Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:33 PM
FSogol (20,840 posts)
Ben Tribbett (from Not Larry Sabato) final predicitions:
"In the Senate race, Tim Kaine has a healthy lead over George Allen who never seemed to grasp that it was no longer 1993. We are rating this as a "Likely Democratic" hold, and my best guess would be a Kaine margin of 7%.
In the Presidential race in Virginia, Barack Obama has regained the momentum and heads into election day with the advantage here over Mitt Romney. We are rating this as a "Leans Democratic" hold. If I had to guess margin, I would say around 4% of the vote.
It's quite possible for the first time in modern history that we will see Virginia voting as a state to the left of the decisive tipping point state elsewhere. This is because of the exploding demographics here. In fact, Obama should be going from a 250K margin to a 400K margin this year in Virginia, and the fact that he will be well short of that is a credit to the GOP's campaign. But without a national tidal wave, they won't be able to turn Virginia red in 2012, and it may be another generation or two until this state votes Republican for President again."
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Ben Tribbett (from Not Larry Sabato) final predicitions: (Original post)
Response to FSogol (Original post)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:40 PM
2theleft (744 posts)
2. I live in VA
central Virginia. Work at a huge corporation. In '08 NO ONE talked about voting Dem except for myself and a handful of others. This year, I see more and more people talking about the D ticket. It is a good sign.... Also, on my way to the polls...TONS of Wayne Powell signs. Equal amounts of Romney v Obama. 08 was tons of Romney. I am hopeful that we are on our way left.
Response to 2theleft (Reply #2)
Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:58 PM
phylny (3,156 posts)
3. Live in south central Virginia,
and while it's been heavily for Rmoney, there are a great deal of Obama signs and bumper stickers. We won't go blue here, but I hope we help the state along