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Tue Aug 21, 2012, 02:20 AM

Will Akin have a "one yard short" finish on November 6?

The poll from last weekend before the rape comment has Todd Akin with a near 10% advantage over Claire McCaskill. In the wake of Akin's controversial "legitimate rape" comments and Republicans around the nation calling on Akin to step down, a poll taken just tonight shows the lead down to one point.

So it's a Missouri race. I wonder if anyone was thinking about how the St. Louis Rams won Super Bowl XXXIV 12 years ago. Akin just blew a gigantic lead with those rape remarks just 3 months before the election and might even trail McCaskill in future polls. I think it's like Kurt Warner's 73-yard TD pass to Isaac Bruce that gave the STL Rams a 23-16 lead with just under 2 minutes left in SB34. Then Akin will desperately make all sorts of crap up about McCaskill and keep his base motivated throughout September and October. A poll the last week of October shows Akin with a 1 point lead. Then in November...



(source: washingtonpost.com reprinting AP photo) Photo is of the final play of Super Bowl XXXIV where Tennessee Titans wide receiver Kevin Dyson is tackled at the one-yard line by St. Louis Rams linebacker Mike Jones to seal the Rams' 23-16 win over the Titans.

Because it's Missouri (not a liberal-leaning state like California or New York) I doubt McCaskill would win by a landslide; her first election in 2006 was by only 2 points. However, Democratic Gov. Jay Nixon won his election in 2008 by 19 points (and even larger margins as Attorney General).

In my state, an initiative to end same sex marriage (Prop. 8) had a slight disadvantage in a poll taken in late October but passed by 4.5% on Election Day.

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