogadishu has become an even more serious problem for the west and its vassals at the UN/AU, and more “surge” is the order of the day.

http://www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2012/03/10/un-somali-surge-vs-al-shabab-expansion/

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