Thu Nov 29, 2012, 09:38 PM

Labour in triple by election win

Last edited Thu Nov 29, 2012, 10:16 PM USA/ET - Edit history (5)

UKIP second in Rotherham and Middlesborough

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-20541136

Desperate results for the Coalition parties particularly in the northern constituencies.

UKIP would have done even better if they had a better party machine and selected their candidates more carefully.

Tory Central office will now be very concerned about next years council elections as these tend to be a better indicator of future General Election voting intentions than Parliamentary by elections. If the UKIP vote holds up next May then the Conservatives are in serious trouble.

3 replies, 518 views

Thread info Bookmark this thread Trash this thread

Reply to this thread

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum

Replies to this discussion thread

3 replies	Author	Time	Post
Labour in triple by election win (Original post)	fedsron2us	Nov 2012	OP
Good news though not totally unexpected	LeftishBrit	Nov 2012	#1
Would they?	non sociopath skin	Nov 2012	#2
There are 41 Tory Marginals that could be lost on a 5% Tory voters swinging to UKIP	fedsron2us	Nov 2012	#3

Response to fedsron2us (Original post)

Fri Nov 30, 2012, 03:45 AM

LeftishBrit (29,746 posts)

1. Good news though not totally unexpected

But a relief that Labour has won comfortably, and in two cases increased its majority.

The Right would have had a field day if Labour had lost any of the seats. I fear that they may still have a field day over what they will undoubtedly represent as 'UKIP defeating the LibDems'.

Reply to this post

Response to fedsron2us (Original post)

Fri Nov 30, 2012, 05:47 AM

non sociopath skin (4,578 posts)

2. Would they?

I wonder how many of those who voted UKIP even knew or cared who the candidate was or what their policies - other than leaving Europe - were.

Other than with the personal intervention of God, Santa Claus and/or Bradley Wiggins, I can't see how the Baggy Trousered Misanthropists could have a better head start in a by-election.

The Skin

Reply to this post

Response to fedsron2us (Original post)

Fri Nov 30, 2012, 08:44 AM

fedsron2us (2,811 posts)

3. There are 41 Tory Marginals that could be lost on a 5% Tory voters swinging to UKIP

Last edited Fri Nov 30, 2012, 08:45 AM USA/ET - Edit history (2)

In over 30 of them Labour are the second place party.

http://www.politicsresources.net/area/uk/ge10/conmaj.htm

By my calculation UKIP would probably only have to take 3% of the Tory vote to cause Cameron some serious problems at a General Election

Reply to this post