Arizona
Related: About this forumHello Arizona.....any predictions
For your primary Tuesday?
Would love to see your percentages guesses for both parties.
Hillary _ %
Bernie _ %
Trump _ %
Cruz _ %
Kasich _ %
Thanks, in advance, Arizona.
lamp_shade
(14,826 posts)They are, however, predicting trump with 84% chance of winning. Poll tracking - T-84, C-15, K-1
SandersDem
(592 posts)Last edited Sun Mar 20, 2016, 11:38 PM - Edit history (1)
weighted polls going back almost 1 YEAR! Now compare it to this:
Bernie has been working AZ and working it early. I went to the first rally in Tucson and brought a friend who was leaning HC. I believe that after that he supported Bernie, but was in the how can he win camp. I will touch base with him before Tuesday.
Bernie has been running ads for weeks, HC has just started. HC will only be here Monday and has basically written off this Tuesday's primaries as not meaning that much in order to fundraise, which she needs to do desperately as we head to NY and CA. Bernie will win in Arizona. Bernie will take a MAJORITY of the latino vote. AZ is also a college State with campuses feeling the Bern in 3 major cities: Tempe, Tucson and Flagstaff. Sedona is total Bernie Country. This State works a little differently than most, as most rural areas of AZ are D, while a large chunk of Phoenix is to the religious right.
I would expect Sanders to win easily IF we GOTV! I expect Sanders to take UT by big margins and in ID HC may not even be viable. Tuesday will be good for us. Raul's endorsement helped a great deal. Gabby does have some meaning for HC, but this is pretty much a gun owner State much like VT. Ann Kirkpatrick will not hold much sway a s a super D.
My prediction: Early calls for wins for Bernie all 3 States, although AZ will be the last called (we are on PST now) and it will be the closest. I say in the end 54% Bernie 43% HC
dbackjon
(6,578 posts)To a more appropriate site like Free Republic
Sanders supporters like you make it hard to think about voting for him
world wide wally
(21,740 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)Trump by what ever
Funtatlaguy
(10,870 posts)But, need more input, please.
DesertRat
(27,995 posts)Trump by WHO KNOWS?
We're a closed primary so no independents.