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jannyk

(4,810 posts)
Mon Jul 23, 2012, 01:11 PM Jul 2012

Rolling Stone: Global Warming's Terrifying New Math

Meteorologists reported that this spring was the warmest ever recorded for our nation – in fact, it crushed the old record by so much that it represented the "largest temperature departure from average of any season on record." The same week, Saudi authorities reported that it had rained in Mecca despite a temperature of 109 degrees, the hottest downpour in the planet's history....

Not that our leaders seemed to notice. Last month the world's nations, meeting in Rio for the 20th-anniversary reprise of a massive 1992 environmental summit, accomplished nothing. Unlike George H.W. Bush, who flew in for the first conclave, Barack Obama didn't even attend. It was "a ghost of the glad, confident meeting 20 years ago," the British journalist George Monbiot wrote; no one paid it much attention, footsteps echoing through the halls "once thronged by multitudes....

Some context: So far, we've raised the average temperature of the planet just under 0.8 degrees Celsius, and that has caused far more damage than most scientists expected. (A third of summer sea ice in the Arctic is gone, the oceans are 30 percent more acidic, and since warm air holds more water vapor than cold, the atmosphere over the oceans is a shocking five percent wetter, loading the dice for devastating floods.) Given those impacts, in fact, many scientists have come to think that two degrees is far too lenient a target. "Any number much above one degree involves a gamble," writes Kerry Emanuel of MIT, a leading authority on hurricanes, "and the odds become less and less favorable as the temperature goes up." Thomas Lovejoy, once the World Bank's chief biodiversity adviser, puts it like this: "If we're seeing what we're seeing today at 0.8 degrees Celsius, two degrees is simply too much." NASA scientist James Hansen, the planet's most prominent climatologist, is even blunter: "The target that has been talked about in international negotiations for two degrees of warming is actually a prescription for long-term disaster." At the Copenhagen summit, a spokesman for small island nations warned that many would not survive a two-degree rise: "Some countries will flat-out disappear." When delegates from developing nations were warned that two degrees would represent a "suicide pact" for drought-stricken Africa, many of them started chanting, "One degree, one Africa."...

So far, as I said at the start, environmental efforts to tackle global warming have failed. The planet's emissions of carbon dioxide continue to soar, especially as developing countries emulate (and supplant) the industries of the West. Even in rich countries, small reductions in emissions offer no sign of the real break with the status quo we'd need to upend the iron logic of these three numbers. Germany is one of the only big countries that has actually tried hard to change its energy mix; on one sunny Saturday in late May, that northern-latitude nation generated nearly half its power from solar panels within its borders. That's a small miracle – and it demonstrates that we have the technology to solve our problems. But we lack the will. So far, Germany's the exception; the rule is ever more carbon....

http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/global-warmings-terrifying-new-math-20120719

A 5 page article, very good read.




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Amonester

(11,541 posts)
1. With all that 'obsession' of the rich to get richer at any cost, and by any means...
Mon Jul 23, 2012, 02:12 PM
Jul 2012

it is past obvious that nothing will be done to reverse course before it's way too late.

You know it, I know it, and everyone looking seriously enough knows it. Instead of tapping fossil fuels and deadly nuclear radiations for energy, this species should have developped solar sources (like CSP) using underground tanks for hot-water storage. Steam power source developments should never have been abandoned.

Too late now. Nobody powerful enough is either available or even listening.

and good luck.



ThomThom

(1,486 posts)
5. You are so right.
Mon Jul 23, 2012, 03:28 PM
Jul 2012

We are controlled by the oil people, they will not let go. Solar stream it's time has come.

Uncle Joe

(58,349 posts)
2. This is a most enlightening read, it all boils down to the numbers and this essay
Mon Jul 23, 2012, 02:12 PM
Jul 2012

spell them out and adds them up quite clearly.

Thanks for the thread, jannyk.

sky imager

(36 posts)
3. As Carl Sagan used to say, The tragedy of the human species is it evolved the capacity of foresight,
Mon Jul 23, 2012, 02:17 PM
Jul 2012

but refuses to use it...

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