"NC Early Voting Day 9 (Oct 27) : Yes Virginia, Obama Really Can Win NC"

What do you all think of this analysis:

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/27/1150096/-NC-Early-Voting-Day-9-Yes-Virginia-Obama-Really-Can-Win-North-Carolina

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"Implications of our Obama Win Scenario:

The fact that it is possible to sketch out even a remotely plausible scenario in which Obama wins North Carolina (a state which he won by only 14,177 votes in 2008), in which Romney cuts into Obama's 2008 Early Voting margin by 156,546 votes, and in which White Democrats and White Unaffiliateds swing 5% towards Romney, cannot be taken as a good sign for Mitt Romney.

Even under these fairly pessimistic assumptions, Obama can win North Carolina. That is significant - not just for what it says about how North Carolina is changing politically and demographically - but also for what it says about other states, which were not as close in 2008, which are also experiencing rapid demographic change, and in which Obama also has very strong support from minority voters.

I'm thinking about what these means for other states like Virginia, where the Non-Hispanic White Voting Age Population is only 67.2%, which is even lower than in North Carolina (in which the Voting Age Population is 68.4% Non-Hispanic White). Early voting is much more limited in Virginia than in NC, but despite Republican claims, the numbers don't actually look better for the GOP than 2008.

I'm thinking about what these means for other states like Florida, where the Non-Hispanic White Voting Age Population is 58.9%, which is even lower than in Virginia. Democrats are doing much better in vote by mail so far in Florida than in 2008, and early voting in person is starting today, with reports of heavy turnout."

(more, with graphs-- at link)