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Fri Apr 6, 2012, 10:28 PM

Dr. Housing Bubble 04/06/12

The monster lurking in the shadow inventory 12 million Americans underwater with nearly 6 million delinquent or in foreclosure with their mortgages. The hidden benefit of not paying your mortgage.

Shadow inventory coming online in 2012 is going to have the biggest impact on the housing market. With a weak jobs report that shows a labor force that declined by 164,000 you realize that demographic trends are now in full play here. With banks now moving on delinquent properties the supply will be moving higher while traditional inventory remains low. This is happening. We noted that in Southern California, over 50 percent of all MLS inventory is now composed of short sales showing that banks are now willing to sell homes for less than the original mortgage balance. One of the more interesting trends is the aggressive pricing we are seeing on some of these listings. Of those in actual foreclosures, nearly half have made no mortgage payment in two years. Now that banks are moving on these properties that hidden stimulus will be pulled away. Think about not paying rent or a mortgage for two full years. Let us take a look at the current state of the shadow inventory.

Distressed inventory pipeline

Over 5,800,000+ homes are either delinquent or in the foreclosure process:
shadow inventory 2012 chart

http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/shadow-inventory-second-wave-foreclosure-defaults-short-sales-hidden-benefits-stimulus-of-not-paying-mortgage/

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Reply Dr. Housing Bubble 04/06/12 (Original post)
Crewleader Apr 2012 OP
jtuck004 Apr 2012 #1

Response to Crewleader (Original post)

Fri Apr 6, 2012, 10:33 PM

1. And nearly a trillion in student loans, with abt 270 bill of that over 30 days late


and China slowing....

With an election near the end.

Gonna be an interesting year.

I wonder when we will figure out that not investing in ourselves and the country is the only thing that keeps us from going backwards.

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