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Thu Aug 9, 2012, 01:42 PM

US House Races in PA. - 1 Dem and 3 Repub Seats Potentially Vulnerable, Rest mostly non-competitive

http://www.politicspa.com/congressional-vulnerability-rankings-august-edition/39261/

This analysis ranks the most competitive US House races within PA as:

1. Critz (D) vs. Rothfus
2. Fitzpatrick (R) vs. Broockvar
3. Gerlach (R) vs. Trivedi
4. Tim Murphy (R) vs. Maggi

All four of these seats are held by incumbents. The remaining US House seats in PA are unlikely to change parties. Let's put our energies where they can be most useful.

Critz is having to deal with a revised district where many voters do not know him.

6 replies, 1108 views

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Reply US House Races in PA. - 1 Dem and 3 Repub Seats Potentially Vulnerable, Rest mostly non-competitive (Original post)
JPZenger Aug 2012 OP
leveymg Aug 2012 #1
Bennyboy Aug 2012 #2
enough Aug 2012 #3
MadrasT Aug 2012 #5
cap Aug 2012 #4
femmocrat Aug 2012 #6

Response to JPZenger (Original post)

Thu Aug 9, 2012, 01:47 PM

1. Please add "(in PA)" after "Seats". Otherwise, headline is confusing

Thnx

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Response to JPZenger (Original post)

Thu Aug 9, 2012, 01:49 PM

2. Lungren VS Bera is gonna be close

 

Hopefully. People round here are starting to see what a giant douche DL is.

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Response to JPZenger (Original post)

Thu Aug 9, 2012, 02:06 PM

3. Wow I'm thrilled to see my district (Gerlach vs. Trivedi) is seen as competitive!

I'd given up on it, since Gerlach beat Trivedi in 2010, and we're in an area that tends to keep its Republican congressmen for decades at a time.

Gerlach has been sending out glossy mailings explaining how Obama is going to take away your medicare,
regularly since about three days after the last election. I haven't seen anything from Trivedi except through direct e-mail to his own list.

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Response to enough (Reply #3)

Thu Aug 9, 2012, 02:23 PM

5. Hey, that's me too!

Hi neighbor!

God I would love to ditch Gerlach.

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Response to JPZenger (Original post)

Thu Aug 9, 2012, 02:22 PM

4. Broockvar is AWOL in Bucks County

We only see Fitzpatrick signs and he is bombing us with phone calls. No sign whatsoever of Broockvar. I wish it were different. I am working on the Obama campaign and I see nothing for Broockvar. Not optimistic

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Response to JPZenger (Original post)

Thu Aug 9, 2012, 06:01 PM

6. Tim Murphy will win again.

I did get fund-raising request from Ed Rendell today, though. So maybe they (the party) aren't going to abandon Maggi like they do previous democratic candidates.

Also, I read that the Tea Party is pouring a lot of money into Rothfus' campaign coffers.

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