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Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:29 AM

Why Arizona Isnít a Battleground State (and Why It May Be Soon)

While the Republican primaries were still unfolding, the Obama campaign suggested it could compete in Arizona. That looks to have been a bit optimistic: polls show Mitt Romney leading comfortably.

Nonetheless, Arizona simply isnít that near to the tipping point. In a presidential election that is at all close nationally ó and the 2012 race is certainly close ó Arizona is not a truly competitive state, yet.

Arizona is a Republican-leaning state largely because Maricopa County is a Republican-leaning county. With about 60 percent of the electorate, Maricopa Countyís political preferences tend to carry the day.

While Phoenix itself skews Democratic, most of the vast suburbs do not. ďThe East Valley ó including Scottsdale, Chandler, Gilbert and Mesa ó tend to be quite Republican,Ē Mr. Berman said. The East Valley also has a large Mormon community. (Arizona is the fifth-most Mormon state, but members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints make up just 5 percent of the state over all).


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/23/why-arizona-isnt-a-battleground-state-and-why-it-may-be-soon/

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Reply Why Arizona Isnít a Battleground State (and Why It May Be Soon) (Original post)
DesertRat Oct 2012 OP
Fridays Child Oct 2012 #1
thelordofhell Oct 2012 #2
OffWithTheirHeads Oct 2012 #3

Response to DesertRat (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:48 AM

1. Phoenix skews Democratic?

That's news to me! I have always thought that all of Metro Phoenix, including the city and the surrounding towns and suburbs, were red as red could be. I think Tucson proper is pretty blue but the surrounding areas such as Marana and Oro Valley are very Republican.

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Response to Fridays Child (Reply #1)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 02:34 AM

2. Phoenix has had Democratic mayors since 2004

And I still say don't be surprised if Arizona turns blue for this election.......the Hispanic vote is hugely for President Obama in this state

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Response to DesertRat (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 02:45 AM

3. Marana helped toss Jessie Kelley out on his ass.

This pinko family from Marana helped. based on personal observation, I think people have seen enough teabag leadership and I have a little spark inside that says Az. Could, maybe, with a little help from the planet Kolab, go blue. It could happen?

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