Sun Oct 28, 2012, 01:13 PM

Romney's ads in Minnesota

At least one explanation today of why we see ads all of a sudden: aimed at Wisconsin.

What is scary is that, according to the stib poll, Obama is only 3 points ahead, with the margin of error.

http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/176113071.html

When was the last time Minnesota voted Republican? 1972?

4 replies, 545 views

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4 replies	Author	Time	Post
Romney's ads in Minnesota (Original post)	question everything	Oct 2012	OP
poll details	riverwalker	Oct 2012	#1
Romney has no ground game here. Once it's time to GOTV, Obama will win by 6-10.	Brickbat	Oct 2012	#2
"When was the last time MN voted Republican? 1972?" Yes. I just read that. Nixon v. McGovern	progree	Oct 2012	#3
Excruciatingly detailed analysis of the Strib poll (the Ob +3) & other polls (David Brauer Minnpost)	progree	Oct 2012	#4

Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 01:16 PM

riverwalker (6,452 posts)

1. poll details

The poll was conducted among 800 likely Minnesota voters who were contacted on their land lines or cellphones between Oct. 23 and Oct. 25.

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Response to question everything (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 02:52 PM

Brickbat (14,392 posts)

2. Romney has no ground game here. Once it's time to GOTV, Obama will win by 6-10.

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Response to question everything (Original post)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 03:13 AM

progree (847 posts)

3. "When was the last time MN voted Republican? 1972?" Yes. I just read that. Nixon v. McGovern

I read the ads are aimed here too -- ads broadcast in the Twin Cities reach into western Wisconsin so they get a bit of a two-fer. Per: http://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2012/10/28/talking-points-the-2012-election-will-be-a-toss-up/

In response to tightening polls, Romney did start running ads in the Twin Cities over the weekend but it was a small ad buy that was countered by a small number of ads run by the Obama campaign.

Thankfully these are small ad buys. I am so so sick of the Cravaack ads against Rick Nolan, and I only watch commercial TV on Saturday and Sunday just to catch the news (since there is no PBS Newshour on the weekends).

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Response to question everything (Original post)

Tue Oct 30, 2012, 04:49 AM

progree (847 posts)

4. Excruciatingly detailed analysis of the Strib poll (the Ob +3) & other polls (David Brauer Minnpost)

http://www.minnpost.com/braublog/2012/10/obama-only-3-minnesota-plausible

For poll wonks only. I wouldn't know how to begin to summarize it.

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