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Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:33 PM

Ben Tribbett (from Not Larry Sabato) final predicitions:

"In the Senate race, Tim Kaine has a healthy lead over George Allen who never seemed to grasp that it was no longer 1993. We are rating this as a "Likely Democratic" hold, and my best guess would be a Kaine margin of 7%.

In the Presidential race in Virginia, Barack Obama has regained the momentum and heads into election day with the advantage here over Mitt Romney. We are rating this as a "Leans Democratic" hold. If I had to guess margin, I would say around 4% of the vote.

It's quite possible for the first time in modern history that we will see Virginia voting as a state to the left of the decisive tipping point state elsewhere. This is because of the exploding demographics here. In fact, Obama should be going from a 250K margin to a 400K margin this year in Virginia, and the fact that he will be well short of that is a credit to the GOP's campaign. But without a national tidal wave, they won't be able to turn Virginia red in 2012, and it may be another generation or two until this state votes Republican for President again."

Whole post here:
http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/doh/2012/11/election-day-predictions.html

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Reply Ben Tribbett (from Not Larry Sabato) final predicitions: (Original post)
FSogol Nov 2012 OP
DMacTX Nov 2012 #1
2theleft Nov 2012 #2
phylny Nov 2012 #3

Response to FSogol (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:35 PM

1. Obama by +4 in VA,...can't see it, but OMG I'd love that! Would be Obama landslide night

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Response to FSogol (Original post)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 03:40 PM

2. I live in VA

central Virginia. Work at a huge corporation. In '08 NO ONE talked about voting Dem except for myself and a handful of others. This year, I see more and more people talking about the D ticket. It is a good sign.... Also, on my way to the polls...TONS of Wayne Powell signs. Equal amounts of Romney v Obama. 08 was tons of Romney. I am hopeful that we are on our way left.

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Response to 2theleft (Reply #2)

Tue Nov 6, 2012, 07:58 PM

3. Live in south central Virginia,

and while it's been heavily for Rmoney, there are a great deal of Obama signs and bumper stickers. We won't go blue here, but I hope we help the state along

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